ATP Next Gen Finals Day 1 Best Tennis Bets and Predictions

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Monday, November 4, 2019 12:18 PM UTC

Monday, Nov. 4, 2019 12:18 PM UTC

Can the home hope teenage sensation Jannik Sinner get his Next Gen debut off to a winning start against Frances Tiafoe?

<div><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Jannik Sinner vs. Frances Tiafoe</strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tennis/world/atp/next-gen-atp-finals-men-singles/frances-tiafoe-vs-jannik-sinner-3970485/?mtid=126" target="_blank" title="Game Odds"><strong>Tuesday, November 5, Milan</strong></a></p><h2> </h2><h2><b>Not your everyday Sinner</b></h2><p>There is no player who has been on such a rapid rise throughout the rankings than Jannik Sinner. Just 14 months ago, the 18-year old Italian wasn´t even ranked within the top 1000 players in the world. Now, he has risen to world no. 93, and is the <b>only</b> player aged 18 or younger within the top 100, and within the top 300 as well. For a young man with such enormous talent, it´s even more surprising that it wasn´t really until five years ago that Sinner started focusing on tennis. Committed to skiing and playing just two times a week before then, world renowned coach Riccardo Piatti took the Italian under his wing at age 13.<br /><br />Possessing ridiculous talent, the 18-year old is hard working and levelheaded to boot, and only focusing on the present. Capable of producing stunning velocity off both wings, dominating rallies with aggressive groundstrokes is Jannik´s preferred playing style. This year we´ve seen him take home <b>four </b>titles, two at Futures level and two more at Challenger level. Qualifying for the US Open where former world no. 3 Stan Wawrinka was pushed to four sets has been followed up with a semifinal run in Antwerp - where world no. 13 Gael Monfils was overwhelmed in two dominant sets.</p><p> </p><h2><b>A humbling success story</b></h2><p>On the other side of the net, Frances Tiafoe will stand. He too is a product of an enormous success story, albeit one of a different kind. Lacking the financial means to play with a racquet that fit him, the American would hit with anything available. Living inside a spare office inside the state of the art Junior Tennis Champions Centre near Washington D.C., the opportunity to play would come to the talented, hard working youngster. The 21-year old quickly made strides towards professional tennis, humbled by his fortune to be granted this unique opportunity by his hard working Sierra-Leonian parents.<br /><br />A big breakthrough on the ATP tour would come in early 2018, where Juan Martin Del Potro, Hyeon Chung and Denis Shapovalov was beaten enroute to a maiden ATP title in Delray Beach. This year has been incredibly up and down for the world no. 46, who started it on a serious high by battling his way to an Autralian Open quarterfinal. Following that up with a quarterfinal at the Miami Masters, the season has taken a tumble, winning only 14 matches since. We´ve seen an upswing in form as of late though from Tiafoe, who has put in some solid performances in Antwerp and Basel, where he came oh so close to defeating Stan Wawrinka.</p><p> </p><h2><b>A battle of consistency</b></h2><p>This contest is a rematch of the very recent Antwerp matchup, one where it was the younger Sinner emerging victorious in three sets. Both players pack a serious punch from the baseline, but it is the Italian who is more consistent from the baseline. Calmly but aggressively finding angles to step in and dictate points proved too much for the American in the last meeting. Though Tiafoe has had an upswing in form as of late, the season as a whole post Miami has been an inconsistent struggle. In the Next Gen-finals, the players play with the no-let rule and no adv. rule, in a first to 4 games, best of five sets format. A format which by default allows for more surprises, and requires consistency as the margins are small. Sinner is the in-form player, the calmer and more consistent player, and has the added bonus of having the heavy home crowd support in this affair. Expect that to lead the Italian Wild Card to a win, and at an 1.83 <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker">Bet365</a> price that will be our investment in this one.</p><p><b><i>Best bet: Sinner to win at 1.83 (83/100) with [<a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker">Bet365</a>] </i></b><i>2u</i></p><p style="text-align:center"><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=164&amp;a=f339dce1-88de-4994-ab6a-c24e019bdf3b&amp;f=3"><img alt src="https://cmscdn.staticcache.org/assets/image/0003/1348572/WHC_27064_Updated-In-Play-Tennis-Insurance_1280x480NEW.jpg" style="width:100%" /></a></p><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Ugo Humbert vs. Mikael Ymer</strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tennis/world/atp/next-gen-atp-finals-men-singles/ugo-humbert-vs-mikael-ymer-3970481/?mtid=126" target="_blank" title="Game Odds"><strong>Tuesday, November 5, Milan</strong></a></p><h2> </h2><h2><b>Under the radar</b></h2><p>Amidst all the Next gen buzz with the sensational Alex De Minaur, rising star Jannik Sinner among others, the feeling is that the likes of Ugo Humbert may have flown a bit under the radar. The softspoken lefty Frenchman put together a stellar season in 2018, with 3 Futures titles and 3 Challenger titles propelling him from world no. 380 to end the year ranked world no. 102. As proficient as Humbert is on the tennis court, it turns out that he might be just as good or better at playing the piano, which he´s enjoyed since age 5:<br /><br />“When you play piano, you are only with you,” Humbert said. “It’s great to have the time to be alone, to enjoy. In tennis, it’s the opposite.”<br /><br />This season has been a great one for the 21-year old, raising his ranking from 102 to 46, settling at his current rank of world no. 56. Employing a powerful, aggressive game behind a heavy serve, solid forehand and flat backhand, he´s a man of few weaknesses. Picking up three Challenger titles, two of them indoors, Ugo will be a threat on this surface. The highlight of the season was reaching the Last 16 of Wimbledon however, earning a date with world no. 1 Novak Djokovic.</p><p> </p><h2><b>Swedish Sensation</b></h2><p>It has been a long time since the noble tennis country of Sweden last had a new player for ATP fans to cheer on. Home of all-time legends of the game like Stefan Edberg, Mats Wilander and Björn Borg, tennis has been on the decline in recent years. Since former world no. 4 Robin Söderling never recovered from being hit with mononucleosis, and played his last match in 2011, no Swedish player has been in the top 100. In fact, it´s been since Joachim Johansson in 2003 that a player last broke into those illustrious ranks. This fall, Mikael Ymer managed to accomplish this feat. Together with his older brother Elias, the Ymers have long been seen as the future hope for Swedish tennis, and much has been invested to help them along their way.<br /><br />In recent years, it´s been Elias who has lead the way, though his younger brother has been seen the one with the higher ceiling. Mikael has put together an absolutely sensational season, including a record-breaking <b>four </b>challenger titles. The latter half of the year and this autumn in particular has been where most of the success has come, breaking into the top 100 and ranking world no. 73. Winning Orleans, taking down former world no. 5 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga along the way was followed up with winning Mouilleron-Le-Captif and extending a 3-year win streak for the Ymer brothers. This left him too fatigued to contend in a favourable draw at home in ATP Stockholm however, where he lost to Cedrik-Marcel Stebe. Collapsing from 4-1 and a double break up in the deciding set against Casper Ruud in his last outing at the Paris Masters qualifying, one wonders how much gas is left in the Swede´s tank at this stage of the year.</p><h2> </h2><div> </div><h2><b>The better player</b></h2><p>While Mikael Ymer has incredible court coverage ability, defensive skills and a trademark backhand (much like a well known elite Serb), the serve and forehand still need a lot of work. His future ceiling may be high, but currently it´s still lower than it needs to be to contend with the very best. A trademark weakness that both Ymer brothers share is collapsing from dominant positions, and in this format of low margin tennis, slipping up just isn´t something he can get away with. Humbert is also simply the better player, having competed and performed well at the ATP level all year, while Mikael has been plying his trade mostly at Challenger level.<br /><br />The Frenchman has the bigger serve and weapons, with no pronounced weaknesses to exploit, and should be able to dominate proceedings. If the Swede is still carrying residual fatigue from a busy autumn, expect this matchup to become even more one-sided. Humbert should be the firm favourite to emerge victorious in this contest, and I´ve opted for two bets that support that notion. I expect a comfortable victory for the Frenchman and will back Ymer <b>NOT</b> to win two sets priced 1.80 with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker">Bet365</a>. This match could well get away from the 21-year old in a hurry, and I also see value in a smaller investment on a 3-0 Humbert victory, paying 3.25 with the same bookie.<br /><br /><b><i>Best bet: Ymer NOT to win 2 sets at 1.80 (4/5) with [<a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker">Bet365</a>] </i></b><i>2u</i><br /><b><i>Best bet: Humbert 3-0 at 3.25 (9/4) with [<a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker">Bet365</a>] </i></b><i>1u</i></p></div>
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