NFL Week 14 | Pigskin Parlay: Predictions & Analysis

Jason Paglia

Saturday, December 7, 2019 9:40 AM UTC

Saturday, Dec. 7, 2019 9:40 AM UTC

The Denver Broncos will not make a serious playoff run this season. Why? Because this is a bad football team.

<div><p>Each week of the NFL season the Odds Market NFL team will release a Pigskin Parlay article. They may differ from week to week. One week it could be a Teaser, the next week it could be a spread or money line parlay. The goal, to finish the season with more units than we started with.</p><p>Through 13 weeks of the NFL season we are down 4.17units. Again, we had another week where 2 of 3 legs of the parlay cashed and we just fell short again. Even though we have hit 2 of 3 the last 4 weeks and are 8-4, we can’t put it all together. The frustrations of parlays folks. Eventually the worm has to turn. All you can do is trust your capping and move forward. That’s what I’ve done, Let’s do this!</p><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Week 14: 3 TEAM SPREAD/TOTAL ACCUMULATOR </strong></h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong><img alt src="" style="width:700px;height:390px" /></strong><br /><b>Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills</b></h2><div><p>The Ravens get their most impressive win of the season last weekend against a 10-1 49ers team at the time, and the Ravens proved they are currently the best team in the National Football League. Vegas has now made them the odds-on favorite to win the Super Bowl and deservedly so. Lamar Jackson has been spectacular this year and looks to be the favorite to win Most Valuable Player this season. On the flip side, the Buffalo Bills have now won 9 of 12 football games this year, and I must say I am shocked. They have an offense outside the Top 20 yet they continue to tick off wins and are now a threat to win the AFC East. The Bills went on the road on Thanksgiving Day and absolutely destroyed the Dallas Cowboys in Jerry World. They outplayed the Cowboys in every facet of the game including offensively. The Bills are getting better on the offensive side of the ball, but they are still not good enough for me to back them week after week.</p><p>This line opened as the Ravens -7 and has since dropped to -5. I am not stepping in front of the buzz saw that is the Baltimore Ravens right now, but I’m really not look to lay 5 points on the road against a 9-3 football team. Betting that long term in the NFL is a losing proposition. So, the first leg of the parlay is going to be the Ravens ML. I think they win the game, I would rather not have to worry about the spread. Book It!</p><p><a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="NFL Betting Odds"><strong><em>Leg ONE – Baltimore Ravens Money Line (1.39) with Bet365</em></strong></a></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong><em><img alt src="" style="width:700px;height:368px" /></em></strong></p><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans</strong></h2><p>This game looks like a perfect letdown spot for the Houston Texans. They come into this week off one of their quarterback Deshaun Watson and head coach Bill O’Brien’s best wins in their Houston Texans tenure. The destroyed the Patriots on both sides of the ball last week. Watson was spectacular. He threw for 234 yards but had 3 touchdowns with a mistake free 0 interceptions. The score was not a fair representation of the actual game play. The Patriots scored a garbage time touchdown to make it a 28-22 final. The Texans are for real. I think they are one of the 3 or 4 best teams in the league right now and are live to make a serious playoff run this season.</p><p>However, the Denver Broncos will not make a serious playoff run this season. Why? Because this is a bad football team. In fairness, the Broncos were Bit by the injury bug this season. Their starting quarterback has been out the majority of the year in Joe Flacco, and last week they started their 3<sup>rd</sup> string quarterback. Rookie QB Drew Lock got the start last week for the Broncos against the Chargers. The Broncos ended up getting the win over a Los Angeles Chargers team in freefall. Lock played better than I thought but I don’t see how he puts together the offensive effort to stay competitive against the Texans offense. The line currently sits at Texans -9 points. Should they cover that? Yes, they should but I am going with the money line because we need a pigskin parlay winner after the last 4 weeks. Give me the Texans.</p><p><a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="NFL Betting Odds"><strong><em>LEG TWO – Houston Texans Money Line at (1.26) with Bet365</em></strong></a></p><p><a href=";a=4417b7df-a48f-47f3-9b45-f79858bc083a&amp;f=3" target="_blank"><img alt src="" style="width:100%" /></a></p><h2 style="text-align:center"><b>Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets</b></h2><div><p>To me this game screams the definition of recency bias. The whole world saw the Jets lose to a winless team last week in the Cincinnati Bengals. They were 0-10 going into to the game with the Jets and the Bengals slapped the Jets around up and down the field. On the other end of the spectrum the betting public saw something else. They saw the Miami Dolphins beat a potential division winner in a scrappy, high scoring game against the Eagles.</p><p>So, what happened when the line opened up? The public saw the Dolphins as a touchdown under dog and slammed them. Now the line is down to 5 and even though I am not betting the spread I support anyone taking the Jets -5. The line was 7 for a reason. The Jets are a 4-win team with a top 10 defense. The Dolphins are a 3-win team with the worst defense in the National Football League. People forget that prior to last week’s debacle the New York Jets won 3 in a row, scoring 34 points per game in those 3 consecutive wins. We can see the Jets roll here, but to be safe… Give me the Jets money line.</p><p><a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="NFL Betting Odds"><strong><em>LEG THREE – New York Jets Money Line (1.43)</em></strong><strong><em> with Bet365</em></strong></a></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Pigskin Parlay Wrap Up</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>NFL Week 11: 3 TEAM ACCUMULATOR </strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong><em>LEG ONE – Baltimore Ravens ML (1.39)</em></strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong><em>LEG TWO – Houston Texans ML (1.26)</em></strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong><em>LEG THREE – New York Jets ML (1.43)</em></strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong><em>TOTAL STAKE – (1.00 unit) TO WIN (2.50)</em></strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong><em>SEASON RECORD (3-8)</em></strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong><em>PARLAY BANK – (10 Units to start.)</em></strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong><em>TOTAL PROFIT/LOSS – (-4.17u)</em></strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong><em>CURRENT BANK – (5.83 UNITS)</em></strong></p></div></div></div>
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