Moto GP Thailand: Round 15 Preview and Best Bets

Eric Kelly

Thursday, October 3, 2019 6:41 AM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 3, 2019 6:41 AM UTC

Long straights in Thailand should help Ducati secure their 4th victory of the year

<div><h2><strong>Preview</strong></h2><p>The last Race in Aragon went exactly the way we anticipated. World championship leader Marc Marquez qualified on pole and ran away with the race victory at his home track, he led from the first corner to the last. Andrea Dovizioso had a good race coming from 10<sup>th</sup> on the grid to take second place, an excellent result considering the Ducati have not been fast all weekend. Australian Jack Miller road a solid race and took the final spot on the grid. It was his third podium of the year.</p><p>We managed to make +0.6 units at Aragon as we tipped up Marquez to get the win. This leaves us sitting on a nice comfortable +14.00 units for the season with five races remaining. A nice turn around considering we were -7.5 units halfway through the season.</p><p>This is possibly the hardest race all season long to make a prediction on. The Buriram circuit was only added to the calendar last year so we only have one race of data to go on. The track has a very similar layout to Austria, which is an out and out Ducati track with lots of long straights. The Buriram Circuit has three very long straights that should suit the Ducati’s. Marquez was the winner here last year beating Dovizioso on the line by +0.115 of a second.</p><h2><strong>Key Stats &amp; Facts</strong></h2><ul> <li> <p><em>This is only the second ever race at Buriram Circuit for the Moto GP.</em></p> </li> <li> <p><em>If Marquez wins this Sunday, he will officially wrap up the Moto GP world championship title for the 4<sup>th</sup> year in a row.</em></p> </li> <li> <p><em>There have been five different race winners so far this season, equalling the same number of winners we had in all the 2018 season. There are still five races remaining this year for a sixth winner to emerge.</em></p> </li></ul><h2><strong>Betting Odds </strong></h2><ul> <li> <p><em>Marc Marquez 8/11</em></p> </li> <li> <p><em>Andrea Dovizioso 4/1</em></p> </li> <li> <p><em>Maverick Vinales 8/1</em></p> </li> <li> <p><em>Fabio Quartararo 10/1</em></p> </li> <li> <p><em>Valentino Rossi 10/1</em></p> </li> <li> <p><em>Alex Rins 14/1</em></p> </li> <li> <p><em>Danilo Petrucci 22/1</em></p> </li> <li> <p><em>Jack Miller 22/1</em></p> </li> <li> <p><em>Cal Crutchlow 22/1</em></p> </li> <li> <p><em>Franco Morbidelli 50/1</em></p> </li> <li> <p><em>Jorge Lorenzo 50/1</em></p> </li> <li> <p><em>Rest of Field 100/1+</em></p> </li></ul><h2><strong>Verdict</strong></h2><p>So last years race in Thailand was one of the classic Dovizioso / Marquez battles (We have seen many in the past few years) it was one of those rear occasions were Marquez did end up coming out on top and taking the race win. I think they have had seven final lap battles with Marquez only winning on two occasion and Dovizioso on five. The Italian will want to finish the season strong and get some revenge for losing in Thailand last year. With a track like this theirs only going to be two bikes who have a chance of winning. Ducati and Honda (specifically Marquez’s Honda). I think Dovizioso showed last time out coming up through the field the way he did that he is back to his best. Take Dovizioso to get the win in Thailand this time around at 4/1.</p><p><a href=";a=4417b7df-a48f-47f3-9b45-f79858bc083a&amp;f=3" target="_blank"><img alt src="" style="width:100%" /></a></p><p>Yamaha did have a good race here last year finishing 3<sup>rd</sup> and 4<sup>th</sup> and less than 1.7 seconds behind the race winner, but last year they had a better bike and more speed in a straight line than they seem to have had this year. Both riders are too low of a price for me to bet this weekend. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Maverick Vinales go well but ultimately don’t think he will have the peace to win this weekend. If you must have a bet on any team that not Ducati or Honda, then rookie Fabio Quartararo would be the best shot at 10/1.</p><p>Australian Jack Miller could be coming into a bit of form now towards the end of the season after his podium last time out, and the fact that he is on a Ducati means I want some action on Miller to achieve a podium at the very least. I like his chances at 22/1. He should perform much better this weekend than he did last year at this track, were he finished in 10<sup>th</sup> place.</p><h2><strong>Recommended Bets</strong></h2><p><a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Moto GP Betting Odds"><em><strong>Andrea Dovizioso winner 5.00 (4/1) with Bet365 2 units</strong></em></a></p><p><a href=";a=b4150791-892f-469b-9b6a-7dfc6df0fb07&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Moto GP Betting Odds"><em><strong>Jack Miller each way 23.00 (22/1) with Ladbrokes 0.5 units e/w</strong></em></a></p></div>
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