NBA Betting Tips: The Best and Worst Teams Against the Spread

Martin Green

Monday, February 18, 2019 9:53 PM UTC

Monday, Feb. 18, 2019 9:53 PM UTC

We take a look at the teams that have made punters money and those that have caused misery over the course of the NBA season.

<p>Spread betting reigns supreme in the NBA as basketball is a high scoring sport and it often yields a number of uneven contests. It can be hard to find value in backing some teams to win outright and many punters prefer to look at the point spread instead. This is equivalent to a handicap and it levels the playing field by giving the supposedly weaker team a head start. Each team has an “against the spread” record, which details how regularly they have covered it. Here are some of the best and worst teams against the spread so far this season:</p><h1>The Best</h1><h2>Milwaukee Bucks</h2><p>Giannis Antetokounmpo and co have been the toast of punters across the world this season as they have covered the spread 63% of the time. Bookmakers typically offer identical odds on either team to cover the spread – 10/11 (1.91) is the standard price at bookmakers like <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=153&amp;a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6" target="_blank">Betfair</a> and <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=8e57de00-8c0e-4848-b6da-ea2a0f565fb1" target="_blank">888 Sport</a> – so backing the Bucks to cover throughout the season would have netted you a tidy profit thus far. <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tips/more-sports/nba-mvp-futures-a-showdown-between-the-beard-and-the-greek-freak/89402/" target="_blank" title="The Greek Freak NBA MVP Odds">The Greek Freak</a> is a superstar, but he does not exactly have a sensationally gifted roster around him, so odds compilers have constantly underrated the Bucks over the course of the season. Yet they now have the best record in the league and they could be a real handful in the playoffs.</p><h2>Dallas Mavericks</h2><p>The Mavericks are not having a great season: they sit 12<sup>th</sup> out of 15 teams in the Western Conference, they have lost more games than they have won and their away record is positively abysmal. However, they excel in one metric. They are the second best team against the spread this season, covering it 61.4% of the time. They often lose, but they rarely lose by quite as heavy a margin as they bookmakers anticipate, and they also pull off plenty of surprise victories. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games and it is always worth looking at them to pull off an upset.</p><h2>Sacramento Kings</h2><p>Last season the Kings finished with a 27-55 record and they were not expected to generate a notable improvement this time around. Second year point guard De’Aaron Fox has enjoyed a superb second season and Marvin Bagley III looks like a great prospect. They now have a 30-27 record and their long-suffering fans are daring to dream of a first playoff appearance since 2006. Signing Harrison Barnes and Alec Burks is a signal of intent. They have covered the spread 60.7% of the time this season, making them punters’ darlings too. Honourable mentions must also go to Oklahoma City, Brooklyn, Portland and Orlando as they all have strong records.</p><h1>The Worst</h1><h2>Toronto Raptors</h2><p>The Raps finished top of the Eastern Conference last season and then brought in superstar Kawhi Leonard to improve their chances of success, so big things were expected of them. They are enjoying a pretty strong season, as they are second in the east and they have the second best record in the league (43-16). However, they have not been winning by the sort of margins that bookmakers expected and they have covered the spread just 43.1% of the time.</p><h2>Golden State Warriors</h2><p><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tips/more-sports/nba-futures-betting-can-anyone-stop-the-golden-state-warriors-this-season/89466/" target="_blank" title="Golden State Warriors NBA Betting">The Dubs</a> are arguably the greatest team in NBA history, having won the NBA Championship in three of the past four seasons. The likes of Steph Curry, Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson are often unplayable, and they are overwhelming favourites to seize glory again this year, best priced at just 10/21 (1.48) with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18" target="_blank">Bet365</a>. They are top of the Western Conference, but they have not been as dominant as you would expect and they often lose due to injuries or a lack of motivation. As such, they are the second worst team at covering the spread this season and it is often worth opposing them.</p><h2>Phoenix Suns</h2><p>The Suns are just a terrible team by every metric conceivable. They have lost 15 games in a row to slump to 11-48 for the season and they are on course to be known as one of the worst teams ever. They often simply roll over and lose heavily without giving their fans anything whatsoever to cheer, and they have the worst record against the spread in the league this season.</p>
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