It’s hard to oppose Federer in Basel. He is 72-7 at the venue and has won his last 27 matches as favourite going back to 2012.
<div><h2>Roger Federer vs Stefanos Tsitsipas</h2><p><strong>Saturday, October 26, Basel</strong></p><p>We’re into the semi final of the Swiss Indoors Basel and we have 2 matches on the cards. Opelka takes on De Minaur for the fourth time this year with the Aussie rightful favourite leading the H2H 3-0. The highlight sees top seed Federer take on Tsitsipas in what should be an exciting match and I’m surprised to see the underdog priced over 4.</p><p>It’s hard to oppose Federer in Basel. He is 72-7 at the venue and has won his last 27 matches as favourite going back to 2012. However, Tsitsipas has won 4 of his last 10 priced over 3 against the top 10 for a 115.3% ROI and he is one of the few players on tour who has given the big 3 trouble this year with a combined 3-4 record. Federer has faced Tsitsipas twice in 2019 and they have won one a piece, with Tsitispas prevailing in Australia 6-7 7-6 7-5 7-6.</p><p><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=168&a=4417b7df-a48f-47f3-9b45-f79858bc083a&f=3" target="_blank"><img alt src="https://images-production-euw2-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5d582dcf927b95968483da5f/original-10-bet-new-customer-welcome-bonus" style="width:100%" /></a></p><p>I couldn’t put anyone off having at least a small bet to cover the outright at 4.4 with Betfair, but I’m going to side with 3 sets at 3 with Bet365. Federer hasn’t lost in straight sets at the venue since 2001 when the now 12 years retired Henman took the title and the event was played on carpet. Priced 1.2 to 1.99 against the top 20 in Basel he has played 8 matches with 5 going to 3 sets (4 of 8 priced 1.2 to 1.5). Tsitsipas has gone the distance in 4 of his last 10 against the top 10 so the stats are supportive.</p><p>Tsitsipas hasn’t looked on top form this week but then I would have said the same last week before he beat Djokovic 3-6 7-5 6-3. He tends to rise to the occasion against the elite and, while I can’t bring myself to oppose Federer directly, backing 3 sets feels like a safe hedge.</p><p><a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Tennis Betting Odds"><em><strong>Best bet: Total Sets: 3 at 3 with Bet365</strong></em></a></p></div>