Prop Bets from the Three-Eyed Raven: GoT Betting Markets

Adam Boothe

Tuesday, March 19, 2019 5:12 PM UTC

Tuesday, Mar. 19, 2019 5:12 PM UTC

The explosive final season is just a few weeks away. If you're a betting man, woman, wight, or halfling borrow some money from the Bank of Bravos to throw on some of these great props!

<h2>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;iframe width=\"560\" height=\"315\" src=\"https://www.youtube.com/embed/2MiYSfRaW74\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt;"}[/]</h2><p> </p><h2>Winter Is...Here!</h2><p>Season Seven of the epic series saw the seasons change in Westeros; both literally and figuratively. After years of warnings from various sombre members of the Stark family that 'Winter is coming', the conclusion of last season confirmed that the green lands south of The Wall would indeed be exposed to some fluffy white snow...and nothing more of course!</p><p>Well that's the case in Christmas movies however, in a world controlled by the imagination of George RR Martin, winter will be bringing an army of the undead. There are already dozens of articles out there discussing what markets are available for betting. Instead of another fence-sitting summary, I decided to open up about what I am on and why.</p><p><em><strong>Disclaimer:</strong></em> This is my first time betting on the entertainment/tv show markets. It's important to keep in mind that the entire outcome is already known by someone, somewhere. It is only meant to be recreational if you are a fan of the show. Goes without saying that you should watch the first six seasons before reading this article!</p><p>Almost every quality sportsbook has posted at least a couple props for the final season. I contacted a few that did not and they informed me that either they will (by April) or they did not offer markets where there is a fixed outcome.</p><p style="text-align:center;">[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;The trailer is here. &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/GameofThrones?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#GameofThrones&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/L48jOwsUzn\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/L48jOwsUzn&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Game of Thrones (@GameOfThrones) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/GameOfThrones/status/1102962107203682304?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;5 de março de 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><h2>Character to Die First</h2><ul> <li><strong>Arya v Sansa</strong></li></ul><p>A huge focal point of the story has been the evolution of these polar opposite sisters. When they finally reunited in S7 it was never more apparent; Sansa sitting at the head table ruling Winterfell, Arya besting Brienne of Tarth in one-to-one combat. On the backs of their family tragedy they certainly evolved, but it still stands that they will never hold the same interests. As much as it pains me to say it, Arya holds a much higher likelihood to die before Sansa in Season 8. It wasn't just the trailer scene either. She has unfinished business with the Many-Faced God, or what I refer to as the religion of assassins. Additionally there is a good chance she will be trying to finish her 'list' before the wights come. Maybe a rescue/assassination mission to Kings Landing. At the very least we know she won't be pulling out her sewing needles when Winterfell comes under siege. And who knows, perhaps Nymeria will have a her 'back'...<br /><strong>- Bet: </strong>Arya @ 1.56 [<a href="http://affiliate.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=155&amp;a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker">Pinnacle</a>]</p><p> </p><ul> <li><strong>Theon v Euron</strong></li></ul><p>Ever since Theon's promiscuous little horse ride with sister Yara, not much has gone well for the Pyke boy. He was seemingly disowned by the father who traded him to the Starks, belittled by his men, disrespected by the the citizens of Winterfell, traded by his own men to the Boltons, tortured continuously by the Boltons, hunted by his countrymen when his uncle seized control, attacked by the same man witnessing the capture of his sister and then belittled by his own men once more for abandoning her. It's an understatment to say that he has not had a good run in his short life. Ser Rodrik said it best, "Gods help you Theon Greyjoy, now you are truly lost." S7 ended with a seemingly positive turn for the young Iron Islander as it was clear that he would set out on a quest to rescue his sister through whatever adversity. However I don't believe it is going to matter in the end, Euron is a critical antagonist set to do Cersei's bidding at least until either of them turn on each other. So while Theon might not be slain by his dear uncle, I don't think it likely he will outlast him.<br /><strong>- Bet: </strong>Theon @ 2.34 [Pinnacle]</p><p> </p><ul> <li><strong>Bronn v Varys</strong></li></ul><p>There are two characters introduced in the first season who have their fingers, and webs, scattered throughout the Seven Kingdoms; Littlefinger and Varys. We see them regularly indulging in banter regarding their knowledge and manipulations. Varys has held a very key role in some major events that have come to pass and he has played both sides in doing so. I do believe he will meet a grim fate before long, however not before Ser Bronn of the Blackwater. The once sellsword will undoubtedly be on the front lines of the coming conflict and with a seemingly diminshed role as the seasons have continued I think he will be the first to die between these two.<br /><strong>- Bet: </strong>Bronn @ 3.3 [Pinnacle]</p><p> </p><ul> <li><strong>Who will kill Cersei?</strong></li></ul><p>Despite Arya holding Cersei near the top of her short-list, I believe if Cersei is to die (and isn't due to alcohol poisoning) it will likely be to one of her brothers. The final scene with her and Jaime was a critical one. Like many, I thought the Queen would finally have her brother cut down. That being said, it is clear her twin does not currently possess the same loathing for others. He may be more tempted to show compasion to his once-upon-a-time lover. With this in mind, there are two plays that I would like to make here.</p><ul> <li>Jaime @ 1.72 [<a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=3e56a0bf-7bdf-4fe1-b9a6-d22c7cc3dd2c" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Place your bets with Betway">Betway</a>]</li> <li>Euron @ 34.00 [Betway]</li></ul><p>A union between the Greyjoy and Lannister families would mean nothing to the Iron Islander other than more power. There is a good chance he will be in the closest proximity to Cersei for much of the season. Staking size is important if you plan to play both!</p><p> </p><ul> <li><strong>Who will kill the Night King?</strong></li></ul><p>The fantasy theorist nuts are generally in agreement about one thing the Night King wasn't just a man - he holds some connection to the Stark blood line. There are two general camps; the Night King was actually the Night's King and therefore holds a commonality to Jon Snow, or that Bran has affected past and current events through his powers as the Three-Eyed Raven and holds a unique bond to the man tied to the tree pierced by dragonglass. Based upon some research, my theory is that the Night King, whether connected to Jon or Bran, will not be destroyed from some show of force. A lot of people might be hoping for a glorious dance of dragons in the sky in which Jon slays the Night King with his Valerian sword, but I posit that it will be through the brains and cunning of Bran and perhaps his new sidekick, Sam. Afterall, knowledge is power, right?</p><ul> <li>Brandon Stark @ 5.00 [<a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=4fd3c129-b898-4816-9a61-9f7e8f34295a" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Get in the game with Unibet">Unibet</a>]</li> <li>Samwell Tarly @ 21.00 [Unibet]</li></ul><p> </p><h2>Who will rule the Seven Kingdoms?</h2><ul> <li> <p><strong>The Iron Throne</strong></p> </li></ul><p>The most pressing question on everyone's mind; who will rule the Seven Kingdoms when all the bodies have been tallied. If this were a JRR Tolkien universe, we could probably say with a degree of certainty it would be Jon Snow or Daenerys Targaryen. However given just how many main characters have been killed off at various critical points in the story, we cannot be certain of anything (which is part of what makes this show great) - expect the unexpected!</p><p>In all honesty the most probable outcome is that no one sits on the Iron Throne. Either the Night King wins and destroys mankind. Cersei throws a fit that she isn't going to win and burns Kings Landing to the ground. Daenerys wins and her dragons do the same as Cersei's wildire. Jon survives and is so plagued by all the death that he just retreats back to the north. Or that Bran survives but is now the Three-Eyed Raven and has grander potential than ruling mortal beings in a smelly city.</p><p>There are only three people within our scope whom I believe truly wish to sit on the Iron Throne and will have that ability; Sansa of House Stark, Tyrion of House Lannister, and Petr of...what?! Yes, that's correct. Littlefinger, Master of Coin, Lord Protector of the Vale, and last descendant of House Baelish, the Mockingbird himself. If he was, in fact, executed at the hands of Arya in the S7 finale then it is a moot point. However if he was not, then the main who crafted the War of Five Kings and has always believed that 'chaos is a ladder' might have the greatest opportunity to find the seat he has always craved. As much as I loved the gimmicky little twist at his 'trial', and three Stark children united in their judgment, I felt that it was much too quick and easy of an ending for such a core character.</p><p>For all the tragedy, I simply cannot see a hero's ending, a happy ending. Of course it could happen; the Night King is defeated outside of Winterfell (not a chance), Jon/Aegon proposes to his Auntie Daenerys, they then fly to Kings Landing for their honeymoon and burn Cersei etc. I've also considered that the show's finale could deviate from the final book in some respects, but not a detail of this significance.</p><ul> <li>Tyrion Lannister @ 9.00 [Unibet]</li> <li>Petyr Baelish @ 19.00 [Betway]</li></ul><p> </p><h2>Bonus Props</h2><ul> <li><strong>Characters to Die</strong></li></ul><p>- Jon Snow @ 2.5 [Betway]</p><p>- Theon Greyjoy @ 1.5</p><p>- Arya Stark @ 3.0 [Betway]</p><p>- Briene of Tarth @ 2.2 [Unibet]</p><p>- Gendry @ 3.0 [Unibet]</p><p>- Hot Pie @ 5.0 [Unibet]</p><p> </p><ul> <li><strong>Characters to Survive</strong></li></ul><p>- Jamie Lannister @ 5.0 [Unibet]</p><p>- Lyanna Mormont @ 1.6 [Unibet]</p><p>- Tyrion Lannister @ 2.75 [Unibet]</p><p>- Sansa Stark @ 1.72 [Unibet]</p><p> </p><ul> <li><strong>To be Married</strong></li></ul><p>- Daenerys = Yes @ 1.8 [Unibet]</p><p>- Sansa = Yes @ 1.65 [Unibet]</p><p> </p><ul> <li><strong>Tyrion to be revealed as the son of the Mad King Aerys II</strong></li></ul><p>- Yes @ 1.72 [Unibet]</p>
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