Moto Grand Prix of Portugal Betting Preview

OM Staff

Friday, November 20, 2020 4:53 PM UTC

Friday, Nov. 20, 2020 4:53 PM UTC

Betting predictions and analysis of the final round of the 2020 MotoGP season. Joan Mir was crowned champion last weekend, but can he top it off with a victory in Portugal this Sunday?
<div><h3 style="text-align:center">MotoGP Portugal</h3><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Sunday, November 22nd, 2020 – Race Time 2 pm GMT at Portimão Circuit</strong></p><p> </p><h3>Race Preview</h3><h3> </h3><p>MotoGP has finally returned to Portugal for the first time since 2012. They will be racing at the Portimao circuit (instead of the traditional Estoril). From the year 2000 to 2012, every MotoGP race in Portugal was held in Estoril, now the riders will face a new challenge in the Algarve. We have no track form to go off or recent race history because this is a brand new track for both teams and riders. Right now, the practice sessions are the best indicators regarding who could be fast this weekend. It’s a similar sort of track to Brno (Czech Republic), and that race gave us the shock of the season as Brad Binder went on to win at odds of 95/1.</p><p>A lot will be happening this weekend, as André Dovizioso will leave Ducati and take a sabbatical year away from MotoGP (he has been in MotoGP since 2008). British rider Cal Crutchlow steps away too, albeit as a test rider for Yamaha going forward. Valentino Rossi switches from the factory Yamaha to join their second team Petronas for the 2021 season.</p><p>As we can see from the odds below, <a href="">the top-rated books</a> have no clue who is going to win this weekend as we have nine riders all at MotoGP betting odds of less than 10/1. This is the first time all season we have seen so many riders priced up at such short odds. There is also no clear favourite,<strong> Franco Morbidelli</strong> leads the way at odds of 7.0, whilst current world champion <strong>Joan Mir</strong> is right behind In the betting at 7.50.</p><p> </p><h3>Riders Odds</h3><h3> </h3><ul> <li>Franco Morbidelli 7.0</li> <li>Joan Mir 7.50</li> <li>Alex Rins 8.0</li> <li>Miguel Olivera 8.0</li> <li>Pol Espargaro 8.0</li> <li>Maverick Vinales 8.0</li> <li>Jack Miller 9.0</li> <li>Fabio Quartararo 9.0</li> <li>Taki Nakagami 10.00</li> <li>Brad Binder 15.00</li> <li>Johan Zarco 17.00</li> <li>Alex Espargaro 26.00</li> <li>Andrea Dovizioso 26.00</li> <li>Rest of Field 41.00+</li></ul><p>*All with <a href="">Bet365</a></p><p> </p><h3>Race Betting Analysis</h3><h3> </h3><p>There are several riders we can put a line through right now. In our opinion, they hold zero value whatsoever at their current odds. These riders are Miguel Olivera, Jack Miller, Pol Espargaro, Taki Nakagami, and Maverick Vinales.</p><p>Nakagami, Miller, and Vinales have failed to win races as favourites and can’t be trusted, especially at such low odds. Espargaro and Olivera have been impressive this season, but again, fail to produce the results when they are expected to. We also believe Olivera is under-priced because he is Portuguese, and the books know he will be backed to win his home race.</p><p>Joan Mir and <strong>Fabio Quartararo</strong> were both favourites for the championship only a few weeks ago, as we predicted in <a href="">our article</a> at the time, Mir was the best outright bet as he had been a lot more consistent that Quartararo. Mir will want to win on Sunday, and we give him a chance to do so, but it's hard to back him as he might try a little too hard to win it considering he has nothing to lose. Quartararo is just totally out of form right now, and he's not worth a bet at these current odds.</p><p> </p><h3>Moto GP Race Betting Picks</h3><h3> </h3><p><strong>Alex Rins</strong> has really started to find his form in the last 6 races, having managed a podium finish in 4 of those 6 races. He is the teammate of new world champion, Joan Mir, and right now their Suzuki bikes are the best on the grid. One could argue that if Rins had a better start to the season he could have been world champion. Rins still has a lot to ride for as he will want to take second in the championship ahead of Franco Morbidelli. Betting odds at 8.0 seems very high right now for the Spaniard, and should he have a good qualifying, these odds will no doubt be slashed in half.</p><p><strong>Franco Morbidelli</strong> has won 2 of the previous 3 races and seems to be in top form right now, this track should suit Yamaha and Suzuki the most. Arguably, also KTM, but the Yamahas and Suzukis should dominate. Morbidelli is far from a consistent rider, he seems to either win or come nowhere significant. With that being said, we did say this track is similar to Brno, and he did manage 2nd place at the Brno race a few months back. We believe Morbidelli at betting odds of 7.0 is good value, he should finish inside the top three based on recent form.</p><p><strong>Brad Binder</strong> shocked the world when he won at Brno with a massive odds of 95/1. Seeing as this is a similar sort of track, and anything can happen, we believe Binder is worth a shot at current odds of 15.00 with <a href="">888Sport</a>. He went through a bad patch mid-season, where he failed to finish inside the top 10 for 6 races, but he has now slowly started to improve, finishing 7th and 5th in his last two races.</p><p> </p><h3>Free Moto GP Betting Picks:</h3><h3> </h3><p><strong>Best Bet:</strong> <a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Alex Rins Each Way at 8.0 with Bet365</a></p><p><strong>Free MotoGP Pick</strong>: <a href=";a=8e57de00-8c0e-4848-b6da-ea2a0f565fb1&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Brad Binder Each Way at 15.00 with 888Sport</a></p><p><strong>Free MotoGP Pick:</strong> <a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Franco Morbidelli Each Way at 7.0 with Bet365</a></p><p><strong>Free MotoGP Pick:</strong> <a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Pol Espargaro Podium Finish at 2.65 with Bet365</a></p></div>
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