IPL Betting Match Four: Buttler and Rahul Great Value

Ed Hawkins

Sunday, March 24, 2019 2:15 PM UTC

Sunday, Mar. 24, 2019 2:15 PM UTC

Ed Hawkins (@cricketbetting) previews the clash and uncovers two mistakes by the layers on the top-bat market

<h2>Rajasthan Royals v Kings XI Punjab</h2><p><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/cricket/in/indian-premier-league/rajasthan-royals-vs-kings-xi-punjab-3726750/?mtid=6" target="_blank" title="Rajasthan Royal vs Kings XI Punjab">Monday 25th March, Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur</a></p><p>Jos Buttler has an insane hit rate as an opener in IPL cricket and the <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=153&amp;a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6" target="_blank" title="Betfair">3/1 (4.0) that Betfair</a> offer about him top scoring for the Rajasthan Royals in their season opener is value. Over his entire career he is a 3/1 shot but he’s chopped away at those odds since the franchise worked out how destructive he can be.<br /><br />Buttler could give <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tips/more-sports/rajasthan-royals-ipl-2019-team-profile/89570/" target="_blank" title="Rajasthan Royals">Rajasthan Royals</a> false confidence in the tournament. He has the ability to carry them to the play-offs on his own – as he did to a certain extent last year – but he won’t be available for the tournament denouement, which is why they could struggle to the land decent IPL title odds.<br /><br />For this one they are skinny favourites. Bet365, Ladbrokes, William Hill, Betfair and Paddy Power all go no better than 4/6 (1.67). And despite Buttler’s presence we reckon that’s unfair on <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tips/more-sports/kings-xi-punjab-ipl-2019-team-profile/89572/" target="_blank" title="Kings XI Punjab">Kings XI Punjab</a>, who went off like a rocket in 2018. They are available at 5/4 (2.25) with Betfair.<br /><br />Best bet post-toss. Royals have not been so hot chasing (43% hit rate in three years) and this is a venue where sides have struggled to get going batting second. The wicket gets tacky and stodgy.<br /><br />Kings have their own firestarter in KL Rahul. Rahul, despite the talent of <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tips/more-sports/virat-kohli-cricket-player-profile/89593/" target="_blank" title="Virat Kohli">Virat Kohli</a>, has the highest expected batting average in the tournament. He carried Kings batting last term and the 3/1 (4.00) that Betfair offer interest us. This is largely because <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tips/more-sports/chris-gayle-cricket-player-profile/89594/" target="_blank" title="Chris Gayle">Chris Gayle</a> is the same price with the same firm.<br /><br />One man has a 31.7% win rate on the market and the other 27. Who would you like to be on? It’s a no brainer. The bigger number belongs to Rahul and although Gayle is, technically, still value, we know that Rahul dominates in these conditions more often.<br /><br />Another good wager is the <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18" target="_blank" title="Bet365">5/6 that Bet365 offer about under 9.5 sixes</a>. Batters have struggled to launch maximums at the ground and the six percentage of 3.5 is an eyebrow-raising low. Still, it’s not a wager for the fainthearted with the likes of Buttler, Rahul and Gayle and with decent odds for our top bat hits we’re happy.</p><p><strong>Best tips for the match:</strong><br />Jos Buttler top Royals batsman 3/1 (4.0) Betfair<br />KL Rahul top Kings batsman 3/1 (4.0) Betfair<br /><br /><strong>Read More:</strong> <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tips/more-sports/2019-indian-premier-league-complete-ipl-betting-guide/89535/" target="_blank" title="Full IPL 2019 Betting Guide">Full IPL 2019 Betting Guide</a><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /> </p><p> </p><p> </p>
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