US Open 2019 WTA Post-Draw Outright Preview and Betting Predictions

Snize

Friday, August 23, 2019 8:47 AM UTC

Friday, Aug. 23, 2019 8:47 AM UTC

The US Open Women´s draw has just been released, and we break it down to find the best outright selections for this year's tournament!

 

<div><p>We´re back again with a US Open outright preview. In our last article we analyzed the tournament before the draws had been released and made two selections each for the Men´s and Women´s tournaments. Now we get into the nitty gritty, break down the draw in its entirety, and look at the best value outright bets for the last Major of 2019!</p><h2 style="text-align:center">WTA Preview</h2><p>On the Women´s side, the reigning Champion Naomi Osaka comes in under an injury cloud and was forced to withdraw from Cincinnati with a knee injury. 23-time Major winner Serena Williams looks to finally tie Margaret Court´s record, and after having lost three straight Major finals, is this her time to shine? Let´s break down the draw and look at the value selections for the quarter´s markets and outrights!</p><h2>The Draw</h2><div>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;🐳🎾🍎 2019 US Open Women's Singles Draw... your guess is as good as mine &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/RBW3FoRKvK\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/RBW3FoRKvK&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Whale Capper (@whale_capper) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/whale_capper/status/1164607568817340416?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;August 22, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt; &lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</div><h2> </h2><div><h2>Quarter 1</h2><p><em><strong>Projected quarterfinal if the seeds hold: Naomi Osaka(1) vs. Kiki Bertens(7)</strong></em></p><p>Other notable players in the quarter: Aryna Sabalenka(9), Belinda Bencic(13), Anett Kontaveit(21), Donna Vekic(23), Julia Goerges(26), Carla Suarez Navarro(28), Coco Gauff(W), Viktoria Azarenka, Kaia Kanepi</p><p>With Naomi Osaka coming in under a large injury cloud, with it being impossible for us to know how badly hurt her knee is, this quarter suddenly becomes wide open. It was initially looking like a decent draw for the Japanese star, but things now become much more complicated. In the 1st round, the 21-year old will face off against Anna Blinkova and could then face in-form Magda Linette in round 2. The shining 15-year old Coco Gauff, who made a breakthorugh at this year´s Wimbledon, may await in the 3rd round. It could also be the Spanish ace Carla Suarez Navarro. The hard hitting Anett Kontaveit or giant killer Belinda Bencic, would be those Osaka could face in a fourth round, with the latter being my fancy in this quarter. But the Swiss is also coming in with injury doubts, having sustained a left foot injury in Cincinnati, and it´s tough to say who reigns supreme amongst all the injury problems.</p><p>On the bottom half of the first quarter, we see the talented Aryna Sabalenka and Kiki Bertens as the two biggest seeds. Sabalenka looked to find some of the hard-court form, that propelled her to two titles late last year, in making the San José final. But the Belarusian runs into an incredibly difficult test in two-time Major winner Victoria Azarenka in a blockbuster first round matchup. Furthermore, Yulia Putinseva or big hitting Donna Vekic wait in the later rounds. Kiki Bertens on the other hand had been eliminated in the 1st or 2nd round on seven consecutive occasions before last year and could well be upset early. As a whole, this quarter is a war zone, and it´s anyone´s guess who comes out on top. But with the injury doubts surrounding Bencic and Osaka, Donna Vekic is a very strong competitor who could well take this one home.</p><p><em><strong>Predicted semifinalist: Donna Vekic(23)</strong></em></p><p><em><strong><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=164&amp;a=f339dce1-88de-4994-ab6a-c24e019bdf3b&amp;f=3" target="_top"><img alt src="https://cmscdn.staticcache.org/assets/image/0003/1348572/WHC_27064_Updated-In-Play-Tennis-Insurance_1280x480NEW.jpg" style="width:100%" /></a></strong></em></p><h2>Quarter 2</h2><p><em><strong>Projected quarterfinal if the seeds hold: Simona Halep(4) vs. Petra Kvitova(6)</strong></em></p><p>Other notable players in the quarter: Sloane Stephens(11), Bianca Andreescu(15), Caroline Wozniacki(19), Garbine Muguruza(24), Elise Mertens(25), Barbora Strycova(31), Svetlana Kuznetsova, Jelena Ostapenko</p><p>The second quarter is headlined by the world no. 4 and recent Wimbledon Champion Simona Halep, who will look to avoid a third consecutive first round exit as she returns to the Flushing Meadows. One of the most consistent performers on tour, Halep has had some injury problems after the stellar run in London, and we don´t know if she is 100% fit yet. That will be crucial for a player relying on her movement and counterpunching to be successful. If the Romanian is fit however, her draw looks promising, with the potential to face back to back qualifiers in the first two rounds. The crafty Barbora Strycova would follow in round 3 but the Czech who had a dream run to the Wimbledon semifinals isn´t as threatening on hard courts. In round 4, things get dicey, as the incredible Bianca Andreescu is a likely opponent. The giant killing Canadian has a perfect 7-0 record against top 10 opponents and have made two incredible title runs at Premier tournaments in Indian Wells and Toronto. Andreescu may well mark the start of another amazing run with a victory here.</p><p>On the bottom half, the big names are Sloane Stephens and Petra Kvitova, both players have struggled mightiliy this season - but for different reasons. In the American´s case, she´s been simply woeful, whereas the Czech has been troubled by a forearm injury for a few months now, and unlikely to contest here. Stephens starts her journey against a qualifier, and then faced with an immediate test in veteran Svetlana Kuznetsova, who demolished the 26-year old 6-1, 6-2 enroute to the Cincinnati final. However, the American has just reunited with the coach that took her to the 2017 title in Kamau Murray, which may well provide a spark. Even if the Sloane does navigate through the Russian veteran, a potential bout with former Major winners Jelena Ostapenko/Garbine Muguruza would be potential 4th round opponents. Andreescu then looms large in the quarterfinals. The red-hot Canadian is my favourite to make it through this section.</p><p><em><strong>Predicted semifinalist: Bianca Andreescu(15)</strong></em></p><h2>Quarter 3</h2><p><em><strong>Projected quarterfinal if the seeds hold: Elina Svitolina(5) vs. Karolina Pliskova(3)</strong></em></p><p>Other notable players in the quarter: Madison Keys(10), Johanna Konta(16), Marketa Vondrousova(17), Sofia Kenin(20), Caroline Garcia(27), Dayana Yastremska(32), Venus Williams, CoCo Vandeweghe</p><p>Despite posting some very nice results over the course of the season, including a Wimbledon semifinal, it still often feels like Elina Svitolina is searching for her best tennis after her knee injury this spring. A great counterpuncher and defender, the 24-year old does have a tendency to get down on herself when she isn´t playing well. That sometimes leaves her vulnerable. The Ukrainian has only gone 3-4 since that run on the London lawns, and will have no time to get settled here. Svitolina faces Wild card Whitney Osuigwe in the 1st round, while Venus Williams looms large in the second. The 39-year old showed that she can still pack quite the punch, reaching the Cincinnati quarterfinals, taking out the reigning champion Kiki Bertens along the way. Heavy hitting countrywoman Dayana Yastremska may be a round 3 matchup while Kenin/Keys will be an incredibly tough test for the world no. 5. The former holds a 2-0 record on Svitolina in 2019 alone, while the latter being a US Open 2017 finalist and in great form off a title in Cincinnati. Keys had added grit and determination to her powerful game, and on the back of the American´s Cincinnati form, she should make the quarterfinals.</p><p>On the other side of the quarter stands Karolina Pliskova, world no. 3 and the model of consistency - outside of Majors. For so long has glory at the biggest tournaments of all eluded her, and for one of the most talented women in the game, possessing a lethal serve and heavy groundstroke combination - it´s a bit perplexing. Nontheless, with three titles to her name, the Czech will be hoping for better fortune at this year´s US Open. The draw opens up nicely for Pliskova, facing a qualifier, Bernarda Pera and potentially the struggling Caroline Garcia across her first three rounds of action. In the fourth round the potentially tricky Johanna Konta has fallen off with two consecutive upset losses post Wimbledon, but the other likely opponent could well cause some trouble. Roland Garros finalist Marketa Vondrousova hasn´t played since Wimbledon with a wrist injury, but if fit she could well prove a challenge should the Czech get there. Pliskova should be able to reach the quarterfinals though, but an in-form Keys likely awaits. The pair have actually never faced, but with the American possessing great power that can certainly match the world no. 3, her superior movement ability and poise at the big stage should see Madison through.</p><p><em><strong>Predicted semifinalist: Madison Keys(10)</strong></em></p><p><em><strong><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=168&amp;a=4417b7df-a48f-47f3-9b45-f79858bc083a&amp;f=3" target="_blank"><img alt src="https://images-production-euw2-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5d582dcf927b95968483da5f/original-10-bet-new-customer-welcome-bonus" style="width:100%" /></a></strong></em></p><h2>Quarter 4</h2><p><em><strong>Projected quarterfinal if the seeds hold: Serena Williams(8) vs. Ashleigh Barty(2)</strong></em></p><p>Other notable players in the quarter: Anastasija Sevastova(12), Qiang Wang(18), Petra Martic(22), Hsieh Su-Wei(29), Maria Sakkari(30)</p><p>The tournament favourite, legendary American, 23-time Major Champion and one of the greatest to ever grace the women´s game in Serena Williams, is the big headline in this quarter. When it comes to Serena, the superlatives are plenty, but the 37-year old was certainly the manufacturer of major controversy in last year´s US Open final. An emotional outburst and attacking the umpire overshadowed what was an incredible performance and tournament for the then 20-year old Osaka, and the American will be hoping to make headlines for other reasons this year. Serena has struggled for fitness for the majority of the season, unable to play more than 27 games, 15 of them coming in the Majors. After moving much better at Wimbledon, she lost her third consecutive Major final against Simona Halep, and was then forced to retire with back spasms in Toronto. If she´s fully fit, the former world no. 1 is always a force, but a blockbuster round 1 matchup against Maria Sharapova could be a pitfall if the American isn´t operating at peak level - despite her 18-match winning streak against the Russian. In the second round, Catherine McNally/ Timea Bacsinszky shouldn´t be threats, but a third-round bout with Karolina Muchova or the crafty Hsieh Su-Wei is nothing to laugh off. Another crafty opponent in Anastasija Sevastova awaits in the fourth round, but if Serena has gotten this far, she won´t have too much trouble.</p><p>On the other half is Ashleigh Barty, the world no. 2 who´s been the model of consistency this year, and unlike Karolina Pliskova also able to crown her efforts with a Major title at this year´s Roland Garros. Barty´s variety has often befuddled opponents, and to that the Aussie has added more whip and aggression to be able to step in and control points. However, after being upset against Alison Riske at Wimbledon, Barty has struggled to produce her best tennis. Despite battling away as hard as she can, it´ll be a tough road for the Aussie. Starting with Zarina Diyas, with Lauren Davis waiting in the second round will be no easy task for the world no. 2. In the third round, either in-form Maria Sakkari or in-form Camilla Giorgi would stand for the opposition, with the potential blockbuster matchup against Angelique Kerber in round 4 should the German shake off her poor form. The pair of Serena and Barty have faced on two occasions, although the meeting back in 2014 isn´t too relevant. Both matches were won by the American, and if she´s fully fit and firing, there´s really no one capable of stopping her in this quarter.</p><p><em><strong>Predicted semifinalist: Serena Williams(8)</strong></em></p><h2>The Verdict</h2><p>The first quarter is an absolute war zone, and with the injury problems forcing withdrawals for Osaka and Bencic, it´s anyone´s guess who emerges from there. In other words, a quarter I´m happy to stay away from. Should Bencic look fit and firing in her first few matches however, she´ll be one I´ll look to back to win this quarter. In the second quarter, things are set up pretty well for our pre-draw outright selection in Bianca Andreescu, and in a quarter consisting mostly of Simona Halep and slumping "big name" players she´s fancied to pull through. The bookies make her the second favourite after the aforementioned Romanian, and at a price of 5.5, Andreescu to win her quarter is my first selection. Over in the third quarter, we look set to have a quarterfinal between Karolina Pliskova and one of two American players named Madison Keys or Sofia Kenin. Keys is our other pre-draw outright selection, and with the form she displayed in taking the Cincinnati title, I fancy her to win this quarter as well. Last year´s semifinalist does have a slightly trickier quarter than Andreescu though, and I don´t see enough value in the 4.5 offered to double down on her to win the quarter as well. Lastly, we have the fourth quarter, which truly should be Serena William´s to win. However, as mentioned on several occasions, her injury history is problematic, and backing her at only 3.0 to win the quarter isn´t appealing. If fit however, any other quarter winner would be surprising, and I´d advise to wait and observe Serena for a few matches before making an investment there.</p><p><a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=153&amp;a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="US Open Betting Odds"><em><strong>Best bet: Bianca Andreescu to win Quarter 2 at 5.5 (9/2) with [Betfair] 0.5u</strong></em></a></p><p>Again, there were so many things to go into, but too little time (and space). If you have any questions regarding my selections, or anything tennis related, feel free to hit me up on Twitter [@SnizeMaster]. Thank you for being with me this far, and until next time, sayonara!</p></div></div>
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