New Zealand vs England Third Twenty20 2019 Betting Tips

Ed Hawkins

Monday, November 4, 2019 12:32 PM UTC

Monday, Nov. 4, 2019 12:32 PM UTC

What are the hot tips and best bets for the T20 clash?
<div><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>New Zealand vs England </strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Third T20, International T20 Series</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/cricket/int/t-20-series-new-zealand-vs-england/new-zealand-vs-england-3961546/?mtid=6" target="_blank" title="Game Odds"><strong>Tuesday 5 November, Saxon Oval, Nelson</strong></a></p><p>We bring you news of the third Twenty20 international in irritant mood. Jonny Bairstow, England’s one world class performer (well, maybe Eoin Morgan, too) and our wager for top England series bat, is likely to be dropped for the rest of the series for game three in Nelson.</p><p>It’s an extraordinary move from England who are, granted, experimenting in preparation for the World T20 next year. But even so. Bairstow is the only hitter they have who can go blow for blow with the likes of Martin Guptill and Colin Munro if they get on a road.</p><p>Admittedly the wicket in Nelson is unlikely to be that. That could provide value elsewhere as we look to get over our disappointment with the Bairstow wager.</p><p>Thanks be to <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Get in the game with Bet365">Bet365</a>, then, who have gone very toppy indeed with their total match sixes quote for the contest. They go 1.83 (5/6) over or under at 15.5 clearly believing that the boundaries will be short and cleared easily. Look, it could happen but we don’t have any evidence for that.</p><p>We have trawled through our database for domestic T20 at the ground and found that if you had wagered under at the same odds and at the same quote in all matches, you would have won 12 times in 14. That sounds like an edge from where we’re sitting.</p><p>New Zealand average a shade under eight sixes per game over the last two years. And it is true that no team is more dangerous in terms of maximums. But it is also true that England have left power hitters like Ben Stokes and Jason Roy at home as they were in dire need of a rest. The outcome is replacing them with players who don’t carry the same power. Dawid Malan and Sam Billings both average fewer sixes per game.</p><p>England’s average over the last two years is about 6.5 (but with the likes of Roy and Stokes, not Malan or Billings. Even if both teams performed to the mean, <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Get in the game with Bet365">Bet365</a> are half a six too high.</p><p><strong>Best Bet: Back under 15.5 total match sixes 1.83<a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Get in the game with Bet365"> Bet365</a></strong></p><p><strong><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=160&amp;a=9feaaf7a-d7a2-4185-974a-81ad171951df&amp;f=3"><img alt src="https://imstore.bet365affiliates.com/AffiliateCreativeBanners/Sports/General/Bet%20Builder/en-GB/UK/STD/728x90_2.jpeg" style="width:100%" /></a></strong></p></div>
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