Grand National Betting Guide: Ground Report And Market Movers

Martin Green

Friday, April 5, 2019 3:21 PM UTC

Friday, Apr. 5, 2019 3:21 PM UTC

The going is shaping up to be soft for tomorrow’s Grand National and it could turn into a sloppy battleground around some fences.

<p>Punters will be glued to the weather forecast over the next 24 hours as the ground could have a huge impact on the result of the big race. Aintree was lashed by rain on Thursday and hardy racegoers had to grasp umbrellas and brave the elements to watch the unfolding action. The clerk officially branded the going soft, good to soft in places, this morning. However, 12mm of rain fell yesterday on top of 14mm earlier in the week, so you would expect it still to ride soft for the <a href="http://The going is shaping up to be soft for tomorrow’s Grand National and it could turn into a sloppy battleground around some fences." target="_blank" title="Grand National odds">Grand National</a>.</p><h2>Relishing the ground</h2><p>Some horses prefer to run on good ground, whereas others like it in the slop. Outlander would ideally like soft ground, so connections would have been pleased to see the rain tipping down on Thursday. It was barely dry for five minutes and that should play right into the hands of this three-time Grade 1 winner. He has not secured victory since November 2017, but he is in with a chance on Saturday. He is all the way out at 100/1 with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=b4150791-892f-469b-9b6a-7dfc6df0fb07" target="_blank" title="Ladbrokes">Ladbrokes</a> and 125/1 with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18" target="_blank">Bet365</a>, so a couple of quid each-way might tempt you.</p><p>Mala Beach wants soft ground to thrive, so that might be an interesting choice at 80/1 with Bet365 and <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b" target="_blank" title="William Hill">William Hill</a>. Ballyoptic was second in last year’s Scottish Grand National, but he fell when tested at Aintree in December. The ground was very testing back then, and it should not be as challenging on Saturday, so he could be another interesting long shot at 40/1. Rock The Kasbah has been backed in to 16/1, but he likes dry ground, so punters should be a little wary of backing him. Joe Farrell is another heavily fancied horse that might struggle if the going remains soft.</p><h2>Market movers</h2><p>The public has really limped on Jury Duty and Rathvinden this week. Jury Duty is the big market mover and he has gone all the way in to 14/1 with some betting sites, although Betfred is still offering a market leading 18/1. Second favourite Rathvinden is also a very popular choice, now as low as 8/1 with various bookmakers, but a market leading 10/1 with Ladbrokes and Betfred.</p><p>It is interesting to see the odds getting slightly longer on the favourite. Tiger Roll is now out at 9/2 with William Hill ahead of his bid to win the Grand National for the second year running. If he goes out to 5/1, you can back him each-way and still get your money back if he places.</p><p>There is not much love for Step Back, who has drifted out to 25/1, while General Principle has also gone out to 40/1, Vieux Lion Rouge is drifting and Ballyoptic is another unpopular selection. There has been a surge of support for veteran chaser Tea For Two, backed in to 25/1 with some sites but still 50/1 with others. It is definitely worth shopping around for your odds, as prices are wildly different among rival sites. <a href="http://The going is shaping up to be soft for tomorrow’s Grand National and it could turn into a sloppy battleground around some fences." target="_blank" title="Grand National odds">Check out our odds comparison page for all the odds on offer</a> and details of whether they are getting shorter or longer in the build up to the big race.</p>
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