Can the German qualifier continue his dream run against his fatigued opponent?
<div><div><h2><strong>Dominik Koepfer vs. Daniil Medvedev(5) </strong></h2><p><strong>Sunday, September 1, New York</strong><br /><br />Dominik Koepfer is putting together the run of his dreams right now in this year´s US Open. The 25-year old had mostly plied his trade on the Futures and Challenger tour prior to receiving this opportunity to play the US Open for the first time. An opportunity the German has made the very most of thus far, impressing in qualifying dropping only one set. In the main draw, Koepfer has beaten Jaume Munar, Reilly Opelka and now the no.17 seed Nikoloz Basilashvili to progress to this fourth round encounter. The German had earned $332,732 in his entire career up until this point, and this fourth round berth not only guarantees him at least $280,000 more, but also breaking into the top 100 ranking for the first time. One statline that sticks out is how well Dominik has acquitted himself on return, winning an average of 59% second serve points and generating a whopping 33 break points. Currently playing the tennis of his life, the 25-year old will fancy his chances again in this contest.</p><p>An incredibly tough opponent stands on the other side of the net in this one, Daniil Medvedev. The Russian has been arguably the most impressive player on tour over the last couple of weeks, with making three consecutive finals crowned with a Cincinnati title. However, the decision to play a full 16 matches this close before a Major may well start to come back and haunt the 23-year old as the tournament goes on. In the first round, Medvedev took a medical time out for a left hamstring problem. In the second and third rounds, the Russian has cramped up, and physically laboured to get through the matches. It truly does feel like the exertions of the last few weeks are slowly but surely catching up to the number 5 seed. Though still serving exceptionally well, returning has been tougher, notably only converting on 9/26 break points vs. Dellien and 2/7 vs. Lopez.<br /><br /><br />For Dominik Koepfer this is free rolling heaven, and he can play full of confidence and enjoy this life changing occasion to the fullest. Playing impressive tennis all week, not buckling under pressure, the German will be tough to break down. For Daniil Medvedev, it looks more and more like he´s running on fumes and the fitness concerns will only increase for each round. Even a fully fit Medvedev would not find the going easy against the feisty German, who´s been able to protect his serve well all week - averaging 69.7% first serve percentage and winning 70.6% of points behind it. While the oddsmakers make this affair lopsided in the Russian´s favor, I think this match will be a lot closer than those odds suggest. Starting with a +6.5 games handicap, a physically labouring number 5 seed would have to beat down Koepfer quite handily to overcome this head start, which seems quite unlikely. Priced at 1.83 with Pinnacle, this line is excellent value in this contest.<br /><br /><em><strong><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=155&a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="US Open Betting Odds">Best bet: Dominik Koepfer +6.5 games at 1.83 (83/100) with [Pinnacle] 1.5u</a></strong></em></p><h2><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=164&a=f339dce1-88de-4994-ab6a-c24e019bdf3b&f=3" target="_blank"><img alt src="https://cmscdn.staticcache.org/assets/image/0003/1348572/WHC_27064_Updated-In-Play-Tennis-Insurance_1280x480NEW.jpg" style="width:100%" /></a><br /><br /><strong>Elina Svitolina(5) vs. Madison Keys(10)</strong></h2><p><strong>Sunday, September 1, New York</strong><br /><br />Elina Svitolina is once again standing in a similar position as she has so many times in the past. The fourth round of a major, on the cusp of building something truly special. When the Ukranian made her big breakthrough in 2017, she couldn´t get past this stage, collapsing in the final set against the very same woman she´ll face today. As one of the most consistenly elite performers on the tour, with nine WTA titles to her name, it´s surprising to see Svitolina has yet to win a Major. After a cloudy few months during the 2019 spring, the 24-year old came from out of nowhere to make her maiden Major semifinal at Wimbledon. At the start of this year´s US Open, Svitolina has been in great shape, rolling through Whitney Osuigwe, a resurgent Venus Williams and the dangerous Dayana Yastremska all in straight sets.<br /><br />Madison Keys stands in her way, and the American had been in woeful form pre-Cincinnati, where she picked up the title and is now on a career best 9-match win streak. Keys has always had the talent to be among the very best, but injuries and mental fortitude had stopped her in the past. Now though, the 24-year old plays with newfound strength, patiently waiting for her chances to unleash her thunderous groundstrokes, and doesn´t let a bad few games derail the game plan. The American rolled through Doi Misaki and Zhu Lin before being faced with a stern rematch of the Cincinnati semifinal in Sofia Kenin. In yet another close affair, Madison managed to come through. It wasn´t without a hitch though, as the doctor had to brought on court in what turned out to be a health scare. Keys battled sudden nausea during the match, but managed to stay strong and execute in the key moments to take the win. This makes the 24-year old´s fifth straight year into week 2 of the US Open, and with the way she´s playing she will be filled with confidence.<br /><br />After a dramatic encounter that Elina Svitolina was mostly on top of, she crumbled from 4-2 up in the deciding set of this exact fourth round matchup two years ago. Earlier this year, the Ukrainian managed to put things right as she defeated the American in three sets. This matchup pits fantastic movement and counterpunching skills against extraordinary power. In what promises to be a closely contest affair, the key factor will be the fact that Madison Keys is playing her very best tennis right now. In not going for too much, reeling in the unforced errors, and powering through her opponents, only the best of the best have been able to defeat the American. Especially in this tournament, where she´s made back to back semifinals or better in the last two years. Svitolina has a tendency to get down on herself if the going gets rough and she´s not playing well, whilst Madison lately has found a way to grit her teeth and come back. Like she did from 5-3 down in both sets against Svetlana Kuznetsova in the Cincinnati final. The Ukranian has never been past this stage at the US Open before, and with the home crowd cheering her on, Keys looks the firm favorite in this one. At a price of 1.74 with Pinnacle, back the American to win this match.<br /><br /><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=155&a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="US Open Betting Odds"><em><strong>Best bet: Madison Keys to win at 1.74 (37/50) with [Pinnacle] 1.5u</strong></em></a></p></div></div>