ATP Basel Quarterfinals & WTA Zhuhai Day 4 Best Tennis Bets and Predictions

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Thursday, October 24, 2019 6:21 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 24, 2019 6:21 PM UTC

Tiebreaks likely when the towering Reilly Opelka matches up against the talented Roberto Bautista Agut?
<div><h2>Reilly Opelka vs. Roberto Bautista Agut(4)</h2><p><strong>Friday, October 25, Basel</strong></p><p>Slowly but surely, Reilly Opelka is taking steps to realise his top-10 potential as a tennis player. While the forehand is still unreliable, and the 211cm giant American is in dire need to improve upon his 49% tiebreaks won statistic, progress is certainly being made. The tallest player on tour quite naturally relies upon thundering down 220 km/h+ deliveries from the service line, and being able to do so consistently. While obviously quite serve orientated, the 22-year old already has a lot more upside than the natural comparison in John Isner. Much more mobile around court with a serviceable backhand to boot, Reilly´s ceiling is much higher than his current world no. 37 ranking. After a disappointing showing last week in Stockholm, the American has looked on song here. Thus far, Opelka´s smashed down a whopping 56 aces across his first two matches, good for an average of 11.2 per set and almost two aces per service game.</p><p>A player that is already well situated within the top 10 is Roberto Bautista Agut. The flat-hitting Spaniard has much more upside compared to many of his clay court grinding countrymen. Possessing the same grit and consistency from the</p><p>baseline coupled with the ability to finish points with winners has propelled the 31-year old to his current career high ranking of world no. 10. Notably winning the title in Doha, and making the semifinals of Wimbledon during the same week as his bachelor´s party in Ibiza, Agut is very much alive in the race to London. Currently situated just one spot out of the top 8, merely 40 points behind Matteo Berrettini who has also reached the quarterfinal stage over in Wien - he has everything left to play for down the stretch. After suffering from an abdominal injury in recent months, the Spaniard has recovered in time to play solid tennis in this tournament, overcoming last year´s big serving finalist Marius Copil, and a stern three-setter against Richard Gasquet.</p><p>When meeting up with a player of Opelka´s serving pedigree, tiebreaks are often the natural conclusion. Holding at a 92.8% clip over the last 12 months on hard court whilst averaging 23.1 aces per match goes a long way to protect the own delivery. At the same time, the 211cm tall American struggles to find inroads on return, and has only broken at a 9.4% clip during that same period. Bautista Agut is certainly a much more efficient returner in breaking 24.8% of the time within this sample size, but also protects his own delivery exceptionally well, holding at an 84.6% rate.</p><p>The pair actually meet a few weeks ago in Shanghai, where the Spaniard came out on top by a 6-4, 7-5 scoreline. However, there is reason to expect a more competitive affair here with Opelka really finding his form from the service line. Four out of the five contested sets for the American have gone the distance, only breaking for 7-5 and the match against David Goffin the non-tiebreak set. The Basel conditions has something for every playing style, and the court speed and bounce has helped elevate the 22-year old´s delivery to the next level, and he´s yet to be broken this week. All things considered, it´s exceedingly difficult seeing this affair on an indoor hard court playing out any other way. The first set tiebreak pays a tantalising 2.55 with Unibet, and will be our investment in this contest.</p><p><strong>Best Bet: 1st set over 12.5 games at 2.55 (31/20) with [<a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=4fd3c129-b898-4816-9a61-9f7e8f34295a&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker!">Unibet</a>] 1.5u</strong></p><p><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=160&amp;a=9feaaf7a-d7a2-4185-974a-81ad171951df&amp;f=3"><img alt src="https://imstore.bet365affiliates.com/AffiliateCreativeBanners/Sports/General/Bet%20Builder/en-GB/UK/STD/728x90_2.jpeg" style="width:100%;height:12px" /></a></p><h2>Petra Martic vs. Zheng Saisai</h2><p><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tennis/world/wta/wta-elite-trophy-women-singles/zheng-vs-martic-3962027/" target="_blank" title="Game Odds"><strong>Friday, October 25, Zhuhai</strong></a></p><p>Looking back at the 2019 season will be a reason to be proud for Petra Martic, who´s quitely put together a career best year. Displaying incredible consistency and overcoming many talented opponents through her multifaceted game, the 28-year old Croat has been rewarded with an Istanbul title. Reaching the final in Zhengzhou on top of deep runs across the major tournaments has been enough to see her rise to a world no. 15 ranking. Just before this tournament, Martic announced a surprising split with coach Sandra Zaniewska, to whom she´s given enormous credit for put her variety-filled game together on court:</p><p>"For many years I was actually really lost with this game, and as much as people saw it as my advantage, I saw it as a ridiculous challenge that I was never gonna overcome. But for the last two years I would say that I've really figured out what I want because of her. She helped me find my identity, and only now I see my game as an advantage."</p><p>The Croat wasn´t firing on all cylinders in her opener in what was a serve orientated affair against Madison Keys, and must now win this match to keep her Zhuhai hopes alive.</p><p>However, that may not be all that simple, as Zheng Saisai found the keys to dismantle an errant Madison´s game in her own opener. The Chinese wild card has also put together a career best season, crowned by winning her maiden WTA title in San José earlier this summer. Employing an off-pace game to befuddle her opposition, Zheng proves an exceptionally difficult matchup for power-hitters especially, who can´t find their rhythm. This was shown quite clearly in San José, when world no. 22 Maria Sakkari and world no. 14 Aryna Sabalenka were both reduced to a panicked, agitated state. Unable to deal with the slices, the loopy, high balls trickling down around the baseline and the 25-year old´s impressive court coverage they crumbled to straight set defeats. Madison Keys would meet the same fate in her 6-4, 6-2 loss which puts the home hope currently on top of the Round Robin Group Orchid.</p><p>This matchup will decide which player advances to the semifinals, as Madison Keys is unable to advance despite winning against Martic due to tiebreaking procedure "game % won". If Martic wins this match for the loss of 6 games or less, the Croat will advance. If Zheng manages to capture seven games even in a losing effort, the Chinese will instead move on. While power hitters tend to be befuddled by the world no. 40´s game, the same can´t be said for the more multifaceted. Petra is an incredibly consistent player from the baseline, who isn´t bothered by sudden disruptions in rhythm. Conversely, this is often what the world no. 15 looks to do herself. The Croat has a profound advantage in this matchup in her superior power on serve and from the baseline, whilst overcoming similarly crafty players like Anastasija Sevastova in the past. Even buoyed by the home crowd, expect the challenge of Martic to be one too steep for Zheng to overcome. The -2.5 games handicap for the world no. 15 pays 1.89 with Pinnacle and is the recommended bet here.</p><p><strong>Best Bet: Martic -2.5 games at 1.89 (89/100) with [<a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=155&amp;a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="A+ Rated Bookmaker!">Pinnacle</a>] 1.5u</strong></p></div>
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