Moto Grand Prix of Italy Betting Preview

OM Staff

Thursday, May 27, 2021 2:59 PM UTC

Thursday, May. 27, 2021 2:59 PM UTC

Betting predictions and analysis for the Italian GP. One of the most exciting races of the season is upon us as we head to Mugello in Italy. Spanish riders have won 8 of the previous 10 races at Mugello.

<div><h2 style="text-align:center">Moto Gp Italy</h2><div style="text-align:center"> </div><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Sunday, May 30th, 2020 – Race Time 1:00PM GMT</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Mugello Circuit</strong></p><p> </p><p><strong>Race Preview</strong></p><p>Jack Miller proved to strong for the rest of the field last time out in Le Mans, France as he claimed 1st position in what turned out to be a flag to flag race with tricky track conditions. The race started out as a dry race but early on the riders had to come into the pits to change their bikes as to put on wet tyres. The conditions deteriorated pretty quickly but as quick as the rain came, it disappeared just as quick, and the riders were left in a situation were they were driving around the circuit on wet tyres, but the track was practically dry. No single rider decided to take the chance by coming into the pits to put on dry tyres as their wasn’t many laps left.</p><p>In the end Australian Jack Miller was the race winner, Frenchman Johan Zarco finished in 2nd place to see two Ducati’s 1st and 2nd on the podium. Finally Fabio Quartararo finished in 3rd place, which was enough to see him stay top of the championship leader board. Theirs now just 1 point separating Quartararo in 1st and Bagnia in 2nd.</p><p>Six time world champion, Marc Marquez looked very strong in Le Mans and it seemed for a few laps he was going to win the race, until he ultimately crashed out whilst in the lead. Although theirs still 14 races to go, it seems Marquez s challenge to become world champions for a 7th time has all but faded away, never say never but at his current odds of 4.5 to lift the trophy at the end of the season we see absolutely zero value in taking that bet, we would prefer Marquez to be at least 12.0. Marquez is 64 points behind Quartararo, that’s a lot to make up, and that doesn’t include the other 15 riders between the two riders.</p><p>Both Danilo Petrucci and Alex Marquez had their best races of the season as they finished 5th (Petrucci) and 6th (Marquez) respectively, both riders started 17th and 19th on the grid.</p><p>Last time out in Mugello, we witnessed one of the most entertaining races in recent years as Danilo Petrucci fought off Andrea Dovizioso and Marc Marquez to claim his first ever race win in the Moto GP class. Their was no Mugello race in 2019 due to the Pandemic. Valentino Rossi claimed a whopping 7 race wins in a row at this track between 2002 and 2008. Mugello is often described as one of the most hostile races for non-Italian riders as there is</p><p>overwhelmingly passionate Valentino Rossi fans as well as other Italian racers. Although not hostile in the aggressive sense.</p><p><strong>Riders Odds </strong></p><p><a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">*All Odds With Bet365</a></p><ul> <li>Franco Bagnia 4.0</li> <li>Fabio Quartararo 4.75</li> <li>Jack Miller 4.75</li> <li>Marc Marquez 8.5</li> <li>Maverick Vinales 9.0</li> <li>Johan Zarco 9.0</li> <li>Franco Morbidelli 9.0</li> <li>Alex Rins 19.0</li> <li>Joan Mir 19.0</li> <li>Valentino Rossi 23.0</li> <li>Pol Espargaro 34.0</li> <li>Rest of the Field 51.0+</li></ul><div> </div><p><strong>Moto Gp Race Tips</strong></p><p><strong>Ducati Track</strong></p><p>In recent years Mugello has been a very strong track for the Ducati’s as there is a lot of straights, as well as the start finish straight which is one of the longest in the Moto GP calendar. The Ducati bikes have one of the fastest speeds in the straights, which is ideal for this track. Theirs been 6 Ducati podium finishes from a possible 9 in the previous 3 races. We cant ignore the fact they are very strong here, and with Jack Miller finding some hot form with his first ever back 2 back race wins, we have to think the Australian represents some value at 4.75 as he is only the 3rd favorite to win on Sunday.</p><p><strong>Short Odds Field</strong></p><p>Its clear the bookies feel this is a tight race and a possibility for 6/7 riders to win as there are 7 riders that are priced up at less than 9.0, this is very rare in Moto GP betting as usually only 3 or 4 riders are priced up at less than 9.0. We can’t rule out the Suzuki’s either at 19.0. Lets not forget Johan Zarco is also on a Ducati and he has finished on the podium in 3 of his first 5 races this season. For us, it’s hard to call the race winner but you cant go wrong betting the Ducati’s each way.</p><p><strong>Best Bet:</strong> <a href=";a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Jack Miller at 4.75 with Betfair</a></p><p><strong>Free Moto Gp Tip:</strong> <a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Johan Zarco at 9.0 with Bet365</a></p></div>
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