Moto GP De Espana - Jerez: The Stage is Set for Valentino Rossi to Get His First Moto Gp Victory in 32 Races

Eric Kelly

Thursday, May 2, 2019 6:29 AM UTC

Thursday, May. 2, 2019 6:29 AM UTC

Rossi has finished 2nd in the last two races and is looking more and more likely to finally grab that first spot on the podium but Marc Marquez will be out for revenge after crashing in America and Andrea Dovizioso knows he needs to put a bigger gap between himself and his rivals.

<p> </p><p></p><h2><strong>Preview</strong></h2><p></p><p><strong>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;The MotoGP World Championship touches down in Europe for the first time in 2019 🏁&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Here's all you ever wanted to know about the &lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#SpanishGP&lt;/a&gt; 🇪🇸 in less of 1 min thanks to &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;@michelin_sport&lt;/a&gt; 🎥&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Download the full version here ➡️ &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— MotoGP™ 🇪🇸 (@MotoGP) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;May 1, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</strong></p><p>It’s such a pity the bookies don’t offer prop markets on Moto GP. Although we were a little unlucky with our outright bet (Rossi, who was so close to his first victory in over 30 races) I did predict that Marquez would fall, which he did. Unfortunately we get no prices on these kinds of bets in any bookie (If you know or find any please don’t hesitate to inform us). I would guess that Marquez crashing out of the race would have been around 5/1.</p><p>It was an amazing weekend for Alex Rins who snatched his first ever Moto GP race victory. Jack Miller had a very solid race coming in 3<sup>rd</sup> position and another standout performance was Franco Morbidelli who ended up in 5<sup>th</sup>.</p><p>Time is ticking on Maverick Vinales and Jorge Lorenzo, both riders are on two of the best bikes and neither is sitting in the top ten of the overall standings, whilst both their teammates are in the top four. Things really need to go upwards for both these riders from this race on or they could be looking for new teams come next year.</p><p>Andrea Dovisioso sits top of the overall standing, 3 points ahead of Rossi, and 5 ahead of Rins and 9 ahead of Marquez. He needs to put some more points between himself and the rest of the field if he wants to make a genuine attempt at winning the title this year; he seems to keep a cooler head when he isn’t under pressure.</p><p></p><h2><strong>Key Stats &amp; facts</strong></h2><p></p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Did you know...&lt;a href=\"\"&gt;@circuitodejerez&lt;/a&gt; has been the most successful circuit for Spanish riders in the premier class with 13 wins! 🏆&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;This includes &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;@setegibernau_15&lt;/a&gt;'s victory after a battle with &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;@maxbiaggi&lt;/a&gt; in 2004! ⚔️&lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#MotoGPStats&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— MotoGP™ 🇪🇸 (@MotoGP) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;May 1, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><p>Circuit De Jerez is one of the oldest tracks on this year’s Moto GP calendar at 34 years old.</p><p>The final corner is named after world champion Jorge Lorenzo.</p><p>Moto GP has included Circuit De Jerez on the calendar every year since 1989 to the present year.</p><p>Marquez’s crash in the last race left him as the only rider in the top 6 not to finish a race this season.</p><p>There is an average of 4.5 DNFs at the Circuit De Jerez. Seven riders crashed out last year, four of them started in the top six.</p><p>Although there are four GP races in Spain this year, this is the only race with the official title of Spanish GP.</p><p> </p><p></p><h2 style="text-align:center;"><strong>Betting Odds</strong></h2><p></p><p style="text-align:center;"><strong>*Marc Marquez – 4/6</strong></p><p style="text-align:center;"><strong>*Valentino Rossi – 8/1</strong></p><p style="text-align:center;"><strong>*Andrea Dovizioso – 8/1</strong></p><p style="text-align:center;"><strong>*Alex Rins – 8/1</strong></p><p style="text-align:center;"><strong>*Maverick Vinales – 9/1</strong></p><p style="text-align:center;"><strong>*Cal Crutchlow – 11/1</strong></p><p style="text-align:center;"><strong>*Jorge Lorenzo – 16/1</strong></p><p style="text-align:center;"><strong>*Rest of Field – 20/1+</strong></p><p></p><h2><strong>Verdict</strong></h2><p></p><p>This track has thrown up three different winners in the past three years, for that reason alone it’s impossible to pick any sort of winner this weekend in Jerez, not even this seasons form is a solid guide towards a bet. Alex Rins is a positive place to start at the very least, he has been getting stronger and stronger on the Suzuki, finally grabbed a Moto GP victory last time out and now sits 3<sup>rd</sup> in the overall standings. Will he win two races in a row is the only concern I have.</p><p>We have the Rossi issue to deal with also; will he finally get a win? He is certainly due one. What about world champion Marquez? He won this race last year, crashed in the last race! Surely he will want some redemption and prove he is the best rider on the grid.</p><p>There are 2 outsiders I fancy as a fun bet if you are watching and want some money on someone with a bit of value, these are not official plays. The first one is Jack Miller, he is on fire this year considering the below par bike he is on. Alright he is on the 8<sup>th</sup> or 9<sup>th</sup> best bike on the grid but he is currently sitting in 6<sup>th</sup> overall and only one point behind 5th position. He finished 4<sup>th</sup> in Argentina and 3<sup>rd</sup> in the last race. He Represents really good value on a track were nobody has dominated. Available at odds of 20/1.</p><p>The second big outsider I am looking at is Franco Morbidelli. He has also proven this year he has got a lot more peace on this new bike and finished 5<sup>th</sup> last time out, although he crashed in Argentina I believe he would have come in the top six if not. Available at odds of 33/1.</p><p>As you can tell I really am struggling to pick a winner or even anybody worth a bet because if we want to make money we can’t bet on everyone. I HATE Marquez’s price at 4/6. The value really does lie with Rossi, Rins, Dovizioso, at odds of 8/1 and Rossi 7/1. I will be putting 1unit win on Rossi, Rins, and Dovizioso. Once Marquez does not win and any of the three riders mentioned wins, we will make money with this strategy if you get them all at around odds of 8/1.</p><p>I will be attending the race this weekend and will be posting a video from the track; I will include more plays in the video after seeing how the guys are performing on track. Keep an eye out for the video on Oddsmarket twitter page.</p><p></p><h2 style="text-align:center;"><strong>Recommended Bets</strong></h2><p></p><p style="text-align:center;"><a href=";a=4fd3c129-b898-4816-9a61-9f7e8f34295a&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="Moto GP Betting Odds"><em><strong>Rossi win 7/1 with Unibet -1 unit</strong></em></a></p><p style="text-align:center;"><a href=";a=4fd3c129-b898-4816-9a61-9f7e8f34295a&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="Moto GP Betting Odds"><em><strong>Dovizioso win 8/1 with Unibet - 1 unit</strong></em></a></p><p style="text-align:center;"><a href=";a=4fd3c129-b898-4816-9a61-9f7e8f34295a&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="Moto GP Betting Odds"><em><strong>Alex Rins win 8/1 with Unibet - 1 unit</strong></em></a></p>
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