Moto GP Germany Preview and Betting Predictions

Eric Kelly

Thursday, July 4, 2019 6:33 AM UTC

Thursday, Jul. 4, 2019 6:33 AM UTC

Will Marquez’s German GP winning streak finally come to an end on Sunday?

<div><h2>Moto GP Germany</h2><p><strong>Sunday, July 7, Track: Sachsenring </strong></p><div><h2><strong>Preview</strong></h2><p>Last time in Assen: Maverick Vinales nicked his first victory of the year ahead of Marquez in second. It’s the factory Yamahas first win this season and only their second win in the last 27 races. Fabio Quartararo has proven he is the real deal, starting on pole position (we tipped him at 8/1 pre-qualifying. After starting on pole he drifted into 3/1) and ultimately finishing on the podium in 3<sup>rd</sup> position. He had an issue with his bike which might have hindered his chances of winning the race. Marquez used his head and realized he hadn’t the peace to win the race and let Vinales win. He took his second place and extended his championship lead to 44 point as his main rival to the title finished down in 4<sup>th</sup> place (Dovizioso).</p><p>We are heading to one of Marquez’s and Hondas favourite tracks in recent years. He has been unbeaten at the Sachsenring since he joined the Moto GP class and unbeaten here when he raced in Moto2 and Moto3. It will also be very interesting to see how the Suzuki’s perform this weekend, as they finally have a competitive rider with Alex Rins and competitive bike. In the past they haven’t challenged much here but that could change this weekend. The track is most suited to Honda and Yamaha’s bikes. This is probably the worst track on the calendar for the Ducati bike.</p><p>It’s been a tough Moto GP season to make money but in the past 3 races we have done very well. Winning a total of +10.10 overall units, this brings us back down to -2.5 overall units on the season. There are a few upcoming races I am very confident about, so hopefully we can turn that negative unit into plus units.</p><h2><strong>Key Stats &amp; facts</strong></h2><ul> <li> <p>The last time another manufacturer won at the Sachsenring besides Honda was Yamaha in 2009. It’s also the only time Ducati have won at the Sachsenring.</p> </li> <li> <p>Honda is aiming for a 10<sup>th</sup> win in a row at this circuit.</p> </li> <li> <p>There has been on average 2.4 DNFs in the last 6 races.</p> </li> <li> <p>Italian Moto GP legend Giacomo Agostini holds the record for the most victories here with 13. Second is Marquez with 9.</p> </li> <li> <p>Sachsenring has been used on the Moto GP calendar since 1998.</p> </li></ul><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Betting Odds</strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>*Marc Marquez 1/2</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>*Maverick Vinales 7/1</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>*Andrea Dovizioso 9/1</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>*Alex Rins 10/1</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>*Fabio Quartararo 11/1</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>*Danilo Petrucci 12/1</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>*Valentino Rossi 16/1</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>*Rest of Field 33/1+</strong></em></p><h2><strong>Verdict</strong></h2><p>It’s very hard to bet against Marquez giving the fact he has never been beating at the Sachsenring, but we also can’t bet on him at such a bad price (1/2). We had a similar scenario earlier in the year in the American GP were he had never been beating before and started as low as 1/4 but ultimately crashed out due to a mistake he himself made. Luckily for us we have plenty of talented riders this year who are sticking it Marquez a lot more than in recent years, and surely one of them can put a stop to his domination in Germany. In saying that Marquez hasn’t gone more than one race without a victory all season long and he lost last weekend so I expect that trend to continue. I do have my eye on two riders I like this weekend but I won’t have a third selection as I fear Marquez will (and should) win.</p><p>Last time out in Assen Alex Rins was looking very solid and looked like he might be on for a win, but unfortunately he crashed out on the 2<sup>nd</sup> lap of the race. He has finished inside the top 5 in six of the seven races that he finished this year. It’s hard to know how well the Suzuki’s will perform at this track given the fact that they have only really been able to fight for victories towards the end of last year. I do like Rins to sneak a win this Sunday or even get a podium. Although I am going to recommend 0.5units each way on Rins I will change this to 1unit each way if the Suzuki seems quick on both Friday and Saturday practice, so keep an eye on this or follow me on Twitter were I will post if I am changing it to 1 unit risk(@oblivionsports).</p><p>It’s impossible not to latch onto the Quartararo train right now. Not only is he achieving amazing results for a rookie rider but we can also get him at extremely good prices in the bookies as they don’t seem to think he is a treat. He is one of the only riders on the grid that we have a serious edge on right now; his performances are not matching his odds. Most races we are getting between 7/1 and 16/1 on him. Judging by his recent performances I would expect him to be around 5/1. He has made the podium and started on pole at the last two races. He has also been unlucky in another two races this year not to have made the podium, suffering mechanical failures on both occasions. For these reasons I’m on the Frenchman again this weekend.</p><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Recommended Bets </strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><a href=";a=3e56a0bf-7bdf-4fe1-b9a6-d22c7cc3dd2c&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Moto GP Betting Odds"><em><strong>Alex Rins 10/1 Betway 0.5units each way</strong></em></a></p><p style="text-align:center"><a href=";a=3e56a0bf-7bdf-4fe1-b9a6-d22c7cc3dd2c&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Moto GP Betting Odds"><em><strong>Fabio Quartararo 11/1 Betway 0.5units each way</strong></em></a></p></div></div>
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