Davis Cup Finals Day 4 Best Tennis Bets and Predictions


Wednesday, November 20, 2019 9:11 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 20, 2019 9:11 PM UTC

A close contest to be expected when big serving Jo-Wilfried Tsonga faces a tough test in indoors specialist Filip Krajinovic?

<div><p>We're back again with more action from the Davis Cup at La Caja Mágica as Day 4. The problems that surround this new format have surfaced, which have made some rubbers lose their meaning, like when Team Canada was able to secure their quarterfinal berth early and then forfeit their doubles rubber. Some nations have had to play in front of smaller crowds, but those that have attended have tried hard to make a nice atmosphere still.</p><p>Day 3 was another exhilarating day of tennis with epic encounters, such as the dramatic tie between Great Britain and The Netherlands - or the Germany vs Argentina doubles rubber which went to 20-18 in the deciding set tiebreak. On the day we saw half of the groups in Group B, Group D, and Group F settle with the winners, and some second-placed nations will nervously await what happens in the other groups before their fate is sealed.</p><p>There's plenty on the line for a multitude of nations as Group A, Group C, and Group E will come to their conclusion on Day 4. Group A and Group E will have a showdown between Serbia - France and Great Britain - Kazakhstan respectively, to decide who wins those groups. In group C, Chile is winless but could force a three-way tie with Germany and Argentina should they win today's rubber against the former nation. A matchup that promises drama is the former world no. 1 Andy Murray facing up against Davis Cup warrior Mikhail Kukushkin.</p><p>The latter had no problems dispatching Van de Zandschulp priced 1.20 whilst the former struggled badly, staging a comeback from 1-4 down in the deciding set to win priced 1.04. Kukushkin's flat hitting style should prove problems for the Brit and the +3.5 games at 1.75 appeals, but I'll focus my action on another rubber today.</p><h2>Jo-Wilfried Tsonga vs. Filip Krajinovic</h2><p><strong>Thursday, November 21, Madrid</strong></p><h2>A newfound spark</h2><p>It seemed like the former world no. 5 was almost down and out. Hit with a devastating left knee injury that required surgery was not going to be an easy feat to come back from at 33 years of age. Jo-Wilfried Tsonga was determined to make a comeback, however, and though the Frenchman had to rebuild his ranking from outside of the top 250, he has done it in some style. The huge serve and booming forehand have again proven to stand the test of fitness and time, covering for his weaknesses in movement and backhand. Starting the year in fine form, winning the Montpellier title indoors in February, Tsonga also made a semifinal on the red dirt of Marrakech. However, the current world no. 29 then struggled to manufacture deep runs, and stepped down to play Challenger tour tennis in his home country to find answers:</p><p>"The reason why I went there was to have matches under my belt, but it was also many other things," Tsonga said. "Playing in Challenger tournaments helped me find the reasons why I was playing tennis again. The conditions are always more difficult. There's always a battle. You meet with players who are dreaming of being great champions. And even the crowd that is attending is a different crowd."</p><h2>The tennis of his life</h2><p>While that first career ATP title still proves to be elusive after losing his third straight final in Stockholm a month ago, make no mistake that Filip Krajinovic is playing some of the best tennis of his life right now. 2019 has been a brilliant year for the Serb, who qualified and beat David Goffin &amp; Daniel Medvedev back-to-back en route to an Indian Wells Last 16 appearance. That was the start of a bright spring for the 27-year old Serb, who made back-to-back finals in the Sophia Antipolis Challenger and ATP Budapest. Winning a Challenger event on the dirt in Heilbronn before going into a period with some patchy form, the autumn indoor season saw the specialist return to scintillating form. Coming within a set of the Paris Masters title in 2017, Krajinovic would perform excellently throughout the week in Stockholm to make the final. Ending his regular season with a quarterfinal appearance in Basel, the world no. 40 looked in good touch in the opener here at the Davis Cup. Easily dismissing Sugita Yuichi 6-2, 6-4 he continued the strong recent showings on indoor hard court.</p><h2>A tantalizing matchup</h2><p>This pair has never met before, and it'll be interesting to see a matchup between Tsonga's enormous serve and forehand up against the useful serve and solid baselining game of Krajinovic. Both prefer to rally from the forehand wing, but the Serb has a clear advantage on the backhand wing. He will look to lock Tsonga into those duels as often as possible, to set up a winner or force an error out of the big 34-year old. Spectacular points and entertaining tennis looks a given between two similarly ranked players. Looking at the statistics, the Frenchman holds a 3.5% hold/break edge over the last 12 months on hard court, while leading the ELO by 21 points. Those statistical advantages are lessened by Krajinovic's indoor prowess, however, and the Serb should acquit himself well against Tsonga's game. All things considered, it looks a close matchup likely to go long in these quick conditions, and the 1.78 price for over 22.5 games with <a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=4fd3c129-b898-4816-9a61-9f7e8f34295a&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Unibet </a>appeals.</p><p><strong>Best bet: Over 22.5 games at 1.78 (39/50) with [<a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=4fd3c129-b898-4816-9a61-9f7e8f34295a&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Unibet</a>] 2u</strong></p></div>
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