ATP Barcelona Final Betting Tips: Thiem vs. Medvedev

João Mourato

Saturday, April 27, 2019 9:15 PM UTC

Saturday, Apr. 27, 2019 9:15 PM UTC

We’ve reached the decisive day with Dominic Thiem and Daniil Medvedev fighting for the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell title this Sunday at the Real Club de Tenis Barcelona.

<p><span style="color:inherit;font-family:inherit;font-size:1.2em;font-weight:700;">Dominic Thiem (3) vs. Daniil Medvedev (7)</span><br /><strong>Sunday, April 28, Barcelona</strong></p><p>Daniil Medvedev advanced to his first clay-court ATP Tour final after a 6-4, 3-6, 7-5 win over Kei Nishikori in the semi-finals of the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell on Saturday. The 23-year-old Russian recovered from a break down in the final set to claim his 25th win of the season after two hours and 25 minutes. Medvedev has enjoyed a stellar start to the <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tips/tennis/what-makes-clay-a-unique-surface-for-tennis-betting/89794/" target="_blank" title="What Makes Clay a Unique Surface for Tennis Betting?">clay-court season</a> with his partnership with former world No.18 Igor Andreev as one of the main reasons for his recent success on this surface.</p><p>Medvedev will next face Dominic Thiem in the final of the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell. The No.3 seed proved again that he is, without question, one of the best clay-court players in the history of men’s tennis after a straight-set victory against <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tips/tennis/rafael-nadal-tennis-player-profile/89835/" target="_blank" title="Rafael Nadal: Tennis Player Profile">Rafael Nadal</a> in the semi-finals on Saturday. Thiem saved all three break points he faced in the match and won 75% of the points at the net to join Novak Djokovic as the only players to have beaten the Spaniard on clay four times.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Dominant From Dominic! 👀 &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/ThiemDomi?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@ThiemDomi&lt;/a&gt; defeats Rafael Nadal 6-4, 6-4 to reach the &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/bcnopenbs?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#bcnopenbs&lt;/a&gt; final. 👊 &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/uXPZhraZdt\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/uXPZhraZdt&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— ATP Tour (@ATP_Tour) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/ATP_Tour/status/1122177903356194816?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;27 de abril de 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><p>These two players will face each other for the second time in their careers. Thiem leads 1-0 in their head-to-head after a 6-2, 3-6, 7-6(2) victory over Medvedev in the quarter-finals of the St. Petersburg Open in 2017.</p><p>Looking now at the odds for this contest, Thiem is the favourite at 2/5 (1.40) with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Join William Hill Today!">William Hill</a> while <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="A+ Rated Bookmaker!">Bet365</a> offers 11/5 for Medvedev to win the title. Despite Daniil’s impressive results on this surface in recent weeks, it’s hard to go against Thiem on clay. The Austrian won 84.95% of the matches played throughout his career on red dirt when priced below 1/2 (1.50), including four ATP Tour finals. With this in mind, adding Dominic’s moneyline to an accumulator is a very good approach. For those who want to take a higher risk, Thiem’s -3 game handicap at 71/100 with <a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=155&amp;a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Play at this A+ Rated Bookmaker!">Pinnacle</a> is also an interesting line for this contest.</p>
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