Tough Draw Makes it Hard to Back Nadal in Acapulco

João Mourato

Wednesday, February 27, 2019 1:46 PM UTC

Wednesday, Feb. 27, 2019 1:46 PM UTC

Acapulco is one of the final stops before the Masters 1000 events in Indian Wells and Miami. Join us while we take a look at Rafael Nadal’s chances to win the title at the Mexican Open.

<p>Rafael Nadal leads the field at the 2019 Mexican Open in his first official event since reaching the Australian Open final in January. The 32-year-old is a two-time champion in Acapulco and made the final in all his three previous appearances on this event. However, Nadal has yet to win the title at the Mexican Open since the tournament switched to blue hard courts in 2014 after 20 years on clay.</p><p>Nadal opened his Acapulco campaign with a 6-3, 6-3 win over Mischa Zverev in one hour and 20 minutes. The No.1 seed saved the only break point he faced in the seventh game of the opening set and won 42.62% of the points played on Zverev’s serve. Nadal finished the match with 25 winners and just 14 unforced errors to improve his lifetime record at the Mexican Open to 15-1.</p><p>The Spaniard will next take on Nick Kyrgios, who cruised into the second round of the Mexican Open with a 6-3, 7-5 victory against Andreas Seppi in just 75 minutes. Kyrgios won two of his five previous encounters against Nadal and has great memories of Acapulco after defeating Novak Djokovic in 2017. The Australian said more than once that big matches inspire him to play his best and on a good day he can beat anybody. In addition, the fast court conditions in Acapulco suit Kyrgios’ style with the 23-year-old firing 13 aces in the previous round.</p><p>Despite Nick’s undeniable quality, the bookmakers are expecting a straightforward win from Nadal with the Spaniard as the heavy favourite <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Get in game with William Hill!">at 11/50 (1.22) with William Hill</a>. Kyrgios admitted he struggled to find motivation in recent months but as we mentioned before, the Australian is a completely different player when facing the best players in the world. Nick will be a big challenge for Nadal and 127/100 (2.27) for him to cover his <a href="http://affiliate.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=155&amp;a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Play at this A+ Rated Bookmaker!">+1.5 Set Handicap with Pinnacle</a> is a very interesting line for this contest.</p><p>Looking now at Nadal’s draw on this event, the No.1 seed was handed a very difficult task in Acapulco. Besides Kyrgios, Stan Wawrinka and Sam Querrey are also in the same half of the draw as Nadal. Both players enjoy the fast court conditions in Acapulco and Querrey was even the responsible for Nadal’s defeat in the 2017 Mexican Open final. The Spaniard also admitted in a press conference that he had been struggling with his hand and did not have the “best feelings” for this event. For that reason, it’s impossible to find any value on Nadal’s <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tennis" target="_blank" title="Live Tennis Odds Board">tennis betting odds</a> to win the title <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Join Bet365 &amp; Start Playing Today!">at 7/4 (2.75) with Bet365</a> due to the incredibly tough draw ahead of him and recent physical limitations.</p>
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