ATP Estoril Betting Analysis & Free Tennis Tips

João Mourato

Wednesday, May 1, 2019 2:56 PM UTC

Wednesday, May. 1, 2019 2:56 PM UTC

Join our tennis betting expert for his analysis of the Millennium Estoril Open and find out his best tips for this tournament.

<p></p><h2>Former Finalist</h2><p></p><p>Returning to Estoril brings back many happy memories to Frances Tiafoe. The 21-year-old reached his maiden ATP Tour final on clay at the 2018 Millennium Estoril Open and became the first American player to reach the final in Portugal since James Blake in 2009. Tiafoe enjoys the court conditions in Estoril and after his victory over Pablo Carreno Busta in the semi-finals last year, the American said that clay is his favourite surface.</p><p>Looking now at Tiafoe’s campaign on this event, the No.8 seed needed just 84 minutes to take down Mikhail Kukushkin in the first round of the Millennium Estoril Open. Tiafoe broke serve three times and won 80% of his first-serve points in a dominance performance. Frances will next take on Yoshihito Nishioka, who is making his first appearance in Estoril. Nishioka is an outstanding competitor but the <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tips/tennis/what-makes-clay-a-unique-surface-for-tennis-betting/89794/" target="_blank" title="What Makes Clay a Unique Surface for Tennis Betting?">conditions in clay</a> are not ideal for his style since the Japanese likes to hit the ball early and is very hard to do that on this surface. On the other hand, Tiafoe loves the courts in Estoril and always plays his best tennis on this event. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to take advantage of the value on Tiafoe’s <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tennis/" target="_blank" title="Live Tennis Odds Board">tennis betting odds</a> to win this match at 73/100 (1.73) with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Join William Hill &amp; Start Playing Today!">William Hill</a>.</p><p> </p><p></p><h2><strong>Player to Fade</strong></h2><p></p><p>Fabio Fognini is widely recognized as one of the most talented players on the tour but never fulfilled his potential due to his inconsistency. The Italian is not the hardest working player either and often struggles to find a proper mindset. Nevertheless, Fognini can beat almost anyone on a good day and his recent run at the Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters is a perfect example of that. Fabio won his maiden ATP Masters 1000 title, defeating Rafael Nadal in the semi-finals to become the first Italian player to lift the trophy at the Monte-Carlo Country Club since Nicola Pietrangeli in 1968.</p><p>Fognini struggled with an elbow injury all week and was forced to withdraw from the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell last week. The Italian will make his first official appearance since winning the Monte Carlo title in Estoril but his motivation might not be the best. In his pre-tournament press conference, Fognini stated that he’s not at 100% and still working with his physio to be able to compete in Estoril. Adding to this, the 31-year-old only won 40% of the matches played throughout his career on this event and said that there are more important tournaments than this in the upcoming weeks.</p><p>The world No.12 will open his campaign against Pablo Cuevas on Thursday. The Uruguayan entered the main draw as a ‘lucky loser’ after Filip Krajinovic’s withdrawal and lost just four games against Salvatore Caruso in the opening round. Cuevas is one of the best clay-court players on the tour and always very hard to beat on this surface. For that reason, fading Fognini in Estoril is a very interesting approach, starting with Pablo’s moneyline on this match at 91/100 (1.91) with <a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=155&amp;a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="A+ Rated Bookmaker!">Pinnacle</a>.</p>
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