WTA Zhengzhou Day 1 Preview and Tennis Betting Predictions

Tennis Pilot

Sunday, September 8, 2019 4:11 PM UTC

Sunday, Sep. 8, 2019 4:11 PM UTC

Can Zidansek push Putintseva to a decider for the third time in three meetings?
<div><h2>Tamara Zidansek vs Yulia Putintseva</h2><p><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tennis/world/wta/wta-zhengzhou-china-women-singles/putintseva-vs-zidansek-3903127/" target="_blank" title="Game Odds"><strong>Monday, September 9, Zhengzhou</strong></a></p><p>Zhengzhou started its life as an ITF back in 2014 before being upgraded to a WTA 125K in 2017 and now as of 2019 it is a WTA Premier event. It is one of the slower hard court events with just 58.4% holds since 2017 compared to the tour average of 63.1%. Conditions this week are hot and largely dry with high humidity at times and little wind.</p><p>I’m not keen to oppose Putintseva directly as she is a solid top 50 opponent and in good form but I would expect this to be close and I’m happy going with 3 sets. Zidansek is a talented young player and generally plays her best tennis on the clay so will hopefully enjoy the slower conditions. She’s had a solid year winning a challenger in June and notably making her first WTA International final in Nurnberg with wins priced at 2, 2.1 and 2.5. She lost the final to Putintseva in 3 sets. She is priced 2.75 in this match and priced 2 to 6 she has gone the distance or seen this bet returned in 11 of her last 20 matches going back to January. Last out she lost in 3 sets at the US Open to world number 22 Petra Martic priced at 4.2.</p><p>Putintseva has been consistently impressive this year and rarely tends to lose as favourite with a 24-8 record over the last 12 months. Last out at the US Open she had an excellent win over Sabalenka in straight sets before losing to Vekic and I would expect her to win this match. However, she often does it the hard way. Priced 1.2 to 1.99 she has gone the distance or seen this bet returned in 10 of her last 20 matches. The H2H is 1-1 with both matches going the distance and both in 2019, though both on clay. It may be that the surface is more of an issue than I expect but that is part of the risk.</p><p>All things considered, it seems unlikely that this match will be easy for either player. I would have said 2.2 to 2.4 was fair so it’s a bet at 2.6. Half stakes.</p><p><strong>Best Bet:</strong> Total Sets: 3 at 2.6 with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=3e56a0bf-7bdf-4fe1-b9a6-d22c7cc3dd2c&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker!">Betway</a> [0.5u]</p><p><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=164&amp;a=f339dce1-88de-4994-ab6a-c24e019bdf3b&amp;f=3" target="_blank"><img alt src="https://cmscdn.staticcache.org/assets/image/0003/1348572/WHC_27064_Updated-In-Play-Tennis-Insurance_1280x480NEW.jpg" style="width:100%;height:38px" /></a></p><h2>Caroline Garcia vs Tereza Martincova</h2><p><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tennis/world/wta/wta-zhengzhou-china-women-singles/martincova-vs-garcia-3903125/" target="_blank" title="Game Odds"><strong>Monday, September 9, Zhengzhou</strong></a></p><p>Form against class and while Garcia will make me look silly if she turns up anywhere near her best I can’t ignore that her level has been very poor recently. Martincova by contrast has been on the up and while the price does not scream value I still feel it is worth taking.</p><p>Garcia on best form wins this comfortably. She is a former world number 4 and current top 30 player and she has the weaponry to wreak havoc on the defences of lower ranked opponents. In both of the two times these players have met on a hard court Garcia has bageled the Czech and last time it was a 6-0 6-1 demolition. She has also had success in the late year events previously with titles in Tianjin, Beijing and Wuhan over the last few years. So, as a warning, this may go horribly wrong.</p><p>However, the H2H meetings were back in 2017 and the third H2H meeting was a 2-0 win for Martincova priced 6 back in 2017, so she’s still been the value player in this match up so far. More importantly, Garcia is the kind of player who goes on very hot runs but underperforms the rest of the year. Coming into this match she has lost 4 matches on the spin all as favourite priced 1.1, 1.5, 1.7 and 1.9 and she has won just 1 of the 9 sets in those matches. Overall this year she has a 24-20 record and -14.3% ROI and priced as any kind of favourite she has won just 57.58% of her matches for a -21.8% ROI. On hard courts her record is even worse winning just 3 of 11 as favourite this year for a -61.7% ROI and 10 of her 21 over the last 12 months for a -37.8% ROI. Notably, 14 of her 17 losses as favourite over the last 12 months have been in straight sets including 4 of her last 5. So while she may decide to turn it on this week, the stats suggest she doesn’t do that enough to justify her short prices against decent quality opposition.</p><p>Martincova definitely comes under the bracket of decent quality opposition and she has been a punters best friend this year with a 25.5% ROI. She comes into this match off the back of a very respectable showing against world number 3 Pliskova losing 7-6(6) 7-6(3) priced at 13. As an underdog more generally she has won 10 of her 21 matches over the last 12 months for a 45.1% ROI - coincidentally the same record Garcia has as a favourite. As an underdog against the top 50 she has won 3 of her 10 matches for a 51.5% ROI and all 3 of the matches this year have been very tight – 7-6 7-6 loss priced 13 to Pliskova, 3-6 7-6 6-4 loss priced 3.8 to Anisimova and a 4-6 6-2 6-2 win priced 3.3 over Putintseva.</p><p>I imagine this bet either looks very good or very bad (which is fine), and given the weight of evidence all points to opposing Garcia I’m happy taking a chance on the underdog winning in straight sets. Half stakes.</p><p><strong>Best Bet: </strong>Tereza Martincova 2-0 at 4.8 with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=4fd3c129-b898-4816-9a61-9f7e8f34295a&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Join Unibet Today!">Unibet</a> [0.5u]</p></div>
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