Cincinnati Open Finals Preview and Betting Predictions


Sunday, August 18, 2019 9:14 AM UTC

Sunday, Aug. 18, 2019 9:14 AM UTC

Can the two-time Grand Slam Champion turn back the clock once more?
<div><h2>Svetlana Kuznetsova vs. Madison Keys(16)</h2><p><a href="" target="_blank" title="Game Odds"><strong>Sunday, August 18, Cincinnati </strong></a></p><p>Svetlana Kuznetsova has once again bared her fangs. Due to troublesome wrist and knee injures, the Russian missed the better half of the 2019 season, making her competitive comeback in Lugano this April. It´s been a tough journey, and the 34-year old struggled for results during the clay and grass spells, coming into the North American hard court swing off the back of three consecutive first round exits. Back on hard court however, the 2-time Slam Champion and former world no.2 has improved upon her form, with a R16 appearance in Toronto. Here in Cincinnati, Svetlana has reeled off five wins on the spin, all against incredibly tough opposition. World no. 11 Anastasija Sevastova, Dayana Yastremska(32) were both defeated before a top ten trio consisting of Sloane Stephens(10), Karolina Pliskova(3) and Ashleigh Barty(2) fell to the calculating Russian´s game.</p><p>“I’m really happy,” the gritty veteran said after her straight sets win over Barty. “I’m not really an analyzing person, but somehow, on my intuition, I’m doing so much better, not repeating so many of my mistakes. I’m just playing smarter and wiser now. At 34 years old, I should start, I think."</p><p>Kuznetsova´s opponent in this one will be Madison Keys, 10 years her junior. The American has the game to contend with the very best, but due to several injuries and the hit and miss nature of it all, consistency has been quite elusive for largesections of the 24-year old´s career. This season has shown much of that, with Keys reaching R16 of the Australian Open, before disappearing to show up with a Charleston title in April. A lackluster Rome and Madrid followed before the American reached the Roland Garros quarterfinals. Madison then again went off the boil, including a shocking upset vs Hailey Baptiste in Washington to start her North American hard court swing. This week has seen a resurgence of the 2017 US Open finalist though, who looks to be back to her brilliant best. Equipped with envious power and ballstriking skills, Keys has survived stern tests by Garbine Muguruza and world no. 4 Simona Halep, smashing a resurgent Venus Williams enroute to the semifinal. Up against one of the most in-form players on tour right now in Sofia Kenin, the former world no.7 took control of the match and pressured her younger compatriot off the court with a combination of great serving and penetrating groundstrokes.</p><p>This matchup will be one that pits grit against fearlessness, endless variety against overwhelming power. Kuznetsova has been incredibly impressive this week, and managed to break down power hitters like Yastremska, Stephens and Pliskova, whilst still ousting the craftier Sevastova and Barty. With the way Keys has been playing in this tournament, the match could well be on her racquet, but to penetrate the gritty veteran´s defenses has proven near impossible. The American hasn´t struggled in this department yet despite facing Simona Halep, but when facing the 34-year old Wizard, Madison´s unforced error count should soar above her winners count. Svetlana is a player of extreme tenacity, and won´t give away anything for free, whilst fighting every single second of the match until it has reached a conclusion. While the bookmakers open the market Keys as a warm favorite, the former 2-time Slam winner won´t let the American storm to the title in straightforward fashion. We´re being offered a full 3.5 games as a head start for Kuznetsova, priced at 1.91 with Pinnacle, and looks the bet in a match that´s likely closer than the odds suggest.</p><p><strong>Best bet: Svetlana Kuznetsova +3.5 games @ 1.88 (22/25) with <a href=";a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker!">Pinnacle</a></strong></p><p><a href=";a=f339dce1-88de-4994-ab6a-c24e019bdf3b&amp;f=3" target="_blank"><img alt src="" style="width:100%;height:38px" /></a></p><h2>Daniil Medvedev(9) vs. David Goffin(16)</h2><p><strong><a href="" target="_blank" title="Game Odds">Sunday, August 18, Cincinnati</a></strong></p><p>David Goffin is one of the purest ball strikers on tour. When in form, the Belgian has the rare ability to crush the ball right off the bounce, swiftly eliminiating his opponents´ time on the ball. The flat hitting suits itself well to the faster hard courts, and coupled with Goffin´s superb court coverage and defensive skills he makes for a tough nut to crack. However, the former world no.7 has a tendency to get down on himself and enter funks where the Belgian lacks any sort of confidence. After taking a slide in the rankings to world no.22 to end 2018, this year started with a R16 appearance at Australian Open. For the subsequent months however, David struggled to assert himself outside of the smaller ATP 250 events. Being one of few players to take a set off Rafael Nadal in Roland Garros, the 28-year old then kicked off the grass season in good form with a Hertogenbosch quarterfinal, followed by making the Halle final and Wimbledon quarterfinal. Looking assured of himself, a slump once again came upon the Belgian, with two straight first round exits in Washington and Montreal. Here though, Goffin has taken full advantage of a weakened bottom half due to Nadal and Thiem withdrawing, coming through the draw relatively unchallenged after ousting Taylor Fritz in three.</p><p>In this final, the Belgian will face up against Daniil Medvedev(7). The Russian has truly been the model of consistency this year, posting incredibly impressive results for himself. Thus far, Daniil has won a title, made a whopping five finals along with three semifinal appearanecs. Most of his exploits have come during this three week period to kick off the North American hard court swing, and the 23-year old has been in scintillating form to reach three consecutive finals. Many a time Medvedev was counted out due to accumulated fatigue in hot and humid conditions, but that hasn´t stopped him whatsoever. The world no. 7 usually employs an extremely gritty game, where the Russian grinds down his opponentswith remarkable consistency and defensive skills from the baseline. But coupled with an incredibly powerful serve, Daniil does have the ability to play first strike tennis, which was on full display in Saturday´s semfinal. After cruising through all opposition in straight sets, world no. 1 Novak Djokovic stood on the other side of the net. The Serb cruised to a 6-3, 3-2 lead and had 30-40 to break a then wilting Russian. Medvedev got out of the service game with some fantastic serving and then turned the match on its head. Employing a much more aggressive style of play, which we previously haven´t seen against the very best, the 23-year old took control of the rallies, and capitalized on Djokovic losing focus to break for 4-3. Medvedev never looked back, breaking the world no. 1 twice in the final set to seal a mightily impressive victory.</p><p>This final pits pure ball striking and court coverage against a gritty, defensive game with the potential to turn into powerful, first strike tennis. Goffin should come into this match confident, drawing upon his win in a five-set thriller of the pair´s 2019 Wimbledon R3 encounter. Though Medvedev has lost his last two finals, he didn´t do all too much wrong. It was more down to Nick Kyrgios and Rafael Nadal playing superb tennis. With the level of tennis the Russian has displayed over the last three weeks, he´ll enter this match as a firm favorite. As both players are defensively sound from the baseline, we´ll see plenty of longer, exhausting rallies. In theory this should favor the Belgian, coming in well rested off a quarterfinal walkover win as Nishioka withdrew due to illness. But those questioning Medvedev´s fitness levels have done so at their own peril over these last few weeks. The Russian hasn´t tired yet, and is unlikely to do so in tomorrow´s contest, despite his exertions in Saturday´s semifinal. Earlier this year, when the pair played their first of two H2H matchups, it was Daniil coming through the Australian Open R3 in straight sets. Though Goffin won at Wimbledon, Medvedev squandered a 4-1 deciding set lead, and the slick low bouncing lawns in England certainly favored the 28-year old more than these hard courts do. While the Russian has had to come through a stern test enroute to this final, the Belgian hasn´t been truly tested yet. Daniil also has the far superior hard court stats, with his 1956.4 ELO rating and 115.8 hold/break numbers well above David´s 1699 and 107.2 in the same categories. Expect the bigger serve and consistency to make the difference here as Medvedev picks up his second 2019 title. With Pinnacle paying 1.74 for a -2.5 handicap, that looks a sound investment in this one.</p><p><strong>Best bet: Daniil Medvedev -2.5 games at 1.74 (37/50) with <a href=";a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker!">Pinnacle</a></strong></p></div>
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