ATP Estoril Final Tips: Can Cuevas Pull Off the Upset against Tsitsipas?

João Mourato

Saturday, May 4, 2019 8:35 PM UTC

Saturday, May. 4, 2019 8:35 PM UTC

We’ve reached the decisive day with Stefanos Tsitsipas and Pablo Cuevas fighting for the Millennium Estoril Open title.

<p><span style="color:inherit;font-family:inherit;font-size:1.2em;font-weight:700;">Stefanos Tsitsipas (1) vs. Pablo Cuevas (LL)</span><br /><strong>Sunday, May 5, Estoril</strong></p><p>Stefanos Tsitsipas recovered from a set down to beat former world No.7 David Goffin, of Belgium, 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 and reach the final of the Millennium Estoril Open. The 20-year-old has gone a step further than he did on his Estoril debut last year, when he lost to home favorite Joao Sousa in the semi-finals. Tsitsipas saved all three break points he faced in the final set and won 46.88% of the points played on Goffin’s serve in a very impressive performance from the Greek.</p><p>Tsitsipas will next face Pablo Cuevas, who became the 10th ‘lucky loser’ to reach an ATP Tour final after a 3-6, 6-2, 6-2 win over Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in one hour and 53 minutes. The Uruguayan struggled early on against a very tricky player but Davidovich Fokina looked exhausted in the final set and couldn’t find a solution to Pablo’s solid baseline game. Cuevas will try to join Andrey Rublev and Leonardo Mayer as the third ‘lucky loser’ to win an ATP Tour title.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Pablo progresses to the &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/EstorilOpen?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#EstorilOpen&lt;/a&gt; final 👊&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;He defeats Davidovich Fokina 3-6, 6-2, 6-2 and will play &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/StefTsitsipas?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@StefTsitsipas&lt;/a&gt; for the 🏆 &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/MMUMu9hqrF\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/MMUMu9hqrF&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— ATP Tour (@ATP_Tour) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/ATP_Tour/status/1124751343934164992?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;4 de maio de 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><p>These two players will face each other for the second time in their careers. Tsitsipas leads 1-0 in their head-to-head after a 6-1, 6-4 victory against Cuevas in the second round of the 2017 European Open.</p><p>The bookmakers are expecting a good win from Tsitsipas with the Greek as the main favourite at 2/5 (1.40) with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=153&amp;a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="A+ Rated Bookmaker!">Betfair</a> while <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker!">Bet365</a> offers 11/5 (3.20) for Cuevas to win the title. Even though we understand Stefanos’ price, it’s impossible to find any value on his <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tennis/" target="_blank" title="Live Tennis Odds Board">tennis betting odds</a>. Cuevas is an outstanding clay-court player and this match should be closer than odds suggest. Having said that, adding the Over 21.5 to your <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tips/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="More Predictions &amp; Tips">betting tips</a> at 73/100 (1.73) with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=95095aa3-ae41-43ba-886d-99a97893c4a3&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Join BoyleSports Today!">BoyleSports</a> or Pablo’s +1.5 Set Handicap at 3/4 (1.75) with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=4fd3c129-b898-4816-9a61-9f7e8f34295a&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Get in game with Unibet!">Unibet</a> are two interesting approaches for this final.</p>
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