Best Value Bets for Rome Masters Day 1: Keys to Take Down Hercog

João Mourato

Sunday, May 12, 2019 11:55 PM UTC

Sunday, May. 12, 2019 11:55 PM UTC

Join us while we go through the best value bets for this Monday’s action at the Internazionali BNL d’Italia Day 1 in Rome.

<div><h2>Madison Keys (13) vs. Polona Hercog (q)</h2><p><strong>Monday, May 13, Rome</strong></p><p>Former world No.7 Madison Keys got her <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tips/tennis/what-makes-clay-a-unique-surface-for-tennis-betting/89794/" target="_blank" title="What Makes Clay a Unique Surface for Tennis Betting?">clay-court season</a> off to a strong start, winning her fourth WTA title at the Volvo Car Open in Charleston. The 24-year-old is one of the most powerful players in the game and even though clay is not her favourite surface, returning to Rome brings back many happy memories to Keys. The American No.3 reached the final in 2016 and has always been a great investment on this event with an ROI of 18% - according to <a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=155&amp;a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Play at this A+ Rated Bookmaker!">Pinnacle’s closing odds</a> – in her previous six appearances at the Foro Italico.</p><p>Keys will open her Internazionali BNL d’Italia campaign against Polona Hercog on Monday. The Slovenian has enjoyed a great start to the season and won her first WTA title since 2012 at the Samsung Open in Lugano. Looking now at Polona’s campaign on this event, the 28-year-old advanced to the main draw in Rome after a 7-5, 4-6, 6-4 win over Viktorija Golubic in the final round of the qualifying. Despite her undeniable quality on this surface, Hercog only won 15.38% of the matches played throughout her career against Top 20 players on red dirt.</p><p>The bookmakers are well aware of Madison’s impressive record on this event with the American as the favourite at 53/100 (1.53) with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Join Bet365 &amp; Start Playing Today!">Bet365</a>. Hercog is a great competitor on this surface but it will be very difficult for her to find a solution to Keys’ tremendous firepower. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to add Madison’s moneyline to your <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tips/" target="_blank" title="More Predictions &amp; Free Tips">betting tips</a> as the best value bet for this first-round match in Rome. For those who want to take a higher risk, Keys’ -3 game handicap at 43/50 (1.86) with Pinnacle is also an interesting approach for this contest.</p></div>
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