ATP St. Petersburg Open 2019: Outright Preview and Betting Predictions

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Sunday, September 15, 2019 10:04 PM UTC

Sunday, Sep. 15, 2019 10:04 PM UTC

The St. Petersburg Open draw has just been released, and we break it down to find the best outright selections for this year's tournament!

<p dir="ltr" style="text-align:center"><strong><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tennis/world/atp/atp-st-petersburg-russia-men-singles/">ATP St. Petersburg Tennis Match Odds</a></strong></p><div><h2 dir="ltr">Trends and conditions</h2><p dir="ltr">We are quickly approaching the closing stages of this year's tour, with some players battling to qualify for the ATP Finals, and others trying to end the year on a high note. After the North American hardcourt swing, the tour now moves its activity indoors, but just for the week before the Asian Swing starts. Indoor tennis usually means fast courts and favorable conditions for the big hitters. ATP St. Petersburg is the first destination for the men, and the draw is loaded with quite a few big names.</p><p dir="ltr">The top 4 seeds come in with a bye straight to the second round, which is actually the last 16 in this 32-player field. It hasn't been a good tournament when it pertains to the top seeds though, with only one to prevail in the last 10 years being Dominic Thiem last year. The tournament is being played on Rebound Ace hard courts, that play somewhat similarly to the DecoTurf we see in the US Open. It's quite cushioned and on the slower side of things, meaning big servers won't necessarily have it all go their way here. Without further ado, let's get into the draw!</p><h2 dir="ltr">The Draw</h2><p dir="ltr">[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"de\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;St. Petersburg singles draw &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/XJewZ0ET9y\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/XJewZ0ET9y&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Michal Samulski (@MichalSamulski) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/MichalSamulski/status/1173192620086112256?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;September 15, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt; &lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><h2 dir="ltr">Quarter 1</h2><p dir="ltr"><strong>Projected quarterfinal if the seeds hold: Daniil Medvedev (1) vs. Andrey Rublev (5)</strong></p><p dir="ltr">It's been an incredible hard court summer for Daniil Medvedev, making four consecutive finals in the four tournaments he entered - culminating in pushing Rafael Nadal to five sets in the US Open final. After some well needed rest, the new world no.4 returns to action as the number 1 seed in St. Petersburg. Medvedev has the most wins out of anyone on tour this season (50) but he's also played more matches than anyone else since Wimbledon (23). The 23-year old will likely face wild card Evgeny Donskoy in the second round, before a tough matchup against Andrey Rublev may await.</p><p dir="ltr">Rublev has had a resurgence to fitness and form over the latter half of this year, starting with a final on the red dirt of Hamburg. Since then, the 21-year old made back-to-back quarterfinals in Cincinnati and Winston Salem, before stunning Nick Kyrgios to make the last 16 of the US Open. A very tricky round 2 task in the flat hitting Ricardas Berankis likely awaits though, and the Lithuanian does all his best work indoors.</p><p dir="ltr">Sporting a 171-87 career record, Berankis made the quarterfinal here along with a Moscow final in 2017. Last year, the 29-year old made the Moscow quarterfinal, so there's plenty of evidence to suggest he does well in this part of the year. Navigating through Dudi Sela shouldn't be too difficult, and with Rublev only sporting a 9-15 indoor record at this level, the Lithuanian looks set for an upset. With Medvedev making Ironman run after Ironman run this summer, anything is possible, but he hasn't been past the quarterfinal here before. With all the tennis in the top seed ́s legs, big priced Berankis looks primed to take advantage.</p><p dir="ltr"><strong>Predicted semifinalist:</strong> Ricardas Berankis</p><p dir="ltr" style="text-align:center"><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=164&amp;a=f339dce1-88de-4994-ab6a-c24e019bdf3b&amp;f=3"><img alt src="https://images-production-euw2-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5d1a2f2b5d2bd8d3de67df06/original-william-hill-inplay-tennis-insurance" style="width:100%" /></a></p><h2 dir="ltr">Quarter 2</h2><p dir="ltr"><strong>Projected quarterfinal if the seeds hold: Matteo Berrettini (3) vs. Adrian Mannarino (7)</strong></p><p dir="ltr">The big hitting Italian Matteo Berrettini is another player making waves this season. Stringing together 39 wins, 2 ATP titles and a US Open semifinal run, the 23-year old will certainly be gunning for more here. With a game quite adept to indoor tennis, lead by a massive serve, it's no surprise to see Berrettini sport a 70% win rate on the surface in his young career.</p><p dir="ltr">Earlier this year, the Italian made the Sofia semifinal, defeating the likes on Karen Khachanov, and he´ll be a danger for the title in this one. The road goes through either Roberto Carballes Baena och Martin Klizan in round 2, with neither looking like stern opposition. While the former has only 7 career matches on the surface, last year ́s finalist Klizan is considering retirement after a horrendous season.</p><p dir="ltr">Berrettini ́s seeded opponent in a quarterfinal would be Adrian Mannarino, but the erratic Frenchman doesn't care much for indoor tennis, and is 0-3 this year on the surface. With Stefano Travaglia and qualifiers/lucky losers standing in his path though, Mannarino may still make it there, but no option in this quarter should oust Berrettini.</p><p dir="ltr"><strong>Predicted semifinalist:</strong> Matteo Berrettini (3)</p><h2 dir="ltr">Quarter 3</h2><p dir="ltr"><strong>Projected quarter final if the seeds hold: Casper Ruud (8) vs. Borna Coric (4)</strong></p><p dir="ltr">Casper Ruud has made serious strides in his young career this season, and racked up the accolades on the red dirt. One final, two semifinals, one quarterfinal and one last 16 appearance in the prestigious Rome Masters at tour level has propelled the Norwegian up the rankings - reaching a career high world no. 54 earlier in the year. However, the 20-year old phenom has done nearly nothing outside of clay in his young career, and has no main draw indoors matches at the ATP-level.</p><p dir="ltr">Enroute to a quarterfinal awaits the dangerous Kazakh enigma in Alexander Bublik, who could go well in the faster conditions on his day, and potentially oust the young gun. Should Ruud go through there, Salvatore Caruso or Thomas Fabbiano don´t look much of a threat. In a potential quarterfinal either Marton Fucsovics or Borna Coric likely await, and with the Croat splitting with Coach Riccardo Piatti and struggling with injuries - it looks to be the former. Fucsovics made the indoors final in Sofia earlier in the year, backed it up with a quarterfinal in Rotterdam the week after, and could well take his chances in this wide open section of the draw.</p><p dir="ltr"><strong>Predicted semifinalist:</strong> Marton Fucsovics</p><h2 dir="ltr">Quarter 4</h2><p dir="ltr"><strong>Projected quarter final if the seeds hold: Mikhail Kukushkin (6) vs. Karen Khachanov (2)</strong></p><p dir="ltr">The last quarter is headlined by Mikhail Kukushkin in the top section, and the experienced Kazakh has racked up 119 career wins on this surface. He made the Marseille final indoors earlier in the year, and his flat hitting style is well suited to these conditions. A path to the quarterfinal is made tough by an immediate matchup against the extremely talented 18-year old Jannik Sinner. Should the veteran move through that affair, a matchup against the soon retiring Janko Tipsarevic/qualifier or lucky loser wouldn't be much of a challenge. In the quarterfinal however, number 2 seed Karen Khachanov likely awaits. The Russian hasn't had a great year by any means, struggling for form and even change of equipment mid season. After being upset in the very first round of the US Open to Vasek Pospisil, the world no.9 has become a new father. Only 23 years of age, it's unclear whether that will strengthen or weaken the Russian, but Joao Sousa or Josef Kovalik don't look the men to punish him for any struggles. Mikhail Kukushkin surely will though, and despite none of the meetings coming after Khachanov´s emergence, a 3-0 H2H lead will give the Kazakh confidence.</p><p dir="ltr"><strong>Predicted semifinalist:</strong> Mikhail Kukushkin (6)</p><h2 dir="ltr">The Verdict</h2><p dir="ltr">With this being the first competitive ATP tournament after the US Open, being indoors and scheduled in a weird week before moving onto the Asian Swing - it's never particularly appealing backing the big favourites. Priced up at only 3 or below, the top seed Medvedev is an easy pass. As we´ve mentioned in the article, most of the top seeds have question marks around their game on the surface or other problems that may hinder them here. This opens up a pathway for the talented indoors players that are available at larger prices. The standout price is certainly on Ricardas Berankis, who could well go far in Russia for the third consecutive year, and the opportunity is certainly there for him. At a price of 41 with Bet365, he's my first selection to win outright. In the lower half of the draw, both Marton Fucsovics and Mikhail Kukushkin will fancy their chances to make a deep run, and the pair are slated to meet in an eventual semifinal. The key thing to note here is that the Kazakh leads the H2H 4-0, with two of the wins coming indoors last year. Even still, Kukushkin is priced at 26 while Fucsovics is priced at 17, making the Kazakh veteran our preferred choice.</p><p dir="ltr"><strong>Best Bet:</strong> Ricardas Berankis to win outright at 41.0 (40/1) with [Bet365] 0.25u</p><p dir="ltr"><strong>Best Bet:</strong> Mikhail Kukushkin to win outright at 26.0 (25/1) with [Bet365] 0.5u</p><p dir="ltr"><strong><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tennis/world/atp/atp-st-petersburg-russia-men-singles/">ATP St. Petersburg Tennis Match Odds</a></strong></p></div>
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