Even though this is Garbine Muguruza’s first career appearance in the Olympic Games, she’s already one of the main favourites to leave Rio de Janeiro with a medal.
After winning her first Grand Slam title earlier this year in Roland Garros, Muguruza is looking for another successful campaign on this event, where the hot and humid conditions should benefit the Spaniard. Garbine loves to compete on this tough conditions, with the Spaniard starting her campaign in Rio with a terrific victory against Andreea Mitu by 6 – 2 6 – 2.
The slower game conditions in Rio should also play in Garbine’s favour, with the Spaniard having more time to prepare her powerful groundstrokes. Looking now to Muguruza’s numbers on her debut, the highlight clearly goes to her return to serve – with Mitu winning only 44.89% of the points played on her serve.
Taking a look to Garbine’s draw on this event, the Spaniard shouldn’t experience many problems until the semi-finals, especially after Venus Williams’ surprising loss in the first round against Kirsten Flipkens. Muguruza is currently priced at 1.80 on Bet365 to reach the semi-finals, a very interesting odd with great value.
Garbine is on the top half of the draw where she might face Serena Williams in the semi-finals. These two players know each other well, with their last encounter taking place a few months ago in the French Open Final – where Muguruza emerged victorious by 7 – 5 6 – 4.
Despite Serena’s clear favouritism, Muguruza has weapons to bother the American, especially on this tough South-American conditions. Garbine was born in Venezuela and it’s much more used to this weather, which is a huge advantage for her on this event.
With this in mind, we believe that Muguruza has a great chance of leaving Rio de Janeiro with the gold medal, which makes her outright odds at 7 on Coral a very interesting price to place a value bet.