Moto GP San Marino: Round 13 Preview and Best Bets

Eric Kelly

Thursday, September 12, 2019 7:18 AM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 12, 2019 7:18 AM UTC

Cal Crutchlow Has A Chance To Go Well In Misano And Upset The Race Favourites

<div><h2><strong>Preview</strong></h2><p>We thought we couldn’t get much better than Andrea Dovizioso’s last corner lunge on Marc Marquez in Austria a few weeks ago to snatch the race victory. Well it happened again to Marquez in the British GP last time out. Fellow Spaniard Alex Rins stalked Marquez for the whole race, even passing him out at one point just to prove he was faster than him. He left it super late to show who was boss, beating Marquez on the line to win the race. Winning by just +0.0013, the 5<sup>th</sup> closest race finish in Moto GP history. Luckily for our readers we were sitting on Rins as race winner with odds of 20/1. Any chances Dovizioso had of winning the championship were well and truly settled on the first corner of the race when Fabio Quartararo crashed and took out Dovizioso out of the race with him. Marquez now holds a 78-point lead in the championship.</p><p>As we have towards the end of the season with seven races remaining, the battle between Valentino Rossi and teammate Maverick Vinales could get interesting. Rossi is just two point behind him in the championship and will want to come out on top in this battle to prove he is still top dog at Yamaha. The battle for third place is in full swing now after Alex’s win in Silverstone. He has a four-point lead over Danilo Petrucci in the standings.</p><h2><strong>Key Stats &amp; Facts</strong></h2><ul> <li> <p>Misano has been a regular addition on the Moto GP calendar since 2007.</p> </li> <li> <p>Valentino Rossi and Jorge Lorenzo both have three wins each at Misano in the Moto GP class. Marquez has won here twice.</p> </li> <li> <p>There has been an average of 4.1 DNFs in the previous five races.</p> </li></ul><p><a href=";a=4417b7df-a48f-47f3-9b45-f79858bc083a&amp;f=3" target="_blank"><img alt src="" style="width:100%" /></a></p><h2><strong>Betting Odds </strong></h2><ul> <li> <p>Marc Marquez 11/10</p> </li> <li> <p>Andrea Dovizioso 5/1</p> </li> <li> <p>Maverick Vinales 6/1</p> </li> <li> <p>Fabio Quartararo 6/1</p> </li> <li> <p>Valentino Rossi 7/1</p> </li> <li> <p>Alex Rins 8/1</p> </li> <li> <p>Danilo Petrucci 20/1</p> </li> <li> <p>Cal Crutchlow 22/1</p> </li> <li> <p>Jack Miller 22/1</p> </li> <li> <p>Jorge Lorenzo 28/1</p> </li> <li> <p>Rest of Field 100/1+</p> </li></ul><h2><strong>Verdict</strong></h2><p>The Misano circuit is a difficult track to call which bike it will suit best. It has long straights to suit the Ducati’s, nice sweeping turns that should suit the Suzuki and a nice flow to it that will suit Marquez and Honda. Honda have won here in three of the previous four races. The Yamahas are a question mark as always. They are by far the most inconsistent bike this year. Vinales could go well here but it’s hard to tell. We will have to wait until practice and qualifying to see the real speed of the Yamahas.</p><p>Although sitting in 9<sup>th</sup> place in the championship, Cal Crutchlow is the second-best rider in the standings on a Honda. He had a very impressive third here at this track last season and I suspect he might pull something off again this weekend. He has not been having the best of seasons this year, crashing out of three races and only making the top five on three occasions. Compared to this time last year he has made the top five on five occasions and a race win to his name. I will be honest and admit I would like a better price than 22/1, which is currently the best price available. He should be 28/1 at the very least. Unfortunately, we may take this price because if he fails to do well in qualifying, yes, we will get a much better price, but his chances of winning will be much lower, and should he do well his odds will drift in.</p><p>Vinales and Quartararo were on my list as potential winners here, but I really don’t like the short odds on both riders. I will bet on one of them depending how qualifying goes and see can we snatch up a better price. Keep an eye on my Twitter (@oblivionsports) for this tip.</p><p>We must look at Dovizioso this weekend. He won here at this track last season, he was in top form for the last few races before crashing out of the British GP and at 5/1 we can’t not have a look at him taking victory this weekend, as I stated this track will suit the Ducati because of the long straights. It is getting very hard to choose winners towards the end of the season as everybody in the top 5/6 of the betting each week has a chance at winning and is riding well. There has been plenty of riders who could have won in recent weeks that have ended up crashing.</p><h2><strong>Recommended Bets</strong></h2><p><a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Moto GP Betting Odds"><em><strong>Cal Crutchlow 23.00 (22/1) 0.5 units each way with Bet365</strong></em></a></p><p><a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Moto GP Betting Odds"><em><strong>Andrea Dovizioso 6.00 (5/1) 1 unit win with Bet365</strong></em></a></p></div>
comment here