India v Australia T20 Series Betting: Hosts should dominate

Ed Hawkins

Thursday, February 21, 2019 5:45 PM UTC

Thursday, Feb. 21, 2019 5:45 PM UTC

There’s a huge gulf between the two sides before game one on Sunday – don’t expect the visitors to bridge it

<p>India and Australia begin a mouthwatering two-match Twenty20 series in Visakhapatnam on Sunday. Mouthwatering in the sense that there is anticipation that Australia could have inflicted upon them a battering.</p><p>Pariahs of the world game after bringing disrepute on the sport in the last year or so, there are many who are enjoying the Aussies being brought to their knees. And there is nowhere in the world they have suffered more down the years than India, who are keen to reinforce the new world order.</p><p>Australia suffered twin defeats at home to India in a historic Test series and the ODI leg. But India missed out on a sweep when they could only draw the T20 series.</p><p><a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top rated bookmaker">William Hill</a> are taking an almighty risk by offering odds of 5/4 (2.25) that India make amends. Australia are 4s (5.0) and the draw is 6/5 (2.2). We think the price about the home team is a good one and we will be betting on them showing superiority.</p><p>Simply, Australia struggle in India horribly. They have four defeats in five there in the format. And if you look at the margins of those losses – seven wickets, six wickets, six wickets and nine wickets – there is a considerable gulf.</p><p>Indeed, Australia’s record against India in all conditions makes for grim reading if you’re a Fair Dinkum. It’s eight losses in the last ten. A mismatch, then. This is backed by the official rankings which have India at No 2 in the world with the Aussies at No 5. We’d go as far to suggest that India are worthy of top spot after leaders Pakistan were desperately disappointing in defeat by South Africa recently. We don’t believe this difference in ability between India and Australia is matched in the odds.</p><p>India are pretty much at full-strength with Virat Kohli, the best batsman in the world whatever the colour of the ball, and Jasprit Bumrah, the ace death bowler, returning after time off. Kuldeep Yadav, however, the wily spinner is rested.</p><p>That lets in Yuz Chahal, his able deputy, as value on the top bowler markets. Chahal is 5/2 (3.5) and he cops at a rate of just of 30% in any individual innings so that’s a significant chunk in our favour.</p><p>Australia have been heavily reliant on Aaron Finch and Glenn Maxwell for runs in T20 in the past. But Finch has dipped of late and few were impressed by Maxwell’s meltdown in the Big Bash final. A smart move would be to open the batting with Marcus Stoinis, who is in the form of his life.</p><p>The musclebound all-rounder is available at 8/1 (9.0) with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="A+ Bookmaker">Bet365</a> and <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=b4150791-892f-469b-9b6a-7dfc6df0fb07" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Place your bets with Ladbrokes">Ladbrokes</a> to top score for his country in game one. It’s not a bad wager even if he doesn’t open because he is dangerous from the middle order.</p><p>As you would expect, India are hot favourites for match one at odds of ½ (1.5) with Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill, <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=153&amp;a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="A+ Bookmaker">Betfair</a>, <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=df66db4b-b019-4343-9fc7-6c4f20e2a356" target="_blank" title="Place your bets with Paddy Power">Paddy Power</a>, <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=acd6b93a-905e-45af-90ef-7eb1df661829" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Well rated bookmaker">Coral</a>, <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=3e56a0bf-7bdf-4fe1-b9a6-d22c7cc3dd2c" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Well rated bookmaker">Betway</a> and <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=1ba923f3-5341-4bda-b457-0138ac61ae7a" target="_blank" title="Get in the game with Betfred">Betfred</a>. Australia are 17/10 (2.7) with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=4fd3c129-b898-4816-9a61-9f7e8f34295a" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Get in the game with Unibet">Unibet</a> and <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=8e57de00-8c0e-4848-b6da-ea2a0f565fb1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Get in the game with 888Sports">888Sports</a>.</p>
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