St Kitts and Nevis Patriots vs Guyana Amazon Warriors: CPL 2019 Betting

Ed Hawkins

Friday, September 13, 2019 6:57 PM UTC

Friday, Sep. 13, 2019 6:57 PM UTC

What are the hot tips and best bets for the contest in the T20 tournament?

<div><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>St Kitts and Nevis Patriots vs Guyana Amazon Warriors</strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><strong><a href="" target="_blank">Sunday 15 September 2019, Warner Park Stadium</a></strong></p><p>For only a few hours, Guyana Amazon Warriors’ campaign looked to be having a wobble. Despite winning their first three matches – and with ease, too – the news that Pakistan spinner Shadab Khan was being returned for international duty was a blow.</p><p>Shadab had taken seven wickets in those three games with an economy rate of 6.5 and an insane strike rate of a wicket every three balls. He left an enormous hole to fill.</p><p>Fortunately, Guyana were on it. There are few as good (maybe superior) replacements available than Imran Tahir, the former South Africa wizard. Tahir is expected to go straight into the team for this match against the Patriots at Basse-Terre. He should form an extremely dangerous attack alongside fellow overseas players Chris Green and Ben Laughlin (both Australia). With local boy Romario Shepherd also taking seven wickets with his right-arm pace the best line-up in the competition is unweakened.</p><p>Tahir gets a 4.0 (3/1) quote from Betfair for top Guyana bowler. Already we’re sniffing an edge because Betfred has gone as short as 3.75 (11/4). How does he stack up?</p><p>Well, in career franchise cricket Tahir has a hit rate of 25.5 percent. So he is just squeezing in as value for that Betfair price. Phew. The news gets better. Last season for Guyana Tahir copped at a 41 percent rate (from a very healthy 12 matches). That number suggests the 3.75 is closer to being right than the 4.0. Yet still no way near close enough.</p><p>It seems, then, we should be happy to bet him. After the first rule of betting (only bet with money you can afford to lose), the second rule is…only bet unless you know a price to be wrong. Of course, finding the winner of such a competitive market could never be classed as an exact science (after all, every week an aver-age bowler tops because he’s got lucky with flaky batsmen) but it couldn’t be argued that we’re taking a shot in the dark. We know Tahir should be shorter.</p><h2>Best Bet</h2><p><a href=";a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6&amp;f=1" target="_blank"><strong>Imran Tahir top Guyana bowler 4.0 Betfair</strong></a></p></div>
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