Best Value Bets for ATP Indian Wells Final: Thiem vs. Federer

João Mourato

Saturday, March 16, 2019 9:58 PM UTC

Saturday, Mar. 16, 2019 9:58 PM UTC

Join us for our daily coverage of the BNP Paribas Open with Dominic Thiem and Roger Federer fighting for the title in the Californian desert.

<h2>Dominic Thiem (7) vs. Roger Federer (4)</h2><p><a href="" target="_blank" title="Check Thiem - Federer Betting Odds"><strong>Sunday, March 17, Indian Wells</strong></a></p><p>Five-time champion Roger Federer was supposed to face Rafael Nadal for the 39th time on Saturday but the Spaniard was forced to withdraw from the BNP Paribas Open due to a right knee injury. Federer has looked sharp in the Californian desert and is yet to lose a set at this year’s edition of Indian Wells. Adding to this, the 37-year-old Swiss won 97.40% of his service games on this event with an impressive average of 0.41 aces per service game.</p><p>Federer will next take on Dominic Thiem for the BNP Paribas Open title. The No.7 seed advanced to his maiden ATP Masters 1000 final on a hardcourt after a 7-6(3), 6-7(3), 6-4 win over Milos Raonic in two hours and 31 minutes. Thiem saved the lone break point he faced in the final game of the match and won 82.28% of the points behind his first serve to take down the Canadian for the first time in his career.</p><p>This will be the fifth meeting between these two players. Both players won two of their previous four official encounters on the ATP Tour but Thiem has yet to take a set off Federer on this surface.</p><p>The bookmakers are expecting a straightforward win from Federer with the Swiss as the heavy favourite <a href=";a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Join William Hill &amp; Start Playing Today!">at 3/10 (1.30) with William Hill</a>. Nevertheless, Thiem is a very dangerous player on the slow and high bouncing courts in Indian Wells. The Austrian only lost his serve twice in four matches and his kick serve will create a lot of problems to Federer’s one-handed backhand. With this in mind, our suggestion is to take advantage of the value on Dominic’s <a href="" target="_blank" title="Live Tennis Odds Board">tennis betting odds</a> with his +1.5 Set Handicap <a href=";a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Play at this A+ Rated Bookmaker!">at 101/100 (2.01) with Pinnacle</a> as a very interesting approach for this contest.</p>
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