ATP Paris Masters Day 2 & WTA Finals Shenzhen Day 3 Best Tennis Bets

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Monday, October 28, 2019 6:04 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 28, 2019 6:04 PM UTC

Will Alex de Minaur take vengeance for losing the Basel final on his next opponent in Laslo Djere?
<div><h2>Laslo Djere vs. Alex De Minaur</h2><p><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tennis/world/atp/atp-paris-france-men-singles/de-minaur-vs-djere-3963246/" target="_blank" title="Game Odds"><strong>Tuesday, October 29, Paris</strong></a></p><p>Laslo Djere was recently a feature in our articles here, and the Serb will once again headline procedures in this one. The 24-year old is one of the most polarizing players on tour in the sense that he´s a competent force on clay, but struggles immensely off the red dirt. Carrying losing career records across all other surfaces, Djere´s maiden title in Sao Paolo in February on the dirt matters little here. The world no. 38´s struggles on hard court and indoor hard court are well documented, and in 2019 to date he has compiled a 3-10 record across the two surfaces. Only in one of the losses has Djere managed to take a set, and the three wins all came against clay-court specialists. Furthermore, the Serb has been out with an illness for two months, and just came back last week in Basel where Krajinovic promptly took him down 6-1, 6-4.</p><p>Alex De Minaur on the other hand is coming off a fantastic week in Basel, where he reached the final. While Roger Federer at home in his most dominant tournament, in a first time meeting to boot, was too tough - De Minaur played high quality tennis throughout the week. The 20-year old Aussie is amidst a career year where he´s already captured three titlesin Sydney, Atlanta and Zhuhai, propelling him to a career high world no. 18 ranking. Due to incredible athleticism and court coverage ability, Alex is incredibly tough to hit through, and in recent months we´ve also seen an improvement on serve, which was earlier a bit of a liability. The 20-year old also possesses the rare ability to not hit many unforced errors, which we last saw against Opelka in the Basel semifinal where De Minaur hit <strong>zero unforced errors </strong>in the last two sets.</p><p>This is a massive mismatch both on paper and likely out on court as well in a first time meeting between the pair. Djere doesn´t possess the weapons necessary to succeed on quicker surfaces, and hard court is often too fast for him. Furthermore, against De Minaur the Serb won´t be able to grind himself to points either, as the Aussie is the better player from the baseline. Though it is a fairly quick turnaround from playing the Final in Basel, I don´t expect fatigue to be an issue this early in the tournament for the 20-year old. Djere has lost six straight matches in straight sets, and trails his opponent in all the important statistical categories. Behind a dominating 21.9% hard court hold/break edge along with a 323 point hard court ELO edge, expect De Minaur to be far too strong. Paying a fine 1.93 with Pinnacle, the -5.5 games handicap makes appeal.</p><p><strong>Best Bet: De Minaur -5.5 games at 1.93 (93/100) with [<a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=155&amp;a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker!">Pinnacle</a>] 2u</strong></p><p><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=164&amp;a=f339dce1-88de-4994-ab6a-c24e019bdf3b&amp;f=3"><img alt src="https://cmscdn.staticcache.org/assets/image/0003/1348572/WHC_27064_Updated-In-Play-Tennis-Insurance_1280x480NEW.jpg" style="width:100%;height:38px" /></a></p><h2>Ashleigh Barty vs. Naomi Osaka</h2><p><strong>Tuesday, October 29, Shenzhen</strong></p><p>So far, so good. Making her debut in the WTA Finals as the world number 1, and sporting the worst combined H2H record out of the entire field, pressure was on Ashleigh Barty to perform - and perform she did. Up against a tough first match assignment in Belinda Bencic, the 23-year old Aussie was up to the task. Locked in a cagey first set in which both women were strong behind serve, a wobbly service game from the world no. 1 would be the difference which saw Bencic win the first set 7-5. In the second set, the Swiss injured her foot, which contributed to her downfall, but Barty also effectively changed her strategy. Unable to break through with the trademark wicked slice, the Aussie started dominating behind her first serve, and overpowering her Swiss opponent. Only facing one break point for the rest of the match, the 23-year old won 85% of first serve points along with smashing down 7 aces to wrap up the match 6-1, 6-2. The victory would also secure ending the year as world no. 1, the first Australian woman to achieve that feat.</p><p>Her opponent in this match will be former world no. 1 Naomi Osaka, who also had to navigate a tough three-set match to win her opener. Up against the powerful veteran Petra Kvitova, the Japanese-Haitian superstar would start very slow, which she also admitted herself after the match:</p><p>"I'm not great at first rounds," said Osaka regarding the round robin format. "It takes me a little bit to warm up. I think that this tournament forces you to do well early."</p><p>Going an early break down in the first set, and forced to save two more break points to avoid a 0-3 hole, the 21-year old survived a Kvitovian onslaught. Breaking back after a heinous service game where the Czech committed three double faults, Osaka would dominate the first set tiebreak, taking it 7-1. Kvitova would not relent however, and her clean winners and competitive spirit would ensure that the Japanese again would have to go the distance, just as in Melbourne 9 months ago. Naomi would not falter however, and despite missing two match points on serve and being broken at 5-2, she would wrap up the decider 6-4.</p><p>This will be the fifth head to head matchup between the pair, and the previous four have been split 2-2. Disregarding the 2014 meeting, Osaka leads the way 2-1, and more importantly 2-0 on hard courts, including defeating Barty in Beijing just under one month ago. While the Aussie has all the variety and that wicked slice that skids on these low bouncing courts, the Japanese-Haitian is on an 11-match win streak and will only improve as the tournament goes on. The power the 21-year old is able to summon off the ground has proven too much for her shrewd opponent to deal with in the past, and while Osaka has the lower floor, she also has the higher ceiling. Expect that higher ceiling to prove crucial in the deciding moments, and for Naomi to make it three wins on the spin over Barty on hard courts, and 12 wins in a row in overall matches. Paying 1.83 with Pinnacle, back the Japanese-Haitian with confidence.</p><p><strong>Best Bet: Osaka to win at 1.83 (83/100) with [<a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=155&amp;a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker!">Pinnacle</a>] 1.5u</strong></p></div>
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