US Open Day 3 Best Tennis Bets and Predictions


Tuesday, August 27, 2019 4:22 PM UTC

Tuesday, Aug. 27, 2019 4:22 PM UTC

Can the crafty Sevastova beguile her inexperienced opponent and move on to the third round?

<div><h2><b>Iga Swiatek vs. Anastasija Sevastova(12) </b></h2><p><strong>Wednesday, August 28, New York</strong><br /><br />Iga Swiatek has been one to take the world tennis scene by storm this year. In her full first year on tour, the Polish superstar has risen from rank 170 to her current rank of 56 backed by a 35-16 statline. Only 18 years of age, Iga is still juggling the life of a professional tennis player, with the demands of attending a private high school. The 2019 season has been a great one, with the Pole´s three most notable achievements being reaching the Lugano final and the Roland Garros &amp; Toronto Round of 16. Swiatek is a big hitter off both wings, and primarily employs a very aggressive brand of tennis, which has allowed a seamless transition from juniors to WTA. However, the 18-year has struggled with nerves and expanding her comfort zone, reeling in the unforced errors and controlling her aggression. In matches against Simona Halep and the first set vs. Caroline Wozniacki, she was dominated. Against the more crafty players on tour, being able to problem solve and add more weapons to her artillery will be vital.<br /><br />One of the craftiest players on the tour will be her opponent today, Anastasija Sevastova. The Latvian world no. 18 uses a wicked slice, sudden drop shots and clever disruptions in rhythm to beguile her opponents and force them into making mistakes. What the 29-year old lacks in power, she makes up with variety, and makes for an incredibly tricky opponent to face for the first time. Sevastova has gone 27-18 this year, with a title at her home tournament in Jurmala on the red dirt as a best result. Usually one that brings her best tennis to the Majors, the Latvian made the Round of 16 in both Australian Open and Roland Garros, though the grassy lawns of Wimbledon has never done her any favors. Here at the US Open the world no. 18 is a fantastic performer, making at least the quarterfinals on three straight occasions, making the semifinal last year. Enroute to last year´s result, top talent Elina Svitolina and the reigning champion Sloane Stephens were two of the victims.<br /><br />This matchup will pit the young power player Iga Swiatek against an incrdibly crafty opponent with elite skills for the first time. Sevastova will make it difficult for the 18-year old to find her rhythm, and won´t give away any points easily. Looking at the stats, the Latvian comes out marginally ahead in the hold/break category by a rating of 107.4 to the Pole´s 105.9. In the hard court ELO ratings, Anastasija also comes out marginally ahead via a 1819.3 rating compared to her opponent´s 1803.8. Couple this with the vast experience advantage, and having lost no earlier than the quarterfinals here for three consecutive years. Swiatek has never played the US Open before, and has very little experience on the biggest of stages. Despite this, the bookmakers are actually making the Latvian the underdog in this affair, with WilliamHill paying 2.10 for the 29-year old to emerge victorious. At this generous price, we pounce on Sevastova to win this match.<br /><br /><a href=";a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="US Open Betting Odds"><em><strong>Best bet: Anastasija Sevastova to win at 2.10 (11/10) with [WilliamHill] 1.5u</strong></em></a></p><p><br /><a href=";a=f339dce1-88de-4994-ab6a-c24e019bdf3b&amp;f=3" target="_blank"><img alt src="" style="width:100%" /></a></p><h2><br /><b>Hugo Dellien vs. Daniil Medvedev(5)</b></h2><p><strong>Monday, August 26, New York</strong><br /><br />We were treated to a shocking upset during Day 1´s action, as clay court specialist Hugo Dellien survived to see another round. As a 7.89 priced underdog, the Bolivian managed to go up 2-0 in sets on the talented Kwon Soon Woo. The South Korean then stormed back to take the third set however, and was up a break in the 4th before collapsing on court, being forced to retire. Very unfortunate for Kwon, who looked set to win the match after looking to have solved the Bolivian puzzle. A large slice of luck certainly went Dellien´s way there, who certainly will relish the $100,000 he will pocket by making the second round. Albeit via retirement, this win was actually the first hard court main draw match that the Bolivian has ever won. In fact, the 26-year old had never even won a challenger tour main draw match on the surface. An extreme clay court specialist who avoids all other surfaces, Hugo has logged a grand total of 21 matches throughout his entire career off the dirt on all levels. 16 of these matches were lost, and his only five career wins stem from a few hard court spells on the Futures tour.<br /><br />The step up in quality will be astronomical in this contest, as world no. 5 Daniil Medvedev stands for the opposition. Medvedev served us well yesterday, when he came through in a comfortable straight sets win against Prajnesh Gunneswaran. Despite it being a best of five sets match, the Russian wrapped up the 6-4, 6-1, 6-2 victory in only 84 minutes. The first set alone was only 14 minutes shorter than the next two combined. It was a truly impressive performance befitting a tour veteran, being able to ruthlessly and efficiently dispatch lesser talented opposition without any troubles whatsoever. Daniil did take an MTO for treatment on his left hamstring which was the only small concern, but he seemed perfectly fine afterwards in closing out the match.<br /><br />In the few hard court matches we have data on for Hugo Dellien, the Bolivian has gotten absolutely demolished, posting an unfathomably low hold/break ratio of 36.1. The 26-year old´s hard court ELO sits at 1411.3. Daniil Medvedev on the other hand routinely dispatches less talented opposition, as was shown again in yesterday´s affair. With a hold/break ratio of 114.4 and a hard court ELO of 2036.1, the gulf in class is so enormous that the Russian could well have been in another solar system. Dellien is incredibly fortunate to even be in this second round, and in his only other rodeo in the US Open he lost in the first round of qualifying. That was last year, and fellow clay court specialist Galan laid down a 6-1, 7-6 drubbing upon the Bolivian. Playing a typically grindy game with heavy topspin, Hugo just doesn´t have the weapons to hit through or outlast his elite opponent here. We just saw what Medvedev did to a fringe top 100 player on this surface, and it would require a miraculous performance from Dellien to even win a respectable amount of games here. Putting all the factors together, a 6-3, 6-3, 6-2 scoreline might even feel a tad bit generous. With that being the minimum requirement to hit the posted line of under 26.5 games, we once again pounce on the 1.89 price at Pinnacle with a large investment.<br /><br /><br /><em><strong><a href=";a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="US Open Betting Odds">Best bet: Under 26.5 games at 1.89 (89/100) with [Pinnacle] 2.5u</a></strong></em><br /> </p></div>
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