Moto GP Qatar: Who’s Favourite to Win Under the Floodlights in Losail

Eric Kelly

Thursday, March 7, 2019 8:51 AM UTC

Thursday, Mar. 7, 2019 8:51 AM UTC

It’s almost time for the Moto GP riders to start their engines for the first race of the new season. Where’s the value and how can we kick-off the new season in profit?

<h2><strong>Preview</strong></h2><p>Finally after a 4 months break the Moto GP is back on our TV screens. The teams and riders will head out to Qatar where they will race under floodlights for the 11<sup>th</sup> year in a row. The heat in the daytime is too hazardous for the riders and their million-dollar motorbikes so this is the only race throughout the season to be on at night. The first race can always be very cagey and tense as riders are trying to seek out a decent result and not kick-off their new year in the gravel. The main goal is to finish the race and see where your bike is at, compared with your opponents’.</p><p>This year we have 22 riders and 11 teams, two riders per team. In Moto GP, we have satellite bikes and factory bikes. The best riders will mostly be found on the factory teams. Factory bikes in Moto GP are the top-level bikes. These are built and directly supported and developed by the factories themselves, making them from scratch and being able to tweak them for performance. On the other hand, satellite teams buy/lease bikes from factory teams. In some cases, the bikes may be the previous year full-factory ones.</p><p>All eyes will be on defending champion Marc Marquez who is seeking his 6<sup>th</sup> Moto GP title. Marc’s Repsol Honda bike has not been the quickest throughout preseason testing and he is still recovering from surgery he had on his dislocated right shoulder that he suffered towards the end of last year.</p><p> </p><h2><strong>Key Stats &amp; facts</strong></h2><p>The first fact that jumps out here is that Marquez has only won once in six attempts in Qatar and only finished second on another occasion. On the other hand, his new teammate, Jorge Lorenzo, has won here three times and finished second on three occasions. The fans favourite, Valentine Rossi, has picked up the winner-medal on four occasions in Qatar. Last year’s winner was Ducati’s rider Andrea Dovizioso. Going back over the previous five races in Qatar there has been on average 4 DNFs (did not finish) with Lorenzo, Andrea Iannone and Cal Crutchlow having the highest number of DNFs on this track over the last five years, crashing out twice each. Johann Zarco set the lap record and finished on pole position last year.</p><p> </p><h2><strong>Betting Odds</strong></h2><p>*Marc Marquez - 2/1</p><p>*Maverick Vinales - 3/1</p><p>*Andrea Dovisioso - 3/1</p><p>*Valentino Rossi - 5/1</p><p>*Alex Rins - 10/1</p><p>*Danilo Petrucci - 10/1</p><p>*Jorge Lorenzo - 12/1</p><p>*Cal Crutchlow - 30/1</p><p>*Fabio Quartararo - 40/1</p><p>*Franco Morbidelli - 50/1</p><p>*Jack Miller - 60/1</p><p>*Rest of Riders - 100/1+</p><p> </p><h2><strong>Verdict</strong></h2><p>If we are talking about form and form and results in recent seasons, we would back Marquez all day long, but looking at recent Qatar Moto GP winners, this track doesn’t seem to suit him. With the shoulder injury still healing and with his Honda bike not performing at peak powers yet I would stay away from the former world champion for this opening race. Especially as he is the favourite and there’s no value there.</p><p>Dovizioso has shown for the past 2 years with Ducati that he is a top-class rider. He won here last year and, with a good qualifying position this year he should have a great chance of claiming another win under the famous lights of Qatar. Watch out in what position he will qualify as he’s not the best rider to come up through the field and pass riders out. Anything from 6<sup>th</sup> place and above should be good for a bet.</p><p>Maverick Vinales had a poor year last season riding on a mediocre bike. After some significant improvements Yamaha have made in the offseason, it now offers him a platform to build on. Yamaha have built a nice bike this year and they have the right man on it. Vinales won on his Yamaha debut in Qatar back in 2017.</p><p>After all his hard work, riding on satellite bikes for so many years, Danilo Petrucci has been awarded a ride on a factory bike with Ducati. It’s time for him to prove his ability as a rider on one of the best bikes on the grid. He declared he’s very confident, and he will surprise a lot of people.</p><p>Alex Rins was arguably the star of the 2018 season. He outperformed his Suzuki on a number of occasions, taking a spot on the podium five times in total being very unlucky not to win a race. This year, Suzuki has improved again, and the only way is up for Rins. We expect him to win his 1<sup>st</sup> race this season. He crashed out of this race last year.</p><p>Joan Mir is a 21-year old rider who has earned a spot as Rins’ teammate on a factory bike with Suzuki. He has shown lots of potential and won Moto3 in 2017. He could nick a podium finish a few times this year at good value.</p><p>Bookies pay out each way odds for the top 3 riders in a race. Be sure to shop around for the best each way odds. Most bookies offer 1/5 or 1/4. This means you will get one fifth (1/5) of your overall potential winnings if your rider comes 2<sup>nd</sup> or 3<sup>rd</sup>.</p><p> </p><h2><strong>Recommended Bets</strong></h2><p>Andrea Dovisioso 4/1 (<a href=";a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6" target="_blank" title="Moto GP betting Odds">Betfair</a>) 2pts win</p><p>Maverick Vinales 4/1 (<a href=";a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6" target="_blank" title="Moto GP Betting Odds">Betfair</a>) 1pt each way</p><p>Alex Rins 11/1 (<a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18" target="_blank" title="Moto GP Betting Odds">Bet365</a>) 0.5pts each way</p><p>Danilo Petrucci 11/1 (<a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18" target="_blank" title="Moto GP Betting Odds">Bet365</a>) 1pt each way</p><p>Joan Mir 125/1 (<a href=";a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6" target="_blank" title="Moto GP Betting Odds">Betfair</a>) 0.5pts each way</p>
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