Moto GP Americas: Marc Marquez Going For A 7th Victory in a Row

Eric Kelly

Thursday, April 11, 2019 8:03 AM UTC

Thursday, Apr. 11, 2019 8:03 AM UTC

This is the worst time for Marquez rivals to be heading in Austin, Texas. He just swept them away in Argentina and now we head to his most dominant track of all time where he has never finished anywhere but 1st.

<p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;The gang’s all here. &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;@MotoGP&lt;/a&gt; has arrived deep in the heart of Texas! &lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#AmericasGP&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Circuit of The Americas (@COTA) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;April 10, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><h2><strong>Preview</strong></h2><p>So, let’s start with how the last race went. It didn’t go too well for anybody really, not Maverick Vinales, Not Jorge Lorenzo, Not Cal Crutchlow and also not our pockets if we had a bet on it. To sum it up in a nutshell, Vinales crashed out on the 2<sup>nd</sup> last lap, Cructhlow was penalized for starting the race by half a second before everyone else (Deemed very harsh on replays) and Lorenzo turned on his pit lane speed limiter at the start and plummeted from 12<sup>th</sup> to 21<sup>st</sup> in a matter of seconds. Marquez ran away with the race (starting odds of 1/2 with most bookmakers) leading from the very first corner to the last and winning by nine seconds. The one shining light from the race was seeing fan favourite Valentino Rossi overtaking Andrea Dovizioso at the end of the race to take second place, a result which he was very happy with and many Moto GP fans wouldn’t begrudge the 40-year old.</p><p>As stated, Marquez is the king of circuit the Americas, going for his 7<sup>th</sup> victory in a row on this track. It really is an amazing feat to win that many races on the one track, let alone six years in a row. Maybe this year he will be knocked off his perch. As a betting man I like to go against the grain, surely something will stop him this year? Even if he crashes or makes a mistake. You can’t ride around the same track that many times in a race and not crash right? Is this finally the year it catches up to him?</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Imagine accelerating downhill after turn 1 at &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;@COTA&lt;/a&gt; from 40 mph to 120 mph+, while trying to stop the wheelie, minimise wheel spin, click 2 gears, set yourself up for the next corner AND do it all in the space of 4 seconds! 😌&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Bike control at it's finest 👏&lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#ThrowbackThursday&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— MotoGP™ 🇺🇸 (@MotoGP) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;April 11, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><p>Only 4 point separates Marquez (1<sup>st</sup>) and Dovisioso at the top of the overall standing. Consistency is the key to winning this championship and that has been Dovizioso Achilles heel the last few years. A victory for Rossi would really heat things up going into the 4<sup>th</sup> round in Jerez (Spain).</p><h2><strong>Key Stats &amp; facts</strong></h2><p>Since Moto GP started using this track for the American GP in 2013 there has been on average 5.4 DNFs per race.</p><p>It’s a very modern track with lots of windy bends and a long uphill run to the first corner. This track does suit the Hondas very well.</p><p>Honda has the lap record on this track at (2.03.575) seconds.</p><p>It’s the lowest price Marquez has been to win a race since starting in Moto GP</p><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Betting Odds</strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><strong>*Marc Marquez - 3/10</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>*Valentino Rossi - 15/2</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>*Andrea Dovisioso - 15/2</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>*Maverick Vinales - 11/1</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>*Cal Crutchlow - 14/1</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>*Alex Rins - 18/1</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>*Rest of field - 20/1+</strong></p><h2><strong>Verdict</strong></h2><p>Placing your bets in this race will purely be for fun as all the stats point towards a Marquez win here, but as I stated, surely his dominance will have to come to an end at some stage? We can get involved with a few bets here but trade careful and use small stakes, there are loads more races left in the season.</p><p>Firstly you have to like Crutchlow at 14/1, he was harshly penalized in the last race and his overall race pace showed he would have easily finished second and maybe even put it up to Marquez, for that reason he is definitely worth an each way bet on Sunday.</p><p>Rossi seems to be on the up a little these days and is performing much better than his younger teammate who is a sixteen years junior. The long fast bends will suit the Yamaha bike but they might lose a little on the straights. “The Doctor” has finished in the top 5 in two of the previous three years in America. We can’t doubt Rossi here and with a bit of luck going your way 15/2 is a nice price.</p><p>If Dozisioso wants to win this world championship he has to snatch it from Marquez, it won’t come easy and he will need to capitalize on any mistakes. Where better to get a win than on Marquez’s most successful track? That would really lay down a marker for the title challenge and rest of the season. The Ducati can definitely make up time on the Honda going along the straight; he just needs to be patient on Sunday. There’s a great value on him to win this race, one of the highest we will see during the whole season.</p><p>I do not doubt anybody’s ability to get a win on Sunday, but I do unfortunately feel that Marquez will have to crash or DNF for someone else to get a win here. If he stays up on the bike and has no major incidents it’s hard to look beyond Marquez. Not even worth a bet at 3/10. This has to be the worst price I’ve seen in a Moto GP race.</p><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Recommended Bets </strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><a href=";a=df66db4b-b019-4343-9fc7-6c4f20e2a356" target="_blank" title="Moto GP Betting Odds"><em><strong>Cal Crutchlow 14/1 (Paddy Power) 0.5pt each way</strong></em></a></p><p style="text-align:center"><a href=";a=df66db4b-b019-4343-9fc7-6c4f20e2a356" target="_blank" title="Moto GP Betting Odds"><em><strong>Valentino Rossi 15/2 (Paddy Power) 1pt win</strong></em></a></p><p style="text-align:center"><a href=";a=3e56a0bf-7bdf-4fe1-b9a6-d22c7cc3dd2c" target="_blank" title="Moto GP Betting Odds"><em><strong>Andrea Dovizioso 15/2 (Betway) 1pt win</strong></em></a></p><p style="text-align:center"> </p>
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