Moto GP Czech Republic: Round 10 Preview And Best Bets

Eric Kelly

Tuesday, July 30, 2019 8:01 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jul. 30, 2019 8:01 PM UTC

Can Ducati come back from the summer break with the quickest pace?
<div><h2>Moto GP Czech Republic</h2><p><strong>Sunday, August 4, Track: Brno</strong></p><h2>Preview</h2><p>We return to Moto GP this weekend after a three weeklong summer break for the teams and riders to get a rest and their juices flowing again for the second half of the season. Marc Marquez is currently the overall leader of the championship, sitting on top with a 58-point lead on second place rider Andrea Dovizioso. Although it seems the championship is all but over, we do have some individual race winners to bet on for the second half of the season and we also have each way bet on Dovizioso for some small overall profit. He tailed off a bit in the last three races before the summer break, retiring in one race and finish 4th and 5th in the next two. The next few upcoming tracks should suit the Ducati and we hope to see some better performances from Dovizioso.</p><p>The last race before the season break in Germany seen Marquez take his 5th win of the season from a possible nine races. The most exciting riders so far this year have been rookie Fabio Quartararo and up and coming Spanish rider Alex Rins. Both were looking very strong in Germany but unfortunately, neither finished the race. Maverick Vinales finished up the first half of the season on a high, claiming victory in the Netherlands and finishing second in Germany.</p><p>Spanish rider Jorge Lorenzo will be back this weekend after missing the previous 2 races after he suffered an injury in Assen GP practice session. There has been escalating talks about where Lorenzo will be riding for next season. It is understood he is not happy at Honda and Honda are not satisfied with Lorenzo’s performances. There has been a suggestion that Marquez’s younger brother, Alex Marquez will step up to Moto GP next season as Lorenzo’s replacement at Honda. It will be interesting to see what teams are interested in Lorenzo.</p><h2>Key Stats &amp; Facts</h2><p>· In the past 10 races at Brno, we have had eight different winners.</p><p>· Giacomo Agostini, Max Biaggi, and Valentino Rossi all hold the record for the most victories at Brno with a total of seven wins each</p><p>· The Czech Republic GP has been part of the Moto GP circuit since 1965.</p><p>· Cal Crutchlow’s victory in Brno in 2016 was the first British winner here since 1976.</p><p>· There has been on average 3.2 DNFs in the previous three races at Brno.</p><h2>Betting Odds</h2><p>· Marc Marquez 11/13</p><p>· Andrea Dovizioso 3/1</p><p>· Valentino Rossi 15/2</p><p>· Danilo Petrucci 12/1</p><p>· Alex Rins 14/1</p><p>· Maverick Vinales 14/1</p><p>· Fabio Quartararo 14/1</p><p>· Jack Miller 20/1</p><p>· Jorge Lorenzo 20/1</p><p>· Rest of Field 33/1+</p><h2>Verdict</h2><p>Brno is a very wide circuit and has lots of medium lengths straight with nice wide sweeping bends, these sort of track layouts will give Ducati a very small advantage over the rest of the bikes. I anticipate Dovizioso to have good performances in the next few races, but I don’t think I have much faith in him winning right off the bat in the first race back, not at such small odds at 3/1. If he has a bad qualifying and starts in at least 6th with odds of 5/1 or better, I would have a small bet then on him. Where I see the value, this weekend is in his teammate Danilo Petrucci. Currently at odds of 12/1. Although he only has one Moto GP victory to his name, this track should suit his riding style and I would be more than happy to have him each way at those long odds.</p><p>I expect Maverick Vinales to continue his good form from the back end of the first half of the season. He should have the pace around this track on the Yamaha, Vinales has looked like the only one who can challenge Marc Marquez at the minute. We are getting a very generous price at 14/1 for Vinales is to take victory in Brno this Sunday. At these odds, he is worth backing each way.</p><p>When choosing who to bet on each race it is always difficult to leave Quartararo and Alex Rins out of the betting. They have been exciting to watch all season long, but they have also been very inconsistent. Both are available at 14/1. I wouldn’t put anybody off having a bet on these for Sunday’s race, but I would wait to see were they qualify if you are choosing to bet on them.</p><h2><strong>Recommended Bets</strong></h2><p>Maverick Vinales 15.00 (14/1) with Sporting Bet 1 unit each way</p><p>Danilo Petrucci 13.00 (12/1) with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=153&amp;a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Betfair</a> 0.5 units each way</p></div>
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