NFL Week 5 | Pigskin Parlay: Predictions & Analysis

Jason Paglia

Saturday, October 5, 2019 9:08 AM UTC

Saturday, Oct. 5, 2019 9:08 AM UTC

We are going to reach for the stars and do quick hits on 3 teams

<p>Each week of the NFL season the Odds Market NFL team will release a Pigskin Parlay article. They may differ from week to week. One week it could be a Teaser, the next week it could be a spread or money line parlay. The goal, to finish the season with more units than we started with.</p><p>Through 4 weeks, we are (2-2) and even through the first month. We got back on track last week with the money line parlay and we are going right back to the well with another one this week gentlemen. The first step was being at least even through the first month. Mission Accomplished there, and now its to time to get that money. Let’s get after it.</p><div><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Week 5: 3-TEAM ACCUMULATOR</strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><strong>(We are going to reach for the stars and do quick hits on 3 teams)</strong></p><h2><strong>Atlanta Falcons vs Houston Texans:</strong></h2><p>The Texans screwed me last week, I thought it was a perfect spot against the Colts last week as a short home favorite and the Texans could not get it done. The defense showed up last week, but the offense was absolutely no where to be found. I am not ready to give up on this team. As far as I‘m concerned they are still the team to beat in the AFC South now that the Colts are without Andrew Luck. The Falcons are historically bad on the road. If you are asking me who I would rather back in this game, Matty Ice on the road or Deshaun Watson to get back on track at home, I am backing Watson. I think this Texans team gets back on track offensively and does enough on defense to stop the Mediocre Atlanta Falcons.</p><p><a href=";a=dcba5f2b-1dd5-4c29-82c4-99531abcc5db&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="NFL Betting Odds"><strong><em>LEG ONE – Houston Texans to win 1.52 with Matchbook</em></strong></a></p><p><a href=";a=ec641d03-1e6d-4096-9f5f-d2a6939022d0&amp;f=3" target="_blank"><img alt src="" style="width:100%" /></a></p><h2><strong>Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs:</strong></h2><p>The Kansas City Chiefs are what we thought they are, the best best offense in professional football. Their defense however, is what we thought they were…. Not that good. On the flipside, the Indianapolis Colts were a riddle coming into the season. Andrew Luck retires right before the season started and flipped the teams right on its head. Luckily for them, QB Jacoby Brissett has come in and done as good a job as you would expect him to after being thrust into the starting role. The offense has not been the problem for the Colts, it has been the defense. That is the difference in the game. Both teams have bad defenses but only one team has a historically good quarterback. Patrick Mahomes is the difference in this game. The market has the line at -11 at home, and all we are asking this prolific offense to do is win at home. A homefield that is sure to cause the Colts offense problems. Take the Chiefs at Arrow Head.</p><p><a href=";a=dcba5f2b-1dd5-4c29-82c4-99531abcc5db&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="NFL Betting Odds"><strong><em>LEG TWO – Kansas City Chiefs to win at 1.20</em></strong><strong><em> with Matchbook</em></strong></a></p><h2><strong>Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys:</strong></h2><p>Both of these teams are coming in off a loss, so what team gets the favored spot? To me it is the Dallas Cowboys. They lost a tough defensive game at home by 2 points, a game they could have easily won but couldn’t get the job done. On the flipside the Green Bay Packers dropped the game at home to the Eagles in a high scoring game. The Packers for the first time this year had a defense that looked closer to the awful defense they had a year ago. That was the defense I expected them to have all season. Wentz might have only thrown 160 yards against this Packers defense, but he threw for 3 touchdowns. The running game was equally successful against the Packers defense, rushing for 160 yards and controlling the possession. If that defense shows up against a Cowboys team that will be motivated and at home, I think they can get burned over the top multiple times. The Dallas running game should keep the Packers defense honest by stacking players closer to the box to contain Elliott, which should give Dak Prescott multiple opportunities to go over the top of the defense for big gains. At the end of the day I think they have the better offense and the better defense. I am willing to fade the market here. Lay it with the Boys.</p><p><a href=";a=dcba5f2b-1dd5-4c29-82c4-99531abcc5db&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="NFL Betting Odds"><strong><em>LEG THREE – Dallas Cowboys to win at 1.61 with </em></strong><strong><em>Matchbook</em></strong></a></p><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Pigskin Parlay Wrap Up</strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><strong><em>LEG ONE – Houston Texans at (1.52)</em></strong><br /><strong><em>LEG TWO Kansas City Chiefs at (1.20)</em></strong><br /><strong><em>LEG THREE Dallas Cowboys at (1.61)</em></strong><br /><strong><em>TOTAL STAKE – (1.00 unit) TO WIN (2.70)</em></strong><br /><strong><em>PARLAY BANK – (10 Units to start.)</em></strong><br /><strong><em>TOTAL PROFIT/LOSS – (0.00u)</em></strong><br /><strong><em>CURRENT BANK – (10 UNITS)</em></strong></p><p> </p><div> </div><div> </div><div> </div></div>
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