Best Value Bets for Madrid Masters Quarter-Finals: Federer vs. Thiem

João Mourato

Thursday, May 9, 2019 9:27 PM UTC

Thursday, May. 9, 2019 9:27 PM UTC

The action continues in Madrid with Roger Federer and Dominic Thiem fighting for a place in the semi-finals of the Mutua Madrid Open.

<div><h2>Roger Federer (4) vs. Dominic Thiem (5)</h2><p><strong>Friday, May 10, Madrid</strong></p><p>Dominic Thiem extended his winning streak to seven matches on Thursday after a 6-4, 7-5 win over Fabio Fognini in the third round of the Mutua Madrid Open. The 25-year-old Austrian saved the only break point he faced and ended the match with 17 winners to just 12 unforced errors. Thiem loves the court conditions in Madrid and although he is still seeking his first title on this event, the world No.5 made it to the final in his last two appearances at the Caja Mágica.</p><p>Thiem will next take on former champion Roger Federer for a place in the semi-finals of the Mutua Madrid Open. The 20-time Grand Slam champion rallied from a break down in the final set and saved two match points before finally beating Gael Monfils 6-0, 4-6, 7-6(3) in a thrilling third-round match that lasted two hours. Federer played very aggressive tennis and won 26 out of 35 points at the net. Nevertheless, the Swiss superstar struggled during long rallies with Monfils winning 72.73% of the points over 9 shots.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;The Barcelona champ beats the Monte-Carlo winner 🙌 &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/ThiemDomi?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@ThiemDomi&lt;/a&gt; ousts Fognini 6-4, 7-5 👊 | &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/MMOpen?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#MMOpen&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/uknbeGNR5O\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/uknbeGNR5O&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— ATP Tour (@ATP_Tour) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/ATP_Tour/status/1126484898351546368?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;9 de maio de 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><p>These two players will face each other for the sixth time in their careers. Thiem leads 3-2 in their head-to-head with the Austrian emerging victorious also in their most recent encounter at the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells.</p><p>Looking now at the odds for this contest, Thiem is the favourite at 12/25 (1.48) with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=8cb1fdf6-5659-4f16-a75b-679218b0115e&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Get in game with 10Bet!">10Bet</a> while <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="A+ Rated Bookmaker!">Bet365</a> offers 7/4 (2.75) for Federer to win this match. It is not often we see Roger priced as underdog but the Swiss is playing his first official tournament on clay in three years and didn’t play his best tennis in the previous round. On the other hand, Thiem is one of the best-clay court players in the game and his heavy kick serve will exploit Federer’s backhand. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to add Dominic’s -3 game handicap to your <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tips/" target="_blank" title="More Predictions &amp; Free Tips">betting tips</a> at 87/100 (1.87) with <a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=155&amp;a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Play at this A+ Rated Bookmaker!">Pinnacle</a> in a match where the Austrian should be too solid for Federer.</p></div>
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