Last Minute Tips: How To Bet UFC Fight Night In Prague

Jason Paglia

Friday, February 22, 2019 5:33 PM UTC

Friday, Feb. 22, 2019 5:33 PM UTC

UFC Prague is not the greatest fight card this year by any stretch, especially coming off last weekends phenomenal fight card. That being said, even the worst UFC events present opportunities to bank a couple units.

<h2>Jan Blachowicz (23-7) vs Thiago Santos (20-6)</h2><p>Polish native Jan Blachowicz entered the UFC with a decent amount of hype. He caught the UFC's attention with an impressive 17-3 record on the European regional circuits. Although he struggled out of the gate winning only 2 of his first 6 fights in the UFC, it appears he has flipped a switch. Now A winner of 4 straight, Blachowicz hasn't lost since April of 2017. His opponent Thiago Santos has also had an impressive run as of late. Santos will look for his 8th victory in 9 fights this Saturday in Prague.</p><p>The problem is, I don't think he gets it. <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/fighting/int/ultimate-fighting-championship/jan-blachowicz-vs-thiago-santos-3724343/?mtid=126" target="_blank" title="live odds for this fight here">The market has been indecisive all week</a>. Both fighters have been the underdog and favourite at some point in the last 7 days, and I can see why. On paper they have beaten similar opponents. Both fighters have a very solid striking game and while Santos seems to have more power in his gloves, Blachowicz has a great technical background from his days as a kickboxer. Jan has a great power jab that sets up his counter striking game whereas Santos uses kicks more in his standup. With all things being equal in the striking department, the edge in this fight is on the ground. Thiago Santos is a natural striker, he doesn't try to take his opponents to the ground because he feels he is best on his feet. Jan Blachowicz on the other hand does take his opponents to the ground and often. His power wrestling game allows him to keep his opponents on the ground after he has taken them down. This will allow him to win what would have been close rounds on the feet, by stealing rounds late with takedowns.</p><p><strong>THE PICK - Jan Blachowicz to win 91/100 (1.91)</strong></p><p> </p><h2>Marco Polo Reyes (8-4) vs Damir Hadzovic (12-4)</h2><p><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/fighting/int/ultimate-fighting-championship/damir-hadzovic-vs-marco-polo-reyes-3724351/?mtid=126" target="_blank" title="odds for this fight">This fight is going to be both violent and short</a>. This has fight of the night written all over it even though it's on the preliminary card. Both Damir Hadzovic and Polo Reyes are scrappers who appear to be mirror images of themselves. Hadzovic has finished 9 opponents in his career, 6 of them by knockout. Polo Reyes also has 6 knockout victories, 3 of which have come in the 1st round.</p><p>I watched all the film that was available to me for both these fighters and one of them seems slightly more polished with there counter striking game. The only fight I wasn't uber impressed with Polo Reyes was against James Vick. The length and reach advantage that Vick had threw Reyes off in that fight. Against shorter competition however, Reyes is a different fighter. He can thump with the best of them but where he excels is against a willing brawler that comes at him wildly and recklessly. That is pretty much the definition of Damir Hadzovic. Reyes should use his counter striking game to his advantage. Once Hadzovic thows a wild and looping punch, look for Reyes to shut the lights off with his right hand and get the first round TKO.</p><p><strong>THE PICK - Marco Polo Reyes to win 1/1 (2.00)</strong></p><p> </p><h2>Gillian Robertson (5-3) vs Veronica Macedo (5-2-1)</h2><p><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/fighting/int/ultimate-fighting-championship/veronica-macedo-vs-gillian-robertson-3724349/?mtid=126" title="live odds">This fight seems very cut and dry to me.</a> A solid grappler versus someone who is completely inept in every way on the ground. Veronica Macedo has been destroyed and soundly out-grappled in both of her fights in the UFC. As a reward, the UFC has gifted her another competent opponent on the ground. Enter Gillian Robertson.</p><p>After losing to Barb Honchak on The Ultimate Fighter(TUF 26), Robertson has strung together 2 strong performances. After submitting Emily Whitmire, Robertson followed up a strong outing on the ground with another by again submitting Molly McCann. I expect the exact same thing to happen on Saturday. Robertson is the stronger wrestler by a substantial margin and Macedo doesn't have the BJJ guard to be dangerous off her back. This fight should last as long as Robertson feels it should. At that point she will take Macedo to the ground and either submit her or ground and pound her way to a victory.</p><p><strong>THE PICK - Gillian Robertson to win 31/50 (1.62)</strong></p>
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