The US Open quarter-finals come to an end this Wednesday in Flushing Meadows. Don’t miss our value betting analysis for Day 10 and how to take advantage of the odds movement.
After Elina Svitolina’s defeat against Madison Keys in the fourth round, Karolina Pliskova must now make the final in Flushing Meadows to keep the world no.1 ranking from Garbine Muguruza. Despite slow start, the 2016 US Open runner-up produced her best performance on this event round with a 6 – 1 6 – 0 win over Jennifer Brady in the previous. On the other hand, Coco Vandeweghe already ensured her career-high ranking next week. At the age of 25, Coco is trying to secure an unprecedented spot in the US Open semi-finals and become the third American player to reach that stage of the competition on this year’s edition of the US Open.
Taking a look now at the odds movement on this match, the market agreed with the opening odds since Pliskova’s moneyline only dropped 2.52% from the initial price. With such accurate prices for this encounter, it’s hard to find any value at this moment on these two players’ betting odds. Despite the lack of value on Karolina’s moneyline at 1.57 at 5Dimes, our suggestion is for you to keep an eye on this market since we expect a bounce back before the start of the match that should allow you to grab a better price on the Czech.
The 2009 US Open champion – Juan Martin Del Potro – produced a miracle comeback over Dominic Thiem to book a place in the US Open quarter-finals for the 5th time in his career. Despite his sensational win, the Argentinean may not be at 100% for this encounter since he has been battling with illness over the last couple of days. Adding to this, Roger Federer is returning to his best level after a shaky start in New York City. Despite some concerns regarding Roger’s physical condition, the 36-year-old Swiss seems fully recovered and ready to fight for his 20th Grand Slam title.
Due to the uncertainties regarding Del Potro’s physical condition and Federer’ 16 – 5 lead on the h2h against this opponent, the bookmakers didn’t take any risks on this match with Roger’s price around 1.20. Despite the lack of value on Federer’s moneyline, it’s still possible to find some value on the Swiss’ game handicap with Pinnacle offering 1.97 for Roger to cover the -6 line.
As mentioned above, the American players are enjoying tremendous success on this US Open. At the age of 22, Madison Keys is for the first time in the quarter-finals after an outstanding three-set win over Elina Svitolina. Coached by Lindsey Davenport, Madison is trying to follow her coach’s footsteps and win the title in New York City. Against all expectations, Kaia Kanepi became the first qualifier to reach the US Open quarter-finals in 36 years. Nevertheless, the former world no.15 is a very experienced player with five previous apperances in the quarter-finals of Grand Slam events.
The market is well aware of Kanepi’s quality with a significant steam on her +5.5 game handicap from 1.94 to 1.69. Due to this 14.79% drop, it’s impossible to get involved on this line at the moment. For that reason, our recommendation is for you to wait for an in-play opportunity to grab a better price on this line.