ATP Intrum Stockholm Open & WTA Moscow Day 3 Best Tennis Bets and Predictions


Tuesday, October 15, 2019 6:37 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 15, 2019 6:37 PM UTC

Can the feisty underdog Yoshihito Nishioka prevail once more in a favourable matchup against a floundering Fritz?
<div><h2>Nishioka Yoshihito vs. Taylor Fritz (3)</h2><p><a href="" target="_blank" title="Game Odds"><strong>Wednesday, October 16, Stockholm</strong></a></p><p>Nishioka Yoshihito is an artist on the court. Though standing at a smaller stature than most at 170cm tall, the Japanese 24-year old plays a big game. He´s incredibly gifted as soon as the ball is in play, lightning quick in his movement and able to run down most balls. Nishioka also possesses a strong lefty forehand and the world no. 74 is one to be underestimated at your own peril. Several elite players have been made aware of that, as a memorable 3hr46m five-set epic between the Japanese and Juan Martin Del Potro in Roland Garros speaks volumes about. Or when taking down David Goffin in Washington and reaching the quarterfinals of Cincinnati. Though the Asian Swing has been a disappointment for Yoshihito, he´s always a danger and relishes in the underdog role. That much was shown in fighting back from a set and a break down in the first round here to beat Radu Albot in three sets.</p><p>Taylor Fritz has shown a lot of promise as of late, emerging as one of next big stars of American tennis. Possessing a solid serve and forehand as is the mold for many of his countrymen, it´s the 21-year old´s movement and ability off the backhand wing that sets him aside from many of the new emerging stars from the US. Fritz is currently enjoying a career year with a title in the Newport Beach challenger along with a maiden ATP title on the grassy lawns of Eastbourne. Those results, along with back-to-back finals in Atlanta and Los Cabos saw the American surge to a career high ranking of world no. 25, and he currently resides at world no. 29. However, one must wonder if the gas tank isn´t nearing empty at this point in the year. After putting in a year where he´s almost exclusively competed at the ATP level, the 21-year old has struggled mightily after the Los Cabos final, going 1-6 in his subsequent main level matches.</p><p>Nishioka is a player who relishes the underdog role, and though not at the level to defeat the very best, he´s been a solid investment as the betting underdog. The Japanese player has won five of his last six main draw matches as the underdog on outdoor and indoor hard courts, including his first round win over Radu Albot. He´s also had the advantage of getting a match in and thus being used to the conditions on court. Fritz will travel in from China, and has found wins very hard to come by as of late. Statistically there´s almost nothing between the men, with the American holding a 0.7% hold/break edge on hard court over the last 12 months, and Nishioka leading the ELO by 37 points. It was also the Japanese player who emerged victorious in the lone H2H meeting a year ago in Los Cabos, winning in straight sets. A player that doesn´t give away points for free is trouble for Fritz who can be errant. All things considered, backing Nishioka as the underdog here makes appeal, and we´ll do just that with Pinnacle paying 2.27 for that outcome.</p><p><strong>Best Bet: Nishioka to win at 2.27 (127/100) with [<a href=";a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker!">Pinnacle</a>] 1.5u</strong></p><p><a href=";a=f339dce1-88de-4994-ab6a-c24e019bdf3b&amp;f=3"><img alt src="" style="width:100%;height:38px" /></a></p><h2>Donna Vekic(4) vs. Karolina Muchova</h2><p><a href="" target="_blank" title="Game Odds"><strong>Wednesday, October 16, Moscow</strong></a></p><p>Donna Vekic is one of many young, exciting talents emerging on the WTA tour in recent years. Her journey actually started as a gymnast, but at 6 years old the Croat wanted to try something new, and figured she´d probably be too tall for gymnastics anyway. Thus, Vekic started her tennis journey, and was quickly seen to be very talented. Making her top-100 breakthrough as a 16-year old, the Croat is a skilled ballstriker off both wings and hits the ball with a lot of venom. 2019 has been a career year for the 23-year old, and though titleless to date, has seen Donna reach two finals. Surging to world no. 21, she´s played well over the North American hard court swing, notably reaching the quarterfinal of the US Open where she fell in a nervy affair to Belinda Bencic. Recent form has been questionable though, going 2-4 since, including upset losses to Doi Misaki in Osaka, Ons Jabeur in Wuhan, and Kiki Mladenovic last week in Linz.</p><p>Karolina Muchova continues her strong recent form off the maiden title in Seoul, and came into this tournament unseeded. Her varied game which involves giving the ball a plethora of different shapes, spins along with clever point construction makes the world no. 35 tough to deal with. Up against a difficult first round assignment in the wily veteran Svetlana Kuznetsova, that mattered not. The Czech 23-year old was able to stave off the early pressure from the former back-to-back Champion of the evenmt, saving four break points in her opening game. After that, she raced up to a 3-0 lead, and fought off a Kuznetsova storm to take the opener 6-2. We saw a similar development in the second set, where Muchova again went 3-0 up, with the Russian fighting back to 3-3. Again, the 23-year old kept her cool in front of the crowd and managed to close out the second set 6-3. Clever foraying to the net was a difference maker in this affair, with the Czech winning 13 of the 17 points at the net.</p><p>In a matchup between two young stars, confidence and recent form can often become the tipping point that decicdes who emerges victorious. Here, both of those go the way of Muchova, who has looked in fantastic form lately. Vekic on the other hand, has dropped off considerably, which isn´t what she´d want in a venue that´s been difficult for her. The Croat has never won a match in Moscow in three attempts, twice upset as the favourite in those affairs. Statistically, it´s the lower ranked Czech who leadsa the way by a 57 point hard court ELO edge, while trailing the hold/break numbers by 1.9%. Though the pair haven´t met yet, Muchova´s clever point construction and poise under pressure should pay dividends here, with her forays into the net a valuable asset indoors. With Vekic currently floundering a bit, and Muchova already with a good win under her belt, expect the Czech to bag another one here. The -2.5 games pay 1.86 with Pinnacle and looks the bet in this one.</p><p><strong>Best bet: Muchova to win at 1.85 (17/20) with [<a href=";a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker!">Pinnacle</a>] 1.5u</strong></p></div>
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