ATP Rolex Paris Masters Day 1 & Shiseido WTA Finals Shenzhen Day 2 Best Tennis Bets and Predictions


Sunday, October 27, 2019 7:10 PM UTC

Sunday, Oct. 27, 2019 7:10 PM UTC

Can Grigor Dimitrov get back into the win column against the potentially exhausted Ugo Humbert?

<div><h2><b>Grigor Dimitrov vs. Ugo Humbert</b></h2><p><a href="" target="_blank" title="Game Odds"><strong>Monday, October 28, Paris</strong></a><br /><br />One of the very brightest tennis talents in many years, and predicted to have an incredible career, that hasn´t quite been the case for Grigor Dimitrov. Nicknamed "Baby Fed", the similarities are many to the great one´s game with the elegant movement, clever point construction and the gorgeous one-handed backhand. After peaking in 2017 with an ATP Final title and world no.3 ranking, it´s been a struggle for the 28-year old Bulgarian however. Battling a serious lack for form and fitness, Dimitrov was getting closer and closer to falling out of the top 100. That's when magic struck, and the former world no.3 played scintillating tennis to beat Roger Federer and make the US Open semifinal two months ago. Whilst not replicating that form, the Bulgarian has played some decent stuff and gotten unlucky with his draws lately. Losing a tight one against Sam Querrey and running into in-form Matteo Berrettini aren´t losses to feel ashamed about.<br /><br />His opponent is up-and-coming 21-year old Ugo Humbert. The Frenchman has made serious waves on tour this season, notably playing fantastic tennis to set up a Last 16 affair with eventual title winner Novak Djokovic at Wimbledon. Backing that result up with several strong showings on the Challenger tour including three titles, Humbert reached as high as world no. 46 on the rankings earlier this year and currently sits 63rd. Displaying a clear affinity for faster surfaces, the lanky 188cm lefty has a big hitting game. Striking the ball quite flatly it skids off the surface, making him a danger on fast hard courts and grass. Conversely, slower surfaces aren´t as suitable and Humbert has a 22/24 losing career record on clay. Recently, the 21-year old has hit a purple patch of form, impressing to make the Antwerp quarterfinal and almost defeated eventual champion Andy Murray. This past week Ugo also won a Challenger event in Brest.<br /><br />This looks a good chance for Dimitrov to take advantage of an easier draw than he's been getting as of late. The Bulgarian doesn´t have a fantastic record in Bercy, never winning three matches on the spin, but he´ll fancy his chances here. Despite matching up against a dangerous local wild card, Humbert won´t like the conditions here. Notorious for having some of the slowest, most high bouncing courts on tour, the pace of play has even proven suitable for clay court specialists. This spells trouble for the lanky, flat-hitting 21-year old, who has never won a main draw match here in two previous attempts. Furthermore, the best players tend to give Humbert problems, sporting a 6-10 career record against the top 50, and 3-6 this year. Two of those wins came in the lightning quick conditions of Antwerp as well. Statistically, Dimitrov leads the way marginally by a 1.8% hold/break edge and 52 point ELO edge. Humbert also comes from two long weeks and could be jaded as the season nears its end. All things considered, in these slower indoor conditions, the Bulgarian should be able to keep Humbert on the back foot, and pick up the win. Paying 1.78 with Pinnacle, that'll be our investment here.<br /><br /><b><i>Best bet: <a href="" target="_blank" title="Game Odds">Dimitrov to win at 1.78 (39/50)</a> with [<a href=";a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker">Pinnacle</a>] </i></b><i>1.5u</i></p><h2><a href=";a=f339dce1-88de-4994-ab6a-c24e019bdf3b&amp;f=3"><img alt src="" style="width:100%" /></a><br /><br /><b>Karolina Pliskova vs. Elina Svitolina</b></h2><p><a href="" target="_blank" title="Game Odds"><strong>Monday, October 28, Shenzhen</strong></a><br /><br />The ever so steady Karolina Pliskova makes her fourth appearance in the WTA Finals this year, having made back-to-back semifinals in her two years prior. It´s been a great season, and one where the Czech´s game has developed. Under the guidance of 1994 Wimbledon Champion Conchita Martinez, she picked up her biggest career title yet in a clay court triumph in Rome. Adding three more titles to the cabinet, the world no. 2 has been incredibly consistent all year long, outside of the Major events that still seem to curse the 27-year old. Making the semifinal of the Australian Open and pushing eventual Champions Naomi Osaka to a decider is as far as Karolina has gotten this season, failing to make a quarterfinal in the following three. Nontheless, the Czech sensation is in strong form, and recently picked up a title on Chinese soil in Zhengzhou.<br /><br />Last year´s Champion will stand for the opposition in Pliskova´s first match, as Elina Svitolina has returned to defend her title. Seemingly one to thrive in the underdog role, the Ukranian did just that last year, as she was overlooked by many as the number six seed. Overcoming Pliskova among others, the 25-year old stormed undefeated to win it all. Getting back here has been a labour however, with significant knee problems interrupting the season at various stages. The problems started all the way back in February in Dubai, and forced the world no. 8 out of action post Miami. Returning to top form and performing brilliantly at both Wimbledon and the US Open to make it career best semifinal appearances, the lingering knee issues have once again hindered the Ukrainian down the stretch. An instinctively genius counterpuncher, her swift movement around the court is an integral part of Svitolina´s game, and full fitness is required for that game to be clicking.<br /><br />The conditions here are fairly slow, but the ball bounce is also quite low. Something that should suit the powerful Pliskova well, whose heavy, flat groundstrokes skid through the court and become a lethal threat on lower bouncing surfaces. In great form and always a danger, the Czech will fancy her chances to enact revenge upon the Ukranian here, leading the H2H 5-4 but losing the last three matches. Svitolina has had to battle incredibly hard to just about scrape her way back here, but that knee still doesn´t look right. The world no.8 has been limited by it down the stretch and one wonders just how much she has left in the tank in the last event of the year. It´s Pliskova who comes into this contest with fewer question marks, and all things considered should be made the favourite to emerge victorious. At a 1.85 Pinnacle price, I´ll back her to do just that.<br /><br /><b><i>Best bet: <a href="" target="_blank" title="Game Odds">Pliskova to win at 1.85 (17/20) </a>with [<a href=";a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker">Pinnacle</a>] </i></b><i>1.5u</i></p></div>
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