Giro d'Italia Stage 21: Verona to Verona

Ian O'Sullivan

Saturday, June 1, 2019 8:48 PM UTC

Saturday, Jun. 1, 2019 8:48 PM UTC

For the 21st and final stage of this year’s Giro, the riders face a 15.6km individual TT that takes them over a 4.5km climb right in the middle and finishes in the Roman amphitheatre in Verona.

<div><h2>The Route</h2><p>The closing time trial on the Torricelle circuit. After the first part on wide and straight avenues, the route takes in the Torricelle climb (4.5 km with a 5% gradient and a few punchy bits). The route then descends for 4 km along wide roads, all the way to Piazza Bra and the Arena.</p><p style="text-align:center;"><img alt src="https://www.procyclingstats.com/images/profiles/ap/ba/giro-d-italia-2019-stage-21-profile-466f67c58b.jpg" style="width:900px;height:402px;" /></p><h2>Contenders</h2><p>Primoz Roglic - after winning the first two time trials, he’ll be fancied to make it a hat-trick and take away a consolation prize from this Giro after blowing his lead. He was sensational in the first one, he scraped home in the second, when he really should have been beaten by Victor Campanaerts who had set a cracking time in dry conditions.</p><p>What sort of mental condition is he in now after a tough week? What are his legs like still, today was another brutal day? On paper it's another one that he should do very well in, he will fly along the flat again and will be one of the fastest up the hill, but he's had a tough three weeks.</p><p>Victor Campanaerts has made no secret of the fact that he has stayed in this race to have a real crack at winning this TT.. He came agonisingly close to winning the second TT, his mechanical and mechanic cost him the win. He has been in very good spirits in the last week, despite the debacle in the last TT, he's "counting down the mountains" and is looking forward to this TT. I think he will be very motivated to right the wrongs of the last TT and notch up the win, he's going to be a big challenger for the win.</p><p>Jos Van Emden is probably the next best out-and-out time triallist here, but his two TTs here have been awful, 35th in the opening TT and 134th in the second one, over 7 minutes behind Rogla. Hard to see him turn that sort of form around on this course.</p><p>Bob Jungels looks like he's starting to come back in to a bit of form after a very disappointing first two weeks for him and his followers. There were plenty of confidence in him before the race started, with a top 10 looking a pretty solid bet, but he languishes down in 29th place, over 50 minutes down on Carapaz and doesn't really have anything positive to take out of this Giro.</p><p>He did ok in the two other TTs though, finishing 13th in the first TT, just 23" off 3rd spot and was 7th in the second TT, only 16" off a podium spot. He also has been hitting out in breaks this week, showing a lot of power on the flatter to slightly easier climbs, but struggled when it got steeper. The 4.2-4.8% gradients of the Torcelle</p><p>are much more his sort of gradients though, and if you take out the section at 7%, it's actually probably closer to 3.5-4% average. He should be able to power up that and I think he'll be close to a podium this time.</p><p>Vincenzo Nibali has been hit and miss since, he has shown, as I suspected, that he just doesn't have the acceleration and the power to ride away from all his rivals any more, he even was left behind by Richard Carapaz and Mikel Landa on Stage 17's finish. But he's still up there fighting and is on target for a top 3 finish, it looks to be secure, but he will still have to work very hard to hold on to his 2nd place from Primoz Roglic.</p><p>Bauke Mollema did a superb TT in stage 9, but I can't see him repeating or bettering that here, he hasn't really kicked on from that in terms of landing a killer blow, he's been dropped on almost all the key stages.</p><p>Chad Haga was a surprise 6th place in the second TT, just 14" off a podium spot, he paced himself nicely that day. I say surprise, but he is US time trial champion after all, so it shouldn't be that much of a surprise. He didn't fare quite so good in the first TT, finishing down in 21st, 54" down, and he has been anonymous for the rest of the Giro too. Hard to know how he'll go in this, but I can't see him featuring on the podium.</p><p>Other than that you have the likes of Pelle Bilbao, Josef Czerny, Brent Bookwalter, Tom Bohli, Luke Durbridge, Andrey Amador and Thomas de Gendt who could go ok, but they are fighting for 5th to 10th and not 1st to 5th.</p><p>I think this is Victor Campanaerts for the taking though, he will be fresh, he is motivated and he should smash this. Bob Jungels could be a good bet for a podium place as well.</p><h2>Recommendations:</h2><p>3pts win on Victor Campanaerts (<a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=153&amp;a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6&amp;f=1" target="_blank">at Betfair</a>)</p><p>1pt on Bob Jungels to finish in the first 3</p></div>
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