ATP Intrum Stockholm Open & WTA Moscow Quarterfinals Best Tennis Bets and Predictions


Thursday, October 17, 2019 6:08 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 17, 2019 6:08 PM UTC

Can indoors specialist Filip Krajnovic usurp the strong underdog Nishioka Yoshihito and book a spot in the semifinals?

<div><h2><strong>Filip Krajinovic vs. Nishioka Yoshihito</strong></h2><p><a href="" target="_blank" title="Game Odds"><strong>Friday, October 18, Stockholm</strong></a></p><p>Filip Krajinovic has played really well thus far in this tournament, which was also expected of the 27-year old Serb. Relishing indoor hard courts, he´s able to execute a varied game where his profound baselining skills are matched together with a strong serve and tactical awareness. All of the above skills were needed in the world no. 60´s last affair, where he had to overcome the tricky Daniel Evans in a 2 hour and 16 minutes long three-setter. After getting immediately broken to start proceedings, the Serb acquitted himself well. Handling the Brit´s difficult slices confidently, Krajinovic could play the majority of his points inside the baseline and dictate points enroute to a 7-5 first set. In the second set, passivity and Evans elevating his game lead to a 6-2 comeback to set up a deciding set. There, Filip managed to deal with the increasingly agitated Brit well, and close out the match 6-3.</p><p>Yoshihito Nishioka continues to relish his role as the betting underdog, and the quickfooted Japanese again prevailed as such in his last affair. Up against a rising American in Taylor Fritz, the world no. 74 staved off two set points on the Fritz serve and stole the first set, winning four straight games from 3-5 to win it 7-5. His ability to chase down even the hardest hit balls was clearly a frustration to the young American, and that meticulousness paid dividends in the second set. By then, an increasingly agitated world no. 29 was starting to leak errors, and the Japanese ace took advantage. Breaking serve in the opening game, and almost opening up a 3-0 double break lead, Nishioka played with freedom. After another break going 5-1 up, Fritz would start to find his range and mounted a mini comeback to come back to 5-3. It would prove too little too late however, as Yoshihito emerged with his 6th win in his last 7 hard court matches as the betting underdog.</p><p>In this affair, Krajinovic will face a very pesky opponent who yields precious little from the baseline and commits few unforced errors. However, the Serb is adept from the back of the court himself, and impressed against the various difficult looks an opponent such as Daniel Evans will give you over the course of a match. While incredibly skilled and lightning quick off his feet, Nishioka lacks power and sometimes finds the depth of his groundstrokes lacking. Krajinovic was able to step into the court and dictate whenever given the opportunity against the more powerful Brit, and should be able to do the same today. Against the very best, the Japanese player is often found wanting, and his Serbian opponent is just that. I would rank the world no. 60 within the top 20 on indoor hard courts, and based on that pedigree in a matchup that should suit Krajinovic well, I make him the substantial favourite in this affair. Thus, I'm backing the Serbian to emerge victorious at a 1.70 price with <i><a href=";a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="A+ Bookmaker">Pinnacle</a></i>.</p><p><b><i>Best bet: <a href="" target="_blank" title="Game Odds">Krajinovic to win at 1.70 (7/10)</a> with [<a href=";a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="A+ Bookmaker">Pinnacle</a>] </i></b><i>2u</i></p><h2><a href=";a=f339dce1-88de-4994-ab6a-c24e019bdf3b&amp;f=3"><img alt src="" style="width:100%" /></a><br /><br /><br /><strong>Karolina Muchova vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova(8)</strong></h2><p><a href="" target="_blank" title="Game Odds"><strong>Friday, October 18, Moscow</strong></a></p><p>The good form just continues for Karolina Muchova, with the young Czech already putting together what looks to be a mightily impressive week here in Moscow. She put in another good performance in her second round match against number 4 seed Donna Vekic, and prevailed in straight sets taking just 1 hour and 13 minutes:</p><p>“I wouldn’t call it a fantastic match, it was a little bit of a weird match from both of our sides,” Muchova admitted in a post-match interview.</p><p>“There was many winners, many mistakes. I’m happy I put the important points in, that was the key today.”</p><p>Muchova again followed the recipe for success this week which has been to step in and dictate points, and managed to hit 21 winners. Another route to success was once more using her deft touch at the net to finish points, converting on 11 out of 17 rushes forward in the 6-4, 6-2 victory.</p><p>In this quarterfinal awaits a very tough opponent however in Ekaterina Alexandrova. The powerful Russian is often at her very best on indoor hardcourts, where her massive serve becomes a major weapon. Smashing down the fifth most aces on tour this year with 298, that delivery has been in fine touch thus far in the tournament. Alexandrova has managed 17 aces in her first two bouts in the tournament, both comfortable straight sets victories. The lower back injury that hampered the world no. 38 in Linz last week seems long gone. It´s been a comeback to form over the latter half of the season for Ekaterina, making the Toronto R16, Seoul semifinal and Linz semifinal over the last few months. After a strong performance during the winter indoor hard season with a St. Petersburg quarterfinal appearance through qualifying, the home player will be keen to go one step further in this tournament.</p><p>This matchup promises to be a high quality affair, with both players exhibiting strong recent form. Muchova will continue to play her varied but powerful game, and try to get the better of the exceedingly powerful Alexandrova. In the past, the 23-year old hasn´t been able to do that very often, trailing the H2H matchups by 1-4. None of those meetings have come in the last two years though, with Muchova being ranked out of the top 250 when these players last squared off. Looking at the stats, it´s the Czech who leads the hold/break stats over the last 12 months by the slimmest of margins, 0.2%. However, a profound 80 point ELO edge also goes the way of Muchova. That being said, Alexandrova is a force on indoor hard courts and will have strong backing from the crowd. She hasn´t played even near the level of opposition like her Czech opponent, and is only 6-14 vs. the top 50 players on hard court over the last 12 months. With Muchova in scintillating form, I give her a larger edge in this matchup than the 1.70 <i><a href=";a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top rated bookmaker">William Hill</a></i> price suggests, and will back her once more.</p><p><b><i>Best bet: <a href="" target="_blank" title="Game Odds">Muchova to win at 1.70 (7/10)</a> with [<a href=";a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top rated bookmaker">William Hill</a>] </i></b><i>1.5u</i></p></div>
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