NFL Week 1 | Pigskin Parlay: Predictions & Analysis

Jason Paglia

Friday, September 6, 2019 9:26 AM UTC

Friday, Sep. 6, 2019 9:26 AM UTC

The Ravens defensive unit is two levels above the Miami Dolphin offensive starters

<div><p>Each week of the NFL season the OddsMarket NFL team will release a Pigskin Parlay article. They may differ from week to week. One week it could be a double, the next week it could be an Asian Handicap line or winner accumulator. The goal, to finish the season with more units than we started with.</p><p>The most important tip I can give anyone the first month of the NFL season is bet light with low volume. If at the end of Week 4 you are even or plus a few units, you have set yourself up for a winning season. The problem most people have when betting the NFL is this, they get buried early. You have to watch more and bet less the first month of the year. In many cases we have no idea how free agent moves and the yearly draft class will translate to the field. By the time Week 4/5 comes around you don’t want to be down 20 units when you finally have a grasp on what these teams actually are. Take this advice seriously and you are already ahead of the game.</p><p><strong>Week 1: 2 Teams Accumulator</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong><img alt src="" style="width:700px;height:394px" /></strong></p><h2><strong>Baltimore Ravens:</strong></h2><p>This early into the season I am fading teams more than I am betting on teams. It looks like it will be another abysmal season for the Miami Dolphins. They have one of the worst rosters top to bottom in professional football. Ryan Fitzpatrick is not a starting quarterback in the NFL. He is one of the most inconsistent quarterbacks of the last decade, but I understand why the Dolphins are starting him. The Dolphins picked up Josh Rosen in a trade but have no idea if he is ready to start in the NFL, clearly last year he wasn’t. In week 1 of the season they take on a Baltimore Ravens team that is moving in the right direction. The Ravens will have one of the 5 best defenses in the league this year and the question this game comes down to is, how are the Dolphins going to score enough points to win this game? They don’t, that’s the easy answer. The Ravens defensive unit is two levels above the Miami Dolphin offensive starters, so that takes care of one side of the ball.</p><p>On the flip side, if there is one concern the Ravens have this year it is how does QB Lamar Jackson respond in year 2? Last season he beat defenses with his legs, he is explosive and lightning quick so when he couldn’t get a first down last season with his arm, he used his legs. This season defenses are going to make him beat them with his arm and that is what the Baltimore Ravens season hinges on. If he proves to defenses that he does have the arm to lead the Ravens to victory, the Ravens fanbase is in for one hell of a ride. Either way, he has both the legs and the arm to beat the Miami Dolphins.</p><p><a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="NFL Betting Odds"><strong><em>Leg 1 – Baltimore Ravens to win the match at 1.32 with Bet365</em></strong></a></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong><em><img alt src="" style="width:700px;height:374px" /></em></strong></p><h2><strong>Dallas Cowboys:</strong></h2><p>So, we faded the Miami Dolphins and took the Baltimore Ravens in Leg 1. Now we will fade the New York Giants and take the Dallas Cowboys in Leg 2. What on earth is there to like about the New York football Giants? They have a quarterback in Eli Manning that should have legitimately retired three years ago from the league. They lost the only upper echelon defensive talent they had last season in Landon Collins, and they lost one of the best wide receivers in the NFL this offseason in Odell Beckham Jr. There is literally ONE shining light in what should be a very dark season for the New York Giants and that is their stud running back Saquon Barkley. He had a phenomenal rookie campaign and should look even better as a sophomore. Here is the problem, a running back can’t carry you to the promise land in 2019.</p><p>The Dallas Cowboys, however, are stacked. A quarterback in Dak Prescott that is one of 3 players at the position that have won at least 10 games per season since entering the league. A running back in Ezekiel Elliott who is top 5 at the position league wide. A huge midseason acquisition from a year ago in wide receiver Amari Cooper and the best offensive line in football. On the defensive side of the ball they were very solid last season. They finished the 2018 season ranked 9<sup>th</sup> in DVOA and the 2019 projections look as good. The Dallas Cowboys should be an NFC Playoff team this year barring too many injuries and should have no issue putting the NY Giants away in week 1. I know most people think no matter how good or bad division foes are, the games are usually close. My response to that question would be, when was the last time there was this big a gap in talent? Exactly.</p><p><a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="NFL Betting Odds"><strong><em>Leg 2 – Dallas Cowboys to win with -1 Asian Handicap at 1.29 with Bet365</em></strong></a></p><p align="center"><strong>Pigskin Parlay Wrap Up</strong></p><p align="center"><strong>NFL Week 1: 2-team Acca Bet</strong><br /><strong><em>Leg 1 – Baltimore Ravens to win</em></strong><br /><strong><em>Leg 2 – Dallas Cowboys to win with -1AH</em></strong><br /><strong><em>Total Stake – 1 Unit</em></strong></p><p align="center"><strong><em>PARLAY BANK – 10 Units to start.</em></strong></p></div>
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