Can Wang fend off Giorgi to make her first final of the year?
<div><h2>Qiang Wang (1) vs Camila Giorgi</h2><p>Friday, August 23, New York</p><p>Wang has been a model of consistency this year and while Giorgi is always a threat, I feel we have to side with the top seed. Recent form and yearly stats both support a shorter price on the favourite and I’m happy siding with her to edge this match.</p><p>Wang has won 73% of her matches on hard courts over the last year for a 21.3% ROI and has an impressive 10.8% ROI lifetime on hard courts over 428 matches. She is priced 1.88 for this match and in close matches (1.5 to 2.99) on hard court she has won 18 of 25 over the last year for a 47% ROI and 33 of her last 50 for a 28.7% ROI. She has a combined service/return points won percentage of 107.1% on hard courts over the last year which is at the elite level. Despite a big wobble losing her first set 6-0 last round she has still managed superb service/return numbers in this event with 112.5% combined.</p><p>Giorgi is a dangerous player but has been unable to maintain her level against the better opposition in 2019 with a 1-7 record as underdog and -74.8% ROI. She has won 58% of her matches on hard courts over the last year for a -9.8% ROI though has a 6.4% ROI lifetime on hard courts over 578 matches highlighting her decline in form this year. She is priced 2.05 for this match and in close matches (1.5 to 2.99) on hard court she has won 9 of 17 this year for a -6.7% ROI and 22 of her last 50 for a -8.4% ROI. She has a combined service/return points won percentage of 101.1% on hard courts over the last year which is well below Wang. Despite her poor form this year she has played good tennis this week with service/return numbers of 108.8% combined. That and the 2-0 H2H are the main worries but Wang is still playing better tennis this week and both H2H matches were in 2017.</p><p>Recent and immediate form as well as yearly stats all support Wang being the value play. While there are some worries for the bet, I would price this in the range of 1.66 to 1.72 so it’s an easy bet at anything over 1.8.</p><p><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=155&a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Tennis Betting Odds"><em><strong>Best Bet: Qiang Wang at 1.88 with Pinnacle</strong></em></a></p><p><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=164&a=f339dce1-88de-4994-ab6a-c24e019bdf3b&f=3" target="_blank"><img alt src="https://cmscdn.staticcache.org/assets/image/0003/1348572/WHC_27064_Updated-In-Play-Tennis-Insurance_1280x480NEW.jpg" style="width:100%" /></a></p><h2>Andrey Rublev vs Denis Shapovalov (2)</h2><p>Friday, August 23, Winston Salem</p><p>Two evenly matched, power orientated big serving players and I would expect this to be a tight, serve orientated affair. Shapovalov in particular has a history of being serve orientated and as the favourite he seems likely to dictate the style of match.</p><p>Rublev is 6’ 2” and Shapovalov is 6’ 0”, they are priced at almost exactly evens and both have been serving well in recent events with 88% and 83% holds respectively over the last month. Tour average is 79.4% holds and these two have held 80.6% and 84.15 in 2019. Their playing style is power orientated, and both have been very effective this week at finishing points quickly off their own delivery. As long as they continue to serve well, I doubt either is likely to have a ton of chances on return. The pair met on the slower courts of Miami earlier this year and it was 6-3 7-6.</p><p>The main worry for the bet is that Winston Salem has below the average holds for a hard-court event suggesting it is a little slow. From watching I would argue that it is medium paced and perhaps the reason behind the low hold percentage overall is that you get a lot of poor performances in early rounds from players cautious or simply unfit the week before a slam. Winton Salem is at 296m of altitude which will make the ball fly through the air a little quicker and I see little reason for the event to be poor for servers.</p><p>I would have priced this in the range of 3.5 to 4 so it’s an easy bet at anything over 4.33.</p><p><a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&a=8cb1fdf6-5659-4f16-a75b-679218b0115e&f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Tennis Betting Odds"><em><strong>Best Bet: Set 1 Total Games: Over 12.5 at 4.6 with 10Bet</strong></em></a></p><div> </div></div>