Snooker UK Championship Preview and Outright Betting Predictions

Craig Edwards

Friday, November 22, 2019 3:10 PM UTC

Friday, Nov. 22, 2019 3:10 PM UTC

Former snooker professional Craig Edwards previews the UK Championship outright market for 

<div><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>UK CHAMPIONSHIP </strong></h2><div><p style="text-align:center"><strong>November 26<sup>th</sup> – December 8<sup>th</sup><br />Barbican Centre, York</strong></p><h2><strong>Introduction </strong></h2><p>Snooker's second most prestigious tournament outside the World Championship starts on Tuesday. This will be the ninth year in succession that the Barbican Centre, York has played host to the great championship. Six years in the early 90s the Barbican Centre also held the tournament.</p><p>History dictates that short-priced winners are prevalent at the UK Championship and you go back to 1988 for a winner priced at 34.00 or bigger when Doug Mountjoy won in an ‘Indian Summer' of his career at the age of forty-six.</p><h2><strong>Betting Predictions and Tips </strong></h2><p>Ronnie O'Sullivan arrives as defending champion, after winning it for a record seventh time in 2018, twenty-five years after his first title in 1993. No snooker player has ever performed at the top of the sport for so long. After being last week’s Northern Ireland Open runner up he will be sharper and in Quarter one he has a reasonable draw, if he can negotiate the early rounds which have proved a banana skin in recent tournaments for the ‘Rocket'. A probable quarter final against Shaun Murphy awaits, a player who has a dominant head to head record against. Murphy (advised 26<sup>th</sup> August at 34.00 each-way) has been in sublime form this season and should O'Sullivan slip up in the early matches he is the man to take advantage.</p><p>Quarter two looks there for the winning for Australian, <strong>Neil Robertson</strong> who has twice been the UK Champion at the Barbican Centre in 2013 and 2015. His start to the 2019/2020 season has been very dis-jointed, missing a flight to Latvia to defend his Riga Masters title, he also missed qualifying to the World Open due to a satellite navigation mess up. At one of the tournaments in China he had to withdraw from a match at the mid session interval due to illness. That has left him languishing in the provisional ranking list but after a stellar 2018/2019 that will be just a blip if he rediscovers his form. The important point is the form he found at the invitation ‘Champion of Champions’ tournament where he beat Shaun Murphy, Ronnie O'Sullivan and Judd Trump all in deciding frames to with the title and £150,000. The downside of this was a quick turnaround and a loss at the opening round of the Northern Ireland Open to Mark Joyce. This may work in his favour for York, allowing him to be fresh for this marathon thirteen-day tournament.</p><p><a href=";a=4417b7df-a48f-47f3-9b45-f79858bc083a&amp;f=3" target="_blank"><img alt src="" style="width:100%" /></a></p><p>Judd Trump arrives in York with the opportunity to add his name in the history of snooker for holding all the triple crown events at the same time. Winning the Masters’ with a demolition of Ronnie O'Sullivan in the final, followed by inflicting a similar outstanding display against John Higgins in the World Championship final has elevated Trump to the sport's number one. He shows no signs of backing off as his new-found maturity is allowing him to win in the style of a true champion. After a phenomenal six tournament wins in the calendar year fatigue could be a problem for the Bristolian or a potential quarter final against <strong>Mark</strong> <strong>Allen</strong>. The Northern Irishman has a superb record against Trump, making last year's final in York to add to his runner-up finish in 2011. He won the 2018 Masters to prove his pedigree for performing well and potentially a winning any ‘Triple Crown' event.</p><p>Triple World Champion, <strong>Mark Selby</strong> has been slowly but surely making progress in the current season after a barren spell of form. Winning the English Open will have given the ‘Jester' from Leicester a shot in the arm and help restore confidence for the months ahead. At this first triple crown event of the 2019/2020 season he has good memories of the UK Championship at the Barbican Centre winning twice in 2012 and 2016. World Championship semi finalist David Gilbert needs serious consideration but the potential match up with Selby is not a good one for him. A fully functioning Mark Williams would have fancied his chances this week but he has decreased his recent schedule to spend more time with his young family. With Selby's new-found confidence and a winnable quarter where David Gilbert or Mark Williams could be his sternest test’s, he looks a solid bet.</p><h2><strong>Final Analysis </strong></h2><p>The prestige and betting history of this event as mentioned in the introduction dictate the need to concentrate on the top of the market for our picks this week. Judd Trump was advised back in August, his price is surprisingly the same. He looks a perfect pick however, the chance to be the current holder of the ‘Triple Crown’ can only add pressure while the fatigue from a perfect season must be building. I can envisage that if Trump is to lose it is likely to be Allen in the quarter-finals. With the exception of Robertson, he is the only player I can imagine beating Trump from the quarter final stage onwards. Should Allen beat Trump in their quarter-final it will through the event wide open. This may benefit Mark Selby and Ronnie O'Sullivan’s chances of winning but the one playing well enough to win the tournament whether or not Trump wins or loses is Neil Robertson.</p><p>If the scenario above plays out it could be worth having small stakes plays for <strong>Robertson</strong>/<strong>Selby</strong> (<strong>21</strong>.<strong>00</strong>) and <strong>Robertson</strong>/<strong>Allen</strong> (<strong>29</strong>.<strong>00</strong>) as ‘Name the Finalists’ with Betway.</p><p>Outsider’s I considered who play well at the Barbican Centre are the Belgian<strong>, Luca Brecel</strong> who appeared close to his best last week in Northern Ireland. While two-time winner, <strong>Ding Junhui</strong> has been hitting the practice table hard to escape the slump he is in and has never been priced at (51.00) for a UK Championship. If he can string together a few wins and his confidence returns he has the class to make that price look silly.</p><h2><strong>Recommended Bets</strong></h2><p><a href=";a=1ba923f3-5341-4bda-b457-0138ac61ae7a&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Snooker Betting Odds"><em><strong>Neil Robertson – to win @ 6.50 (11/2) Betfred</strong></em></a></p><p><a href=";a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Snooker Betting Odds"><em><strong>Neil Robertson – Quarter 2 @ 2.25 (5/4) William Hill </strong></em></a></p><p><a href=";a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Snooker Betting Odds"><em><strong>Mark Selby – Quarter 3 @ 2.75 (7/4) William Hill </strong><strong>(half stake)</strong></em></a></p><p><a href=";a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Snooker Betting Odds"><em><strong>Mark Allen – Quarter 4 @ 5.50 (9/2) William Hill </strong><strong>(half</strong> <strong>stake)</strong></em></a></p><p>In August, I wrote a piece for with <a href="" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">two antepost bets advised</a>.</p><p><a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Snooker Betting Odds"><strong>*Judd Trump – to win @ 4.00 (3/1) Bet365</strong></a></p><p><strong>*Shaun Murphy – each-way @ 34.00 (33/1) Paddy Power</strong></p><p><strong>*advised 26<sup>th</sup> August</strong></p></div></div>
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