ATP Intrum Stockholm Open & WTA Moscow Day 1 Best Tennis Bets and Predictions


Sunday, October 13, 2019 7:50 PM UTC

Sunday, Oct. 13, 2019 7:50 PM UTC

Will Reilly Opelka continue his strong form by making proceedings short with another lower ranked opponent?

<div><h2 style="text-align:center"><b>Stefano Travaglia vs. Reilly Opelka(6)</b></h2><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Monday, October 14, Stockholm</strong></p><p>That Stefano Travaglia is even playing tennis at all and at this level is astounding. Suffering a career threatening injury in 2011 where he fell down a flight of stairs, and crashed through a pane of glass - the Italian suffered severe nerve and tendon damage in his right arm, losing feeling in four fingers. He´s been plying his trade on the Challenger tour for quite some time now, with the clay-court specialist being on of the strongest players at Challenger level. It´s been a great 2019 for the 27-year old Italian, who reached his career high of world no. 79 in August after winning his second Challenger title of the 2019 in Sopot. Travaglia has also tried his hand at ATP level tennis this year with some decent results on the red dirt, but only a 1-3 main level record away from it.<br /><br />Reilly Opelka has been rising through the ranks for quite some time now, and the big serving American enters this tournament at a career high world no.40 rank. Winning his maiden ATP title in similar conditions early this year indoors in New York, the 211cm tall 22-year old will certainly fancy his chances here. Coming down with vicious velocity from staggering height, Opelka´s serve is his main weapon, and according to ATP statistics it´s the second best on tour over the lest year. Averaging the second most 1st serve points won at 82.4%, second most service games won at 92.9% and the most average aces per match at 23.4 on hard court - that weapon is to be feared. But beyond that serve is a surprisingly nimble mover for his large stature, and possesses serviceable movement and backhand, with a powerful forehand to boot.<br /><br />While Travaglia does possess a decent serve, his overall game suffers away from the red dirt and it shows. Sporting a 4-10 career record on hard court at main level, the Italian has had difficulty to measure up to the competition. Furthermore, it´s worth noting that he´s only 1-7 in tiebreaks, which may well come into play against a big serving opponent. Opelka on the other hand is playing well right now, and rarely slips up against lower ranked opposition. He´s gone 12-4 overall this year, won six out his last 8, with all those victories coming in straight sets. In a matchup where Travaglia has zero margin for error, expect the difference in ability on hard courts to show, and the American to come away with a straight sets victory. Paying 1.88 for that outcome, we invest with Unibet.<br /><br /><b><i>Best bet: Opelka 2-0 at 1.88 (22/25) with [<a href=";a=4fd3c129-b898-4816-9a61-9f7e8f34295a&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Get in the game with Unibet!">Unibet</a>] </i></b><i>1.5u</i></p><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href=";a=f339dce1-88de-4994-ab6a-c24e019bdf3b&amp;f=3"><img alt src="" style="width:100%" /></a><br /><br /><b>Svetlana Kuznetsova vs. Karolina Muchova</b></h2><p style="text-align:center"><a href="" target="_blank" title="Game Odds"><strong>Monday, October 14, Moscow</strong></a></p><p>Svetlana Kuznetsova is a wily veteran, and has come back with a bang over the latter part of this season. Suffering a season ending knee injury in 2018 which saw the former world no. 2 miss action for the first half of the year, she has since kicked on to form. Reaching the last 16 in Toronto and a Cincinnati final was impressive, and the Russian 34-year old rebounded impressively from a disappointing first round US Open exit to reach the last 16 un Wuhan. Another disappointing loss would follow in Beijing where Christina McHale upset the crafty veteran, and she will look to improve her form when playing her last tournament of the season at home in Moscow.<br /><br />Karolina Muchova stands for the opposition, and it´s been a bright year for the 23-year old Czech. Showing promise on all surfaces, she has reached the Doha quarterfinal on hard court, Prauge final on clay, upsetting Karolina Pliskova to make a Wimbledon quarterfinal - and recently won her maiden WTA title in Seoul. While the 23-year old lacks the killer serve or overpowering groundstrokes, as her Czech countrywomen like Pliskova possess, Muchova plays with wonderful variety. It´s tricky to get a read on what the Czech is going to do with her groundstrokes, as she mixes play up with different pace, spins and direction. Up to a career high rank of world no.36 post the Seoul title, she´ll be one to watch for the future.<br /><br />This tournament in particular has been one that Kuznetsova has always been incredibly successful at, making it to at least the quarterfinals on 7 consecutive occasions, ending with back-to-back titles in 2015-2016. However, the veteran is not a top-10 player like she was back when she won that last title, and much has happened since. Moscow has always been one of the slowest indoor tournaments on tour, benefitting the Russian´s savvy game.<br /><br />However, with the Olympic Stadium undergoing major reconstruction, the venue has been moved to the Krylatskoye Ice Palace. While the court speed there is unknown, we know that it´ll be noticeably faster than years prior, to the detriment of Svetlana. Karolina Muchova has emerged as a big star this season, has had the better year, and leads the way statistically. Holding a 3.3% edge in hold/break numbers on hard court over the last 12 months, and an 81-point hard court ELO edge, the advantage is in the 23-year old´s favor. As she is a skilled, variety based player, she won´t struggle to defend the craftyness of her veteran opponent. Overcoming the likes of Hsieh Su-Wei, a matchup nightmare for young players in their first meetings in particular, Muchova prevailed in straight sets. As the short favourite here, we´re backing the Czech to prevail at a 1.85 price with Pinnacle.<br /><br /><br /><b><i>Best bet: Muchova to win at 1.85 (17/20) with [<a href=";a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Pinnacle</a>]</i></b><strong><i> 1.5u</i></strong></p></div>
comment here